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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 3, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Jazz46%9988
28Bucks54%100114
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 23.9
33.3
34.7
20
57%
4
3
1
1
0
5
1
3
6-6
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
47%
2-6
33%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 21.3
30.4
29.5
7
44%
3
5
0
1
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
0-2
3-7
0%
43%
2-5
40%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 33.7
23.2
24.8
7
50%
1
2
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 22.6
18.6
29.0
2
20%
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-5
5-9
20%
52%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 27.7
17.3
20.3
5
42%
4
2
0
1
0
1
3
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 21.8
34.5
25.0
27
63%
14
1
1
1
0
0
6
8
11-12
92%
8-16
5-10
50%
53%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 22.6
29.3
30.6
12
44%
4
2
0
1
0
2
3
1
2-4
50%
5-11
5-11
45%
47%
0-1
0%
Diante Garrett
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.3
19.8
15.7
2
20%
1
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
0-2
0%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 26.4
15.7
19.3
4
67%
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
56%
0-0
-
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 21.7
9.9
4.4
2
53%
1
0
1
0
4
0
1
0
0-2
0%
1-1
0-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 28.7
8.0
3.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
49%
0-1
0%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 31.3
3.6
0
0-1
41%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.9
2.4
0
0-0
55%
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.3
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.8
30.1
24.7
31
98%
5
0
2
1
1
1
2
3
3-4
75%
11-12
4-8
92%
48%
2-2
100%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 22.3
26.0
28.5
11
66%
1
5
2
1
0
0
0
1
2-3
67%
3-5
4-9
60%
47%
1-2
50%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 30.1
25.6
19.2
14
93%
6
5
0
1
1
1
2
4
8-8
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
48%
0-0
-
Nate Wolters
· 6'4" 190 · 22.8
21.9
19.4
10
83%
6
5
1
1
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
2-2
100%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 22.6
21.4
28.2
9
75%
0
2
1
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
50%
1-1
100%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 19.2
26.6
24.9
8
42%
4
3
0
1
1
0
1
3
1-1
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
50%
1-3
33%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.3
24.3
22.7
3
30%
0
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.9
23.8
23.2
14
73%
4
4
0
1
0
2
0
4
6-6
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
45%
0-0
-
Jeff Adrien
· 6'7" 245 · 28.1
19.7
15.9
8
41%
11
0
1
0
1
0
3
8
2-4
50%
3-8
2-3
38%
48%
0-0
-
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 23.2
16.3
24.6
6
43%
7
1
0
1
0
1
5
2
0-0
-
3-7
4-8
43%
53%
0-0
-
Miroslav Raduljica
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.2
4.2
2.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
55%
0-0
-
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 26.8
5.1
0
0-1
45%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 31.5
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.