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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 3, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Lakers23%102107
11Trail Blazers77%112106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 26.5
39.0
31.9
21
61%
3
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
3-3
100%
6-10
3-6
60%
49%
2-6
33%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 26.6
36.3
31.0
14
64%
7
4
2
1
2
3
2
5
0-0
-
7-10
3-6
70%
47%
0-1
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 33.7
33.8
32.1
22
53%
9
5
2
0
2
1
2
7
2-2
100%
10-20
7-14
50%
48%
0-0
-
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 24.7
28.0
29.5
14
71%
7
2
0
1
0
2
0
7
0-2
0%
1-4
3-7
25%
44%
4-5
80%
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 22.5
25.4
21.5
7
39%
6
11
0
1
0
3
1
5
0-0
-
2-7
1-3
29%
43%
1-2
50%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 25.1
24.7
21.5
8
34%
7
0
2
1
0
2
3
4
6-6
100%
1-9
3-7
11%
46%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 27.3
22.2
24.9
9
50%
0
6
2
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
44%
1-3
33%
Robert Sacre
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.7
14.2
7.3
8
68%
4
0
1
0
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
47%
0-0
-
Ryan Kelly
F · 6'11" 230 · 22.9
11.7
13.9
4
50%
1
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 23.0
4.9
6.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 26.6
11.7
0
2-4
52%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 31.8
9.9
0
2-4
48%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 28.8
8.2
0
1-2
45%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 40.1
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 35.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 25.2
37.9
33.5
17
52%
15
5
2
1
1
5
5
10
3-5
60%
4-9
3-5
44%
54%
2-5
40%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 23.6
35.3
32.4
20
48%
5
5
0
1
0
4
1
4
1-4
25%
5-11
5-10
45%
49%
3-8
38%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 27.4
34.8
30.4
7
29%
5
4
2
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
50%
1-6
17%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 25.9
33.5
30.2
19
71%
16
2
0
1
3
2
9
7
1-1
100%
9-13
4-8
69%
55%
0-0
-
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 28.6
32.5
20.8
21
51%
6
1
2
1
0
4
1
5
3-4
75%
9-18
6-11
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 31.2
23.0
25.2
7
35%
0
5
1
1
0
3
0
0
1-2
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
46%
0-3
0%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 28.2
15.9
17.5
8
67%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
2-4
50%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 22.0
13.8
14.5
1
57%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
0-0
2-4
-
56%
0-0
-
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.5
8.4
6.5
6
87%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
49%
1-2
50%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 23.2
5.0
14.6
0
0%
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 25.5
11.7
0
1-2
53%
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 21.9
3.0
0
0-1
51%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 34.7
2.7
0
0-0
43%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 23.0
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 27.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.