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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 2, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Mavericks
106
2Spurs
112
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 28.3
38
35
17
3
8
1
2
0
3
0
3
2-3
67%
6-13
5-12
46%
46%
1-2
50%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.4
31
29
8
2
6
3
1
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
4-10
2-4
40%
48%
0-1
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 35.7
31
30
22
7
0
0
1
1
1
1
6
4-5
80%
9-15
5-10
60%
49%
0-2
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 35.8
29
30
5
4
1
3
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
50%
1-3
33%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 33.8
19
21
8
10
0
0
0
0
0
5
5
2-2
100%
3-7
3-5
43%
51%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37.1
29
24
21
4
5
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
6-10
2-5
60%
43%
3-6
50%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 31.0
21
18
8
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-6
2-3
33%
47%
1-3
33%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 26.4
18
15
8
6
2
2
0
2
0
3
3
0-2
0%
4-6
3-5
67%
59%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 24.9
13
11
6
4
2
1
0
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
52%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.3
12
14
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
44%
1-1
100%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.7
4
0
0-0
48%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 21.4
2
0
0-0
40%
Bernard James
C · 6'10" 235 · 29.1
2
0
0-0
50%
Gal Mekel
G · 6'3" 191 · 26.0
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 21.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37.9
35
29
17
9
2
0
1
2
4
2
7
7-9
78%
5-11
6-12
45%
50%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.7
34
24
16
7
1
1
1
1
2
2
5
1-1
100%
3-4
3-5
75%
58%
3-5
60%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.8
32
16
22
3
7
0
0
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
9-13
3-7
69%
52%
1-2
50%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.2
28
19
11
5
3
2
1
1
1
2
3
3-3
100%
4-9
3-5
44%
57%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.7
24
26
5
4
3
0
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
48%
1-4
25%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.9
26
27
14
10
2
1
1
1
2
4
6
1-2
50%
5-10
4-7
50%
56%
1-4
25%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.6
22
24
15
4
7
1
1
0
2
0
4
9-10
90%
0-2
3-6
0%
52%
2-5
40%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.9
17
28
5
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
3-6
-
50%
1-4
25%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.6
16
26
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
4-7
0%
53%
1-3
33%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.2
6
6
4
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.5
13
0
1-3
50%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.8
7
0
1-1
53%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33.9
7
0
0-1
50%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.