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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 4, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3076ers7%9692
4Thunder93%115125
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 22.4
33
30
14
4
5
2
2
0
3
0
4
5-8
63%
3-9
5-12
33%
42%
1-3
33%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 24.9
27
29
20
2
1
2
1
0
2
1
1
0-1
0%
1-4
2-4
25%
51%
6-12
50%
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 23.9
26
24
10
5
1
0
1
0
2
2
3
6-6
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
43%
0-0
-
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 22.9
26
24
6
1
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
49%
0-3
0%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.7
23
34
6
4
3
0
2
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
3-12
6-13
25%
50%
0-1
0%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 20.9
22
25
8
3
2
3
1
0
2
2
1
2-5
40%
3-10
4-10
30%
45%
0-2
0%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 25.0
20
12
15
6
2
0
0
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
2-5
1-3
40%
41%
3-4
75%
Jarvis Varnado
F-C · 6'9" 230 · 26.0
18
7
6
6
0
1
0
0
1
4
2
0-1
0%
3-7
0-1
43%
42%
0-0
-
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 24.7
17
16
7
3
1
3
0
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
44%
0-3
0%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 26.7
13
15
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
37%
0-1
0%
Lorenzo Brown
G · 6'5" 189 · 23.5
8
2
0
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Arnett Moultrie
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.3
8
13
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Brandon Davies
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.6
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 19.9
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 33.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.4
33
39
42
9
3
2
2
1
3
0
9
12-18
67%
12-14
9-16
86%
57%
2-6
33%
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.4
29
16
12
6
3
0
0
2
0
2
4
3-3
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
54%
1-1
100%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 24.5
27
30
14
4
1
0
1
3
2
1
3
4-4
100%
5-10
6-10
50%
59%
0-0
-
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 25.3
20
27
13
10
14
3
1
0
6
1
9
4-4
100%
3-6
5-11
50%
50%
1-3
33%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 20.6
15
20
2
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-4
0%
1-1
2-3
100%
54%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 34.0
26
12
2
5
1
1
0
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 23.9
25
29
14
6
2
2
1
0
4
1
5
4-4
100%
5-8
5-9
63%
53%
0-1
0%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 27.0
18
13
7
3
0
0
0
2
2
1
2
1-2
50%
3-3
1-2
100%
58%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 21.8
14
18
7
2
0
3
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
53%
1-3
33%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 33.4
13
15
2
5
4
1
0
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
61%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 39.6
12
18
8
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
43%
2-4
50%
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.2
8
4
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
55%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.8
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 29.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.