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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 3, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Timberwolves69%110132
20Nuggets31%103128
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 25.5
38
36
33
19
4
2
1
0
4
3
16
11-13
85%
8-15
6-12
53%
49%
2-6
33%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 28.0
36
33
16
2
1
2
2
0
3
2
0
3-6
50%
5-8
4-8
63%
51%
1-2
50%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 31.1
31
31
22
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
16-17
94%
3-7
5-11
43%
46%
0-4
0%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.4
26
31
5
5
5
1
2
0
4
1
4
3-4
75%
1-2
2-6
50%
39%
0-0
-
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 28.2
24
24
16
9
1
0
1
0
2
3
6
6-9
67%
5-8
6-11
63%
54%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.7
26
16
16
2
5
1
0
0
2
1
1
7-8
88%
3-9
2-5
33%
46%
1-1
100%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.9
25
27
9
4
2
1
1
0
0
2
2
1-1
100%
4-5
4-9
80%
48%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 25.8
13
19
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
46%
0-2
0%
Shabazz Muhammad
G-F · 6'6" 221 · 21.3
12
15
7
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
5-6
83%
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.5
5
11
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 24.1
4
6
6
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
1-1
60%
49%
0-0
-
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 25.2
4
0
0-1
42%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 27.4
1
0
0-0
43%
Robbie Hummel
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.0
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 31.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 30.4
43
35
22
4
3
0
1
0
4
1
3
2-3
67%
4-8
3-6
50%
43%
4-8
50%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 26.3
40
10
31
4
11
4
0
0
4
2
2
6-7
86%
8-12
1-3
67%
49%
3-4
75%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.8
38
25
25
10
2
1
1
0
3
1
9
1-3
33%
9-11
2-5
82%
48%
2-11
18%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.3
32
28
21
8
0
3
1
1
1
3
5
3-5
60%
9-11
5-10
82%
54%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 27.6
10
21
4
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-1
0%
2-3
3-6
67%
52%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 25.5
27
25
5
7
2
1
1
0
2
1
6
1-3
33%
2-6
4-9
33%
52%
0-1
0%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 29.1
18
27
8
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-6
25%
43%
2-5
40%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 21.3
14
33
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
3-7
0%
47%
1-4
25%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.9
14
10
5
2
2
0
0
2
1
0
2
1-1
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
45%
0-0
-
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 23.9
4
8
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Quincy Miller
F · 6'9" 210 · 21.3
16
0
2-4
46%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 24.6
11
0
1-3
48%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 29.8
5
0
1-1
46%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.1
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.