Final Win Prob. pScore
1920%93
107
580%104
124
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo Bobcats
121.68887.5
MIA logo Heat
139.38989.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HeatBobcatsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBobcatsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHAMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA107
124
Q4 - 0:01.0MIADouglas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)107
124
Q4 - 0:02.0CHADouglas BLOCK (1 BLK)107
124
Q4 - 0:07.0MIALiggins 1' Layup (2 PTS)107
124
Q4 - 0:08.0MIALiggins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)107
122
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot107
122
Q4 - 0:31.0CHATolliver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Zeller 5 AST)107
122
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAHaslem 1' Layup (3 PTS)104
122
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)104
120
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Douglas 3PT Jump Shot104
120
Q4 - 0:57.0CHANeal 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Zeller 4 AST)104
120
Q4 - 1:13MIADouglas 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)101
120
Q4 - 1:24MIASUB: Liggins FOR Allen101
117
Q4 - 1:24MIASUB: Lewis FOR Chalmers101
117
Q4 - 1:24MIASUB: Beasley FOR Bosh101
117
Q4 - 1:24MIASUB: Douglas FOR James101
117
Q4 - 1:24CHASUB: Zeller FOR Jefferson101
117
Q4 - 1:24MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 2)101
117
Q4 - 1:34MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)101
117
Q4 - 1:35CHAMISS Tolliver 24' 3PT Jump Shot101
117
Q4 - 1:52MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (61 PTS)101
117
Q4 - 1:52MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (60 PTS)101
116
Q4 - 1:52CHAWalker Shooting Block Foul (P2.T4)101
115
Q4 - 2:08CHAJefferson 17' Jump Shot (38 PTS) (Douglas-Roberts 2 AST)101
115
Q4 - 2:23MIAJames 9' Jump Bank Shot (59 PTS)99
115
Q4 - 2:36CHAWalker Violation:Kicked Ball99
113
Q4 - 2:50CHABobcats Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)99
113
Q4 - 2:50MIAHEAT Rebound99
113
Q4 - 2:51CHAMISS Neal 9' Floating Jump Shot99
113
Q4 - 3:03CHATolliver REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)99
113
Q4 - 3:04CHAMISS Tolliver 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
113
Q4 - 3:10CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:15)99
113
Q4 - 3:11MIAMISS Haslem 1' Layup99
113
Q4 - 3:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)99
113
Q4 - 3:28CHAMISS Walker 6' Jump Shot99
113
Q4 - 3:35CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:14)99
113
Q4 - 3:36MIAMISS Allen 1' Driving Layup99
113
Q4 - 3:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)99
113
Q4 - 3:43CHAMISS Neal 17' Jump Shot99
113
Q4 - 3:48CHATolliver REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)99
113
Q4 - 3:49CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
113
Q4 - 4:12CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13)99
113
Q4 - 4:13MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 2 of 299
113
Q4 - 4:13MIASUB: Bosh FOR Beasley99
113
Q4 - 4:13MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)99
113
Q4 - 4:13CHANeal S.FOUL (P2.T3)99
112
Q4 - 4:31CHATolliver 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Douglas-Roberts 1 AST)99
112
Q4 - 4:52CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)97
112
Q4 - 4:53MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot97
112
Q4 - 5:10CHANeal Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)97
112
Q4 - 5:10CHANeal Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)96
112
Q4 - 5:10MIASUB: Haslem FOR Andersen95
112
Q4 - 5:10CHASUB: Jefferson FOR Ridnour95
112
Q4 - 5:10CHASUB: Walker FOR Zeller95
112
Q4 - 5:10MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)95
112
Q4 - 5:10MIAAndersen Personal Block Foul (P3.PN)95
112
Q4 - 5:16CHATolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)95
112
Q4 - 5:17MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
112
Q4 - 5:32MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)95
112
Q4 - 5:33CHAMISS Ridnour 21' Jump Shot95
112
Q4 - 5:46MIAJames 2' Layup (57 PTS)95
112
Q4 - 6:09CHADouglas-Roberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)95
110
Q4 - 6:09CHADouglas-Roberts Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)94
110
Q4 - 6:09MIAAllen S.FOUL (P4.T4)93
110
Q4 - 6:29MIAAndersen 1' Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)93
110
Q4 - 6:53CHATolliver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Zeller 3 AST)93
108
Q4 - 7:05CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)90
108
Q4 - 7:06MIAMISS James 17' Fadeaway Jumper90
108
Q4 - 7:30CHANeal 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)90
108
Q4 - 7:48MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)88
108
Q4 - 8:11CHATolliver 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Neal 5 AST)88
106
Q4 - 8:26MIAJames 1' Layup (55 PTS) (Allen 4 AST)85
106
Q4 - 8:37CHATolliver Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)85
104
Q4 - 8:37CHABobcats Rebound84
104
Q4 - 8:37CHAMISS Tolliver Free Throw 1 of 284
104
Q4 - 8:37MIAAndersen S.FOUL (P2.T3)84
104
Q4 - 8:48MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Cole84
104
Q4 - 8:48CHASUB: Neal FOR Jefferson84
104
Q4 - 8:4884
104
Q4 - 8:48MIACole P.FOUL (P3.T2)84
104
Q4 - 9:03MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)84
104
Q4 - 9:03MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)84
103
Q4 - 9:03CHAJefferson S.FOUL (P4.T2)84
102
Q4 - 9:13MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)84
102
Q4 - 9:14CHAMISS Jefferson 6' Hook Shot84
102
Q4 - 9:15CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)84
102
Q4 - 9:18CHAMISS Douglas-Roberts 2' Driving Reverse Layup84
102
Q4 - 9:29CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)84
102
Q4 - 9:30MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot84
102
Q4 - 9:49CHABeasley STEAL (1 STL)84
102
Q4 - 9:53MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)84
102
Q4 - 10:10CHAJefferson 1' Dunk (36 PTS) (Zeller 2 AST)84
102
Q4 - 10:23CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)82
102
Q4 - 10:24MIAMISS James 15' Jump Shot82
102
Q4 - 10:40CHAZeller 1' Driving Dunk (10 PTS)82
102
Q4 - 10:48MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)80
102
Q4 - 11:00MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
102
Q4 - 11:01CHADouglas-Roberts Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)80
102
Q4 - 11:01CHAMISS Douglas-Roberts Free Throw 2 of 279
102
Q4 - 11:01MIAAllen S.FOUL (P3.T1)79
102
Q4 - 11:04MIAJames 20' Pullup Jump Shot (53 PTS)79
102
Q4 - 11:17CHADouglas-Roberts P.FOUL (P2.T1)79
100
Q4 - 11:20CHAAndersen STEAL (2 STL)79
100
Q4 - 11:36MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (51 PTS)79
100
Q4 - 12:0079
98
Q3 - 0:00.0CHA79
98
Q3 - 0:00.0CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)79
98
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
98
Q3 - 0:15.0CHAZeller Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)79
98
Q3 - 0:15.0CHAZeller Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)78
98
Q3 - 0:15.0MIAAllen L.B.FOUL (P2.PN)77
98
Q3 - 0:15.0CHABobcats Rebound77
98
Q3 - 0:16.0CHAMISS Walker 6' Floating Jump Shot77
98
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAAndersen Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T5)77
98
Q3 - 0:38.0CHAWalker 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)77
98
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAAndersen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)75
98
Q3 - 1:02CHAKidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)75
95
Q3 - 1:02CHAKidd-Gilchrist Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)74
95
Q3 - 1:02MIABeasley S.FOUL (P1.PN)73
95
Q3 - 1:16MIAJames 29' 3PT Jump Shot (49 PTS)73
95
Q3 - 1:36CHAZeller 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Walker 8 AST)73
92
Q3 - 1:52MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (46 PTS)71
92
Q3 - 2:09CHAZeller 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)71
89
Q3 - 2:10CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)69
89
Q3 - 2:11CHAMISS Zeller 1' Tip Shot69
89
Q3 - 2:12CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)69
89
Q3 - 2:15CHAMISS Douglas-Roberts 8' Jump Bank Shot69
89
Q3 - 2:25MIAJames P.FOUL (P2.T4)69
89
Q3 - 2:31MIACole P.FOUL (P2.T3)69
89
Q3 - 2:40MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (43 PTS)69
89
Q3 - 2:40CHAJefferson S.FOUL (P3.T4)69
88
Q3 - 2:40MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (42 PTS)69
88
Q3 - 2:52MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
86
Q3 - 2:53CHAMISS Zeller 1' Dunk69
86
Q3 - 2:54CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
86
Q3 - 2:55CHAMISS Douglas-Roberts 3PT Jump Shot69
86
Q3 - 3:11MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (40 PTS)69
86
Q3 - 3:11MIASUB: Beasley FOR Battier69
85
Q3 - 3:11CHAJefferson S.FOUL (P2.T3)69
85
Q3 - 3:11MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (39 PTS)69
85
Q3 - 3:20MIASUB: Allen FOR Chalmers69
83
Q3 - 3:20MIASUB: Cole FOR Douglas69
83
Q3 - 3:20MIASUB: Andersen FOR Bosh69
83
Q3 - 3:20CHASUB: Douglas-Roberts FOR Neal69
83
Q3 - 3:20MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)69
83
Q3 - 3:21CHAZeller 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 7 AST)69
83
Q3 - 3:40CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)67
83
Q3 - 3:41MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
83
Q3 - 3:43MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)67
83
Q3 - 3:44MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot67
83
Q3 - 4:03MIABosh Violation:Defensive Goaltending67
83
Q3 - 4:03CHAJefferson 4' Jump Shot (34 PTS)67
83
Q3 - 4:04CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)65
83
Q3 - 4:05CHAMISS Neal 24' Jump Shot65
83
Q3 - 4:09CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)65
83
Q3 - 4:10MIAMISS James 1' Driving Reverse Layup65
83
Q3 - 4:41CHAJefferson 15' Jump Shot (32 PTS) (Walker 6 AST)65
83
Q3 - 4:57MIAJames Tip Shot (37 PTS)63
83
Q3 - 4:58MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)63
81
Q3 - 4:59MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Driving Layup63
81
Q3 - 5:03CHABosh STEAL (1 STL)63
81
Q3 - 5:20CHASUB: Zeller FOR McRoberts63
81
Q3 - 5:20CHABobcats Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)63
81
Q3 - 5:20MIADouglas 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 4 AST)63
81
Q3 - 5:28MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)63
78
Q3 - 5:29CHAMISS Jefferson 10' Jump Shot63
78
Q3 - 5:33CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)63
78
Q3 - 5:34CHAMISS Jefferson 9' Jump Shot63
78
Q3 - 6:01MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (35 PTS)63
78
Q3 - 6:18CHAJefferson 20' Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Neal 4 AST)63
75
Q3 - 6:38CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)61
75
Q3 - 6:39MIAMISS Bosh 9' Jump Shot61
75
Q3 - 6:58CHAWalker 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS)61
75
Q3 - 7:23MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Douglas 1 AST)59
75
Q3 - 7:36CHAMcRoberts Violation:Kicked Ball59
73
Q3 - 7:38MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
73
Q3 - 7:39CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 18' Jump Shot59
73
Q3 - 7:54MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)59
73
Q3 - 7:54MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)59
72
Q3 - 7:54CHAJefferson S.FOUL (P1.T2)59
71
Q3 - 8:03CHADouglas STEAL (1 STL)59
71
Q3 - 8:22CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)59
71
Q3 - 8:23MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot59
71
Q3 - 8:35CHAKidd-Gilchrist P.FOUL (P2.T1)59
71
Q3 - 8:47MIABattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
71
Q3 - 8:48CHAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 259
71
Q3 - 8:48CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)59
71
Q3 - 8:48MIADouglas S.FOUL (P3.T2)58
71
Q3 - 8:55CHABobcats Rebound58
71
Q3 - 8:56CHAMISS McRoberts 9' Jump Shot58
71
Q3 - 9:15CHABobcats Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)58
71
Q3 - 9:15MIABosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)58
71
Q3 - 9:20MIABattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)58
68
Q3 - 9:21MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
68
Q3 - 9:33CHAJefferson 3' Driving Layup (28 PTS) (Walker 5 AST)58
68
Q3 - 10:00MIAJames 16' Fadeaway Jumper (32 PTS)56
68
Q3 - 10:16MIADouglas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
66
Q3 - 10:17CHAMISS McRoberts 19' Jump Shot56
66
Q3 - 10:33MIAJames 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS)56
66
Q3 - 10:56CHAMcRoberts Tip Shot (7 PTS)56
63
Q3 - 10:57CHAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
63
Q3 - 10:58CHAMISS Neal 16' Jump Shot54
63
Q3 - 11:21MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS)54
63
Q3 - 11:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)54
60
Q3 - 11:43CHAMISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 254
60
Q3 - 11:43CHABobcats Rebound54
60
Q3 - 11:43CHAMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 254
60
Q3 - 11:43MIABattier S.FOUL (P1.T1)54
60
Q3 - 12:0054
60
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA54
60
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound54
60
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Battier 3' Layup54
60
Q2 - 0:00.0MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
60
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 254
60
Q2 - 0:01.0MIASUB: Battier FOR Allen54
60
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)54
60
Q2 - 0:01.0CHAWalker P.FOUL (P1.PN)54
59
Q2 - 0:09.0MIASUB: Allen FOR Battier54
59
Q2 - 0:09.0CHASUB: Douglas-Roberts FOR Jefferson54
59
Q2 - 0:09.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 2 Short 1)54
59
Q2 - 0:17.0CHAMcRoberts 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)54
59
Q2 - 0:33.0CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
59
Q2 - 0:34.0MIAMISS James 11' Fadeaway Jumper52
59
Q2 - 0:41.0CHAJefferson 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (26 PTS)52
59
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAJames 18' Fadeaway Jumper (23 PTS)50
59
Q2 - 1:13CHAWalker 1' Layup (2 PTS) (McRoberts 4 AST)50
57
Q2 - 1:29MIAJames 1' Tip Shot (21 PTS)48
57
Q2 - 1:30MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
55
Q2 - 1:31MIAMISS James 3' Driving Jump Shot48
55
Q2 - 1:42MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
55
Q2 - 1:43CHAMISS Neal 6' Jump Shot48
55
Q2 - 1:57MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)48
55
Q2 - 1:57MIASUB: Cole FOR Allen48
54
Q2 - 1:57MIASUB: Battier FOR Oden48
54
Q2 - 1:57MIAHEAT Rebound48
54
Q2 - 1:57MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 248
54
Q2 - 1:57CHAKidd-Gilchrist S.FOUL (P1.T4)48
54
Q2 - 2:0948
54
Q2 - 2:09CHAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)48
54
Q2 - 2:12CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
54
Q2 - 2:13MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
54
Q2 - 2:26CHAJefferson 1' Driving Layup (24 PTS)48
54
Q2 - 2:46MIAOden 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)46
54
Q2 - 3:07CHAJefferson 17' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Neal 3 AST)46
52
Q2 - 3:18MIASUB: James FOR Cole44
52
Q2 - 3:18CHABobcats Rebound44
52
Q2 - 3:20CHAMISS Neal 1' Driving Layup44
52
Q2 - 3:26MIAOden Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)44
52
Q2 - 3:39MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
52
Q2 - 3:40CHAMISS McRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
52
Q2 - 4:01MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)44
52
Q2 - 4:06CHAChalmers STEAL (2 STL)44
49
Q2 - 4:16CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
49
Q2 - 4:17MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Driving Layup44
49
Q2 - 4:28CHAJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)44
49
Q2 - 4:28CHASUB: Walker FOR Ridnour43
49
Q2 - 4:28CHAJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)43
49
Q2 - 4:28MIAOden S.FOUL (P1.T2)42
49
Q2 - 4:44MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)42
49
Q2 - 4:58CHARidnour 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McRoberts 3 AST)42
46
Q2 - 5:18MIACole Foul Turnover (P1.T3)39
46
Q2 - 5:18MIACole OFF.Foul (P1)39
46
Q2 - 5:28MIAHEAT Rebound39
46
Q2 - 5:29MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
46
Q2 - 5:42CHASUB: Kidd-Gilchrist FOR Tolliver39
46
Q2 - 5:42CHARidnour P.FOUL (P1.T3)39
46
Q2 - 5:55CHAJefferson 14' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Ridnour 2 AST)39
46
Q2 - 6:10MIACole 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)37
46
Q2 - 6:20MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
44
Q2 - 6:21CHAMISS Jefferson 1' Driving Layup37
44
Q2 - 6:39MIAOden 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)37
44
Q2 - 6:59MIASUB: Oden FOR Andersen37
42
Q2 - 6:59CHASUB: Neal FOR Douglas-Roberts37
42
Q2 - 6:59MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)37
42
Q2 - 7:00CHADouglas-Roberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ridnour 1 AST)37
42
Q2 - 7:16CHATolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
42
Q2 - 7:17CHABosh BLOCK (1 BLK)34
42
Q2 - 7:20CHARidnour REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
42
Q2 - 7:21MIAMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot34
42
Q2 - 7:39CHAJefferson 6' Jump Shot (16 PTS)34
42
Q2 - 7:42CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
42
Q2 - 7:43CHAMISS Tolliver 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
42
Q2 - 7:52MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)32
42
Q2 - 8:09MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
42
Q2 - 8:10CHAMISS Ridnour 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
42
Q2 - 8:31MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)32
42
Q2 - 8:42MIASUB: Bosh FOR James32
40
Q2 - 8:42MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Beasley32
40
Q2 - 8:42CHASUB: Jefferson FOR Biyombo32
40
Q2 - 8:42CHADouglas-Roberts P.FOUL (P1.T2)32
40
Q2 - 8:56CHAMcRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)32
40
Q2 - 9:23MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)29
40
Q2 - 9:28MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
37
Q2 - 9:29CHAMISS Tolliver 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
37
Q2 - 9:48MIABeasley 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)29
37
Q2 - 9:52MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
35
Q2 - 9:53CHAMISS Tolliver 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
35
Q2 - 10:01CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
35
Q2 - 10:02MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
35
Q2 - 10:20CHADouglas-Roberts Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)29
35
Q2 - 10:20MIAAllen S.FOUL (P1.T1)28
35
Q2 - 10:20CHADouglas-Roberts 1' Layup (5 PTS) (McRoberts 2 AST)28
35
Q2 - 10:34CHABobcats Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)26
35
Q2 - 10:38MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)26
35
Q2 - 10:46MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
32
Q2 - 10:47CHAMISS Douglas-Roberts 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
32
Q2 - 11:01MIAAndersen 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)26
32
Q2 - 11:12CHABobcats Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)26
30
Q2 - 11:13CHADouglas-Roberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
30
Q2 - 11:14CHAAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)26
30
Q2 - 11:37MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)26
30
Q2 - 11:37MIAHEAT Rebound26
29
Q2 - 11:37MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 226
29
Q2 - 11:37CHABiyombo S.FOUL (P1.T1)26
29
Q2 - 11:44MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
29
Q2 - 11:45CHAMISS Tolliver 9' Jump Shot26
29
Q2 - 12:0026
29
Q1 - 0:00.0CHA26
29
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAJames 3' Layup (11 PTS)26
29
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
27
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAMISS James 6' Jump Shot26
27
Q1 - 0:19.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
27
Q1 - 0:20.0CHAMISS Zeller Free Throw 2 of 226
27
Q1 - 0:20.0CHABobcats Rebound26
27
Q1 - 0:20.0CHAMISS Zeller Free Throw 1 of 226
27
Q1 - 0:20.0MIAAndersen S.FOUL (P1.T4)26
27
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAAllen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 3 AST)26
27
Q1 - 0:50.0CHADouglas-Roberts 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)26
24
Q1 - 1:09MIAJames 1' Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)23
24
Q1 - 1:20CHABobcats Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)23
22
Q1 - 1:20CHABobcats Rebound23
22
Q1 - 1:21CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
22
Q1 - 1:44MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)23
22
Q1 - 1:44MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)23
21
Q1 - 1:44CHAZeller S.FOUL (P2.T2)23
20
Q1 - 1:47CHAAndersen STEAL (1 STL)23
20
Q1 - 1:57MIACole Violation:Kicked Ball23
20
Q1 - 2:03MIASUB: Beasley FOR Bosh23
20
Q1 - 2:03MIASUB: Andersen FOR Battier23
20
Q1 - 2:03CHASUB: Biyombo FOR Jefferson23
20
Q1 - 2:03CHABobcats Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)23
20
Q1 - 2:03MIAJames Foul Turnover (P1.T1)23
20
Q1 - 2:03MIAJames Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T3)23
20
Q1 - 2:07MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
20
Q1 - 2:09CHAMISS Jefferson 4' Driving Jump Shot23
20
Q1 - 2:28CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
20
Q1 - 2:29MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot23
20
Q1 - 2:40MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
20
Q1 - 2:41CHAMISS Zeller 18' Jump Shot23
20
Q1 - 2:51CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
20
Q1 - 2:52MIAMISS Allen 17' Jump Shot23
20
Q1 - 3:09CHAJefferson 4' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS) (Zeller 1 AST)23
20
Q1 - 3:21MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)21
20
Q1 - 3:21MIASUB: Cole FOR Douglas21
19
Q1 - 3:21MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)21
19
Q1 - 3:21CHAZeller S.FOUL (P1.T1)21
18
Q1 - 3:39CHAJefferson 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)21
18
Q1 - 3:49CHASUB: Tolliver FOR Neal19
18
Q1 - 3:49CHASUB: Douglas-Roberts FOR Kidd-Gilchrist19
18
Q1 - 3:49MIADouglas P.FOUL (P2.T2)19
18
Q1 - 4:02MIABosh 1' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS)19
18
Q1 - 4:30CHAJefferson 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)19
16
Q1 - 4:46MIABattier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST)17
16
Q1 - 4:53MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
13
Q1 - 4:54CHAMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
13
Q1 - 5:09CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
13
Q1 - 5:10MIAMISS Battier 2' Driving Layup17
13
Q1 - 5:25CHASUB: Zeller FOR McRoberts17
13
Q1 - 5:25MIASUB: Allen FOR Chalmers17
13
Q1 - 5:25CHANeal Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)17
13
Q1 - 5:46CHAMcRoberts Violation:Defensive Goaltending17
13
Q1 - 5:46MIADouglas 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)17
13
Q1 - 5:49CHAChalmers STEAL (1 STL)17
11
Q1 - 5:59CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)17
11
Q1 - 6:00MIAMISS Chalmers 9' Floating Jump Shot17
11
Q1 - 6:09CHAJefferson 8' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Neal 2 AST)17
11
Q1 - 6:23CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
11
Q1 - 6:24MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
11
Q1 - 6:33MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
11
Q1 - 6:34CHAMISS Neal 27' 3PT Jump Shot15
11
Q1 - 7:01MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)15
11
Q1 - 7:17CHANeal Foul Turnover (P1.T1)15
8
Q1 - 7:17CHANeal OFF.Foul (P1)15
8
Q1 - 7:26MIABosh 12' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)15
8
Q1 - 7:29MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
6
Q1 - 7:30MIAMISS Chalmers 5' Jump Shot15
6
Q1 - 7:47MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)15
6
Q1 - 7:47CHAJefferson 1' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS)15
6
Q1 - 7:57CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
6
Q1 - 7:58MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot13
6
Q1 - 8:13CHAKidd-Gilchrist 7' Running Bank Shot (6 PTS)13
6
Q1 - 8:18CHAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
6
Q1 - 8:19MIAMISS James 7' Hook Shot11
6
Q1 - 8:40CHAKidd-Gilchrist 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)11
6
Q1 - 8:58MIABosh 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)9
6
Q1 - 9:13CHAJefferson 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Neal 1 AST)9
4
Q1 - 9:21CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
4
Q1 - 9:22CHAMISS Jefferson 19' Jump Shot7
4
Q1 - 9:29MIADouglas P.FOUL (P1.T1)7
4
Q1 - 9:43MIADouglas 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)7
4
Q1 - 10:04CHAJefferson 5' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)7
2
Q1 - 10:15CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
2
Q1 - 10:16MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot5
2
Q1 - 10:29CHANeal 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)5
2
Q1 - 10:49MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 10:59MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
0
Q1 - 11:00MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot2
0
Q1 - 11:19CHAKidd-Gilchrist 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 11:39CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:40MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Jefferson: Tip to James0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventCHAMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.11 55.7%
MIA
1.32 66.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
17
24
71%
MIA
20
29
69%
Midrange
CHA
16
35
46%
MIA
10
26
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
9
13.5
23
39%
59%
MIA
16
24.0
28
57%
86%
Free Throws
CHA
14
21
67%
MIA
16
20
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Bobcats
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Jefferson3873%19.0 / 26
C. Douglas-Roberts1255%6.0 / 11
A. Tolliver1255%6.0 / 11
G. Neal1042%5.0 / 12
C. Zeller1056%5.0 / 9
M. Kidd-Gilchrist880%4.0 / 5
K. Walker739%3.5 / 9
J. McRoberts758%3.5 / 6
L. Ridnour350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James6180%30.5 / 38
C. Bosh1550%7.5 / 15
T. Douglas10100%5.0 / 5
R. Allen964%4.5 / 7
C. Andersen7117%3.5 / 3
M. Chalmers425%2.0 / 8
M. Beasley467%2.0 / 3
G. Oden4100%2.0 / 2
S. Battier338%1.5 / 4
U. Haslem338%1.5 / 4
N. Cole250%1.0 / 2
D. Liggins2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
78
+17
-10
95
MIA
82
+12
-7
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.11 55.7%
MIA
1.32 66.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.7
110.7
CHA 121.6
MIA 139.3 +17.7
Pace
92.4
91.5
CHA 87.5
MIA 89.6 +2.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
15.8
CHA 16.5
MIA 16.1 −0.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.1%
55.4%
CHA 56.7%
MIA 65.1% +8.4%
TO %
12.5%
15.4%
CHA 11.6%
MIA 7.1% −4.5%
ORB %
21.9%
20.6%
CHA 33.3% +6.3%
MIA 27.0%
FTrt
29.7
30.0
CHA 25.6 +1.5
MIA 24.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.7%
58.8%
CHA 64.3% +25.2%
MIA 39.1%
STL %
6.5%
9.7%
CHA 4.5%
MIA 7.9% +3.4%
BLK %
8.4%
8.1%
CHA 0.0%
MIA 5.1% +5.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.81 and 2.81.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
57.5%
CHA 55.7%
MIA 66.0% +10.3%
Rim FG%
57.4%
66.7%
CHA 70.8% +1.8%
MIA 69.0%
Mid FG%
38.1%
42.8%
CHA 45.7% +7.2%
MIA 38.5%
3P %
35.1%
36.4%
CHA 39.1%
MIA 57.1% +18.0%
FT %
73.7%
76.0%
CHA 66.7%
MIA 80.0% +13.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.2%
38.3%
CHA 29.3%
MIA 34.9% +5.7%
Mid Att. %
43.0%
32.5%
CHA 42.7%
MIA 31.3% −11.4%
3P Att. %
21.9%
29.2%
CHA 28.0%
MIA 33.7% +5.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsCHAMIA
Possessions8889
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points107124
Rebounds4036
Assists2718
Steals47
Blocks03
Turnovers (Team)10 (2)7 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (4)10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (0)26 (1)
Field Goals42-8246-83
At-the-Rim FG17-2420-29
Midrange FG16-3510-26
2-Point FG33-5930-55
3-Point FG9-2316-28
Free Throws14-2116-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'10" 280 · 29
37.5
38
73%
19
1
1
0
1
4
4
15
2-4
50%
18-24
75%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 184 · 24
33.6
7
39%
2
8
0
0
2
2
0
2
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
0-3
0%
G · 6'4" 210 · 29
32.6
10
42%
0
5
0
0
2
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-7
14%
2-4
50%
F · 6'7" 232 · 20
25.9
8
80%
5
0
0
0
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 240 · 27
25.3
7
58%
2
4
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
G · 6'7" 210 · 27
24.3
12
55%
1
2
0
0
0
2
1
0
4-5
80%
1-5
20%
2-4
50%
F · 6'8" 240 · 29
22.1
12
55%
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
1
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
3-8
38%
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 21
19.0
10
56%
5
5
2
0
2
2
3
2
2-4
50%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 33
14.4
3
50%
1
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
C · 6'8" 255 · 22
5.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 215 · 26
G · 6'1" 185 · 34
#33 · C · 7'0" 263 · 34
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#44 · · 6'7" 225 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
56%
40
27
4
0
10
0
13
27
14-21
67%
33-59
56%
9-23
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.