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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 4, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs
122
21Cavaliers
101
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 37.9
26
31
7
8
4
0
1
3
0
0
8
3-4
75%
2-5
6-12
40%
50%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 22.7
26
28
18
5
3
4
1
4
3
2
3
2-2
100%
5-8
3-6
63%
58%
2-2
100%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26.7
23
25
24
1
3
2
1
0
1
0
1
3-3
100%
6-8
1-3
75%
47%
3-7
43%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 31.8
22
27
7
1
5
0
1
0
2
1
0
1-2
50%
3-10
6-11
30%
52%
0-1
0%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.2
21
23
6
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
6-6
100%
0-4
4-6
0%
56%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 31.9
25
26
16
5
3
1
1
2
1
1
4
0-0
-
5-5
4-7
100%
56%
2-2
100%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 25.6
24
21
16
3
5
2
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
3-5
33%
53%
4-6
67%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 36.6
21
23
11
1
6
1
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
3-5
-
52%
3-5
60%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 27.9
19
23
11
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
5-5
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
50%
0-5
0%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 26.8
10
5
0
4
1
0
0
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 33.9
10
5
2
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
50%
0-5
0%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.5
6
9
2
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
50%
0-0
-
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.2
6
6
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
51%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 25.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 21.9
39
38
24
4
6
2
1
0
5
0
4
5-5
100%
5-11
6-12
45%
46%
3-6
50%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 28.9
35
33
9
2
3
0
1
0
4
1
1
3-4
75%
3-8
5-10
38%
45%
0-2
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 25.8
33
31
20
13
1
1
0
1
2
0
13
3-5
60%
4-5
3-7
80%
46%
3-4
75%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 23.0
30
31
5
10
0
0
1
0
0
2
8
1-2
50%
2-8
4-9
25%
48%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.3
21
31
4
0
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
45%
0-2
0%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.2
23
6
24
1
3
0
0
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
9-15
1-2
60%
45%
2-3
67%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 23.5
16
20
0
2
7
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-0
-
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.1
15
22
1
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
4
1-2
50%
0-2
3-6
0%
48%
0-0
-
Anthony Bennett
F · 6'8" 245 · 21.0
13
9
14
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-6
1-2
50%
43%
2-2
100%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 26.8
7
13
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
43%
0-0
-
Arinze Onuaku
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 26.6
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 20.4
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 27.0
5
0
0-1
45%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 31.4
Carrick Felix
G-F · 6'6" 201 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.