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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 2, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Bobcats18%9499
4Thunder82%107116
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 29.2
36
32
25
7
3
2
1
1
1
0
7
5-8
63%
10-16
9-19
63%
48%
0-0
-
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 23.8
33
35
6
3
4
2
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
3-11
4-10
27%
44%
0-2
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 27.0
29
29
6
5
6
0
1
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.2
28
30
9
5
0
1
1
0
1
0
5
5-7
71%
2-5
4-10
40%
45%
0-2
0%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 20.4
20
22
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-2
2-5
0%
46%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.8
25
20
17
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
3-3
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
4-11
36%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.4
20
19
12
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
6-7
86%
0-1
2-5
0%
41%
2-4
50%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 21.4
19
17
10
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
6-7
86%
2-3
2-5
67%
42%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 33.0
12
11
5
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
44%
1-1
100%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 21.5
12
14
5
3
0
0
0
3
1
0
3
1-2
50%
2-2
1-2
100%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 27.1
3
4
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
1-1
100%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 34.4
3
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
0-0
-
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 24.8
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 34.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.4
38
40
28
6
5
0
1
0
1
1
5
12-12
100%
8-18
9-16
44%
55%
0-6
0%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.5
27
32
15
10
1
0
0
2
3
2
8
4-6
67%
4-7
6-11
57%
57%
1-1
100%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.3
25
28
26
2
5
2
1
0
5
0
2
2-2
100%
6-7
5-11
86%
48%
4-5
80%
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.4
22
11
4
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.6
19
21
4
6
1
0
1
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
50%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 23.9
27
30
17
3
3
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
6-12
5-9
50%
51%
1-2
50%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.8
24
13
7
5
0
0
0
1
0
1
4
2-2
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
51%
1-4
25%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 39.6
19
17
6
1
2
4
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
41%
1-2
50%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 27.0
18
9
0
5
0
2
0
3
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
56%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 33.3
13
16
7
2
0
0
0
0
3
1
1
3-4
75%
2-3
1-3
67%
58%
0-0
-
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.2
6
2
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
52%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 34.0
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.8
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 29.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.