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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 4, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Clippers59%106104
16Suns41%10396
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 34.0
40.0
27.5
28
82%
6
2
1
1
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
8-10
2-4
80%
53%
4-7
57%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 26.5
40.0
24.8
18
77%
3
5
3
1
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
50%
2-4
50%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.6
38.7
32.3
10
56%
17
1
1
1
2
1
6
11
2-2
100%
4-8
4-6
50%
64%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 28.8
37.5
32.2
14
40%
3
9
1
2
0
5
0
3
6-8
75%
4-12
5-10
33%
51%
0-2
0%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 25.0
36.5
33.6
22
51%
5
6
1
1
1
3
2
3
4-8
50%
9-18
9-17
50%
54%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.6
12.6
16.6
5
83%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
1-2
50%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 28.6
11.4
19.5
4
67%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
52%
0-1
0%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 28.2
9.3
11.3
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
44%
0-0
-
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 23.0
7.3
8.6
3
38%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
1-3
33%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 30.9
3.8
11.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-1
0%
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 35.0
2.8
10.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 34.0
17.0
1
2-4
46%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 29.4
7.5
0
1-1
61%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 29.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 28.8
38.8
30.0
18
68%
10
2
2
1
0
0
1
9
2-5
40%
8-10
2-5
80%
46%
0-1
0%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.8
37.9
30.6
14
44%
4
9
1
1
0
2
1
3
3-4
75%
4-10
5-9
40%
52%
1-4
25%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 28.1
36.5
30.4
17
44%
8
5
3
1
0
4
4
4
1-1
100%
2-11
4-8
18%
49%
4-8
50%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 30.8
20.4
24.3
4
33%
5
1
0
1
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
49%
0-1
0%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 20.7
19.0
3.6
6
38%
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
3-8
0-1
38%
51%
0-0
-
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 24.5
23.4
29.4
9
50%
4
1
0
1
0
4
2
2
0-0
-
3-7
5-10
43%
48%
1-2
50%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.5
20.3
23.6
12
64%
2
3
0
1
0
3
1
1
1-1
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
48%
1-3
33%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 25.7
19.1
25.3
5
53%
2
1
1
1
0
1
2
0
1-4
25%
2-3
3-7
67%
44%
0-0
-
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 30.3
13.9
8.2
9
78%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
3-4
75%
3-4
1-2
75%
48%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 31.3
10.9
8.6
2
33%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
0-0
-
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 25.5
17.3
0
2-5
50%
Archie Goodwin
G · 6'5" 205 · 19.5
8.6
0
1-2
48%
Dionte Christmas
· 6'5" 205 · 27.5
4.1
0
0-1
47%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 31.4
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.