Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	8	Mavericks	44%	104	100	116.3	86	89.0
	11	Spurs	56%	106	101	117.4	86	83.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Monta Ellis G · 6'3" 185 · 29	37.2	26	57%	4	6	1	0	3	0	1	3	3-4	75%	10-19	53%	1-2	50%
Chandler Parsons F · 6'10" 230 · 26	33.8	5	25%	4	0	2	1	1	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-6	17%	1-4	25%
Dirk Nowitzki F · 7'0" 245 · 36	31.7	18	69%	6	2	1	0	1	4	2	4	4-4	100%	7-10	70%	0-1	0%
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 33	30.5	9	64%	0	3	1	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-5	60%
Tyson Chandler C · 7'1" 240 · 32	27.8	8	50%	10	0	2	0	1	5	3	7	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-0	-

Devin Harris G · 6'3" 185 · 32	29.1	17	61%	0	5	2	0	1	1	0	0	3-4	75%	4-7	57%	2-5	40%
Brandan Wright F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27	18.1	6	100%	5	0	0	1	0	2	1	4	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Richard Jefferson F · 6'7" 233 · 34	13.4	6	60%	2	1	0	0	1	2	1	1	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Jae Crowder F · 6'6" 235 · 24	10.9	5	125%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Al-Farouq Aminu F · 6'9" 220 · 24	5.5	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Greg Smith C · 6'10" 250 · 24	2.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Charlie Villanueva F · 6'11" 232 · 30	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Gal Mekel G · 6'3" 191 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ricky Ledo #1 · G · 6'7" 195 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Raymond Felton #2 · G · 6'1" 205 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	56%	33	17	9	3	10	0	9	24	16-19	84%	30-57	53%	8-21	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

8 Dallas Mavericks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Monta Ellis G · 6'3" 185 · 29	37.2	26	57%	4	6	1	0	3	0	1	3	3-4	75%	10-19	53%	1-2	50%
Chandler Parsons F · 6'10" 230 · 26	33.8	5	25%	4	0	2	1	1	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-6	17%	1-4	25%
Dirk Nowitzki F · 7'0" 245 · 36	31.7	18	69%	6	2	1	0	1	4	2	4	4-4	100%	7-10	70%	0-1	0%
Jameer Nelson G · 6'0" 190 · 33	30.5	9	64%	0	3	1	1	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-5	60%
Tyson Chandler C · 7'1" 240 · 32	27.8	8	50%	10	0	2	0	1	5	3	7	0-0	-	4-8	50%	0-0	-

Devin Harris G · 6'3" 185 · 32	29.1	17	61%	0	5	2	0	1	1	0	0	3-4	75%	4-7	57%	2-5	40%
Brandan Wright F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27	18.1	6	100%	5	0	0	1	0	2	1	4	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Richard Jefferson F · 6'7" 233 · 34	13.4	6	60%	2	1	0	0	1	2	1	1	3-4	75%	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Jae Crowder F · 6'6" 235 · 24	10.9	5	125%	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Al-Farouq Aminu F · 6'9" 220 · 24	5.5	0	0%	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-2	0%
Greg Smith C · 6'10" 250 · 24	2.2	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Charlie Villanueva F · 6'11" 232 · 30	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Gal Mekel G · 6'3" 191 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ricky Ledo #1 · G · 6'7" 195 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Raymond Felton #2 · G · 6'1" 205 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	100	56%	33	17	9	3	10	0	9	24	16-19	84%	30-57	53%	8-21	38%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

11 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 32	34.8	23	77%	3	3	0	0	1	2	1	2	1-2	50%	5-11	45%	4-4	100%
Danny Green G · 6'6" 215 · 27	34.0	13	72%	4	1	1	0	3	4	2	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	3-6	50%
Marco Belinelli F · 6'5" 210 · 29	30.8	15	94%	2	3	1	0	2	1	0	2	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	3-6	50%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 39	30.2	14	54%	13	2	1	2	5	0	5	8	4-5	80%	5-10	50%	0-0	-
Matt Bonner C · 6'10" 235 · 35	14.5	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	3	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%

Boris Diaw C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33	33.5	5	42%	9	6	0	0	4	2	1	8	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-3	33%
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 37	27.7	20	63%	2	6	2	0	3	4	0	2	6-7	86%	4-7	57%	2-6	33%
Aron Baynes C · 6'10" 260 · 28	17.8	4	67%	2	0	0	1	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Cory Joseph G · 6'2" 200 · 23	16.7	7	88%	1	2	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	1-2	50%
Jeff Ayres F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kyle Anderson F-G · 6'8" 230 · 21	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Austin Daye F · 6'11" 220 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kawhi Leonard #2 · F · 6'6" 225 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Patty Mills #8 · G · 6'0" 185 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Tiago Splitter #22 · C-F · 6'11" 245 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	101	65%	38	23	5	3	20	0	9	29	13-16	81%	23-42	55%	14-28	50%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	DAL	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL

1.11 55.6%

SAS

1.29 64.7%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DAL

11

20

55%

SAS

12

24

50%

Midrange

DAL

19

37

51%

SAS

11

18

61%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DAL

8

12.0

21

38%

57%

SAS

14

21.0

28

50%

75%

Free Throws

DAL

16

19

84%

SAS

13

16

81%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Mavericks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Ellis	26	57%	13.0 / 23
D. Nowitzki	18	69%	9.0 / 13
D. Harris	17	61%	8.5 / 14
J. Nelson	9	64%	4.5 / 7
T. Chandler	8	50%	4.0 / 8
B. Wright	6	100%	3.0 / 3
R. Jefferson	6	60%	3.0 / 5
C. Parsons	5	25%	2.5 / 10
J. Crowder	5	125%	2.5 / 2
A. Aminu	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Parker	23	77%	11.5 / 15
M. Ginobili	20	63%	10.0 / 16
M. Belinelli	15	94%	7.5 / 8
T. Duncan	14	54%	7.0 / 13
D. Green	13	72%	6.5 / 9
C. Joseph	7	88%	3.5 / 4
B. Diaw	5	42%	2.5 / 6
A. Baynes	4	67%	2.0 / 3
M. Bonner	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 109.3 9 108.5	DAL 116.3 SAS 117.4 +1.2
Pace	8 95.4 15 93.9	DAL 89.0 +5.7 SAS 83.2
Avg. Poss. Time	18 15.1 10 15.7	DAL 16.2 −1.1 SAS 17.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	6 51.5% 5 51.7%	DAL 53.8% SAS 62.9% +9.1%
TO %	3 13.0% 12 14.2%	DAL 10.4% −11.0% SAS 21.4%
ORB %	24 23.7% 25 23.4%	DAL 23.7% SAS 27.3% +3.6%
FTrt	19 26.2 24 25.6	DAL 24.4 +1.5 SAS 22.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	20 56.7% 7 62.3%	DAL 44.7% SAS 62.2% +17.5%
STL %	13 8.4% 11 8.5%	DAL 10.5% +4.7% SAS 5.8%
BLK %	17 7.6% 10 8.4%	DAL 7.1% +1.8% SAS 5.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	7 53.7% 5 54.0%	DAL 55.6% SAS 64.7% +9.1%
Rim FG%	4 60.3% 9 59.6%	DAL 55.0% +5.0% SAS 50.0%
Mid FG%	5 41.5% 3 42.1%	DAL 51.4% SAS 61.1% +9.7%
3P %	13 35.2% 6 36.7%	DAL 38.1% SAS 50.0% +11.9%
FT %	16 75.2% 4 78.0%	DAL 84.2% +2.9% SAS 81.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	17 35.3% 16 35.3%	DAL 25.6% SAS 34.3% +8.6%
Mid Att. %	12 35.1% 17 37.8%	DAL 47.4% SAS 25.7% −21.7%
3P Att. %	9 29.6% 15 26.9%	DAL 26.9% SAS 40.0% +13.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DAL	SAS
Possessions	86	86
Possession Minutes	23.2	24.8
Points	100	101
Rebounds	33	38
Assists	17	23
Steals	9	5
Blocks	3	3
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	20 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (4)	9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	24 (1)	29 (0)
Field Goals	38-78	37-70
At-the-Rim FG	11-20	12-24
Midrange FG	19-37	11-18
2-Point FG	30-57	23-42
3-Point FG	8-21	14-28
Free Throws	16-19	13-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg