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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 3, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Bobcats21%93107
3Heat79%104124
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 29.2
37
33
38
19
1
1
1
0
1
4
15
2-4
50%
18-24
9-19
75%
48%
0-0
-
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 23.8
34
33
7
2
8
0
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
3-5
4-10
60%
44%
0-3
0%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 29.4
33
19
10
0
5
0
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-7
2-5
14%
42%
2-4
50%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 20.4
26
21
8
5
0
0
1
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
46%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 27.0
25
29
7
2
4
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 27.1
24
5
12
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
4-5
80%
1-5
0-1
20%
45%
2-4
50%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 28.8
22
22
12
4
0
1
0
0
1
3
1
1-2
50%
1-2
1-1
50%
46%
3-8
38%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 21.4
19
18
10
5
5
2
1
0
2
3
2
2-4
50%
4-7
2-5
57%
42%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 33.0
14
12
3
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 21.5
5
13
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.2
29
1
4-9
45%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 34.4
3
0
0-1
42%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 34.3
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 24.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 29.2
41
33
61
7
4
0
1
0
2
3
4
9-12
75%
14-23
7-12
61%
60%
8-10
80%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 27.8
31
26
4
3
7
2
1
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
52%
0-2
0%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 29.9
30
23
15
7
0
1
1
1
0
1
6
2-2
100%
5-11
4-7
45%
55%
1-3
33%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 35.5
21
24
3
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
50%
1-2
50%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.0
19
3
10
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
43%
2-3
67%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 38.6
30
23
9
3
4
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
51%
3-5
60%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 25.4
21
25
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.1
18
17
4
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
3-6
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35.7
17
19
7
4
0
2
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
64%
1-1
100%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 33.7
5
6
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-3
1-1
33%
49%
0-0
-
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 26.1
5
11
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
57%
0-0
-
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 25.9
1
8
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 34.6
1
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33.4
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 32.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.