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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
October 29, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Wizards41%9595
12Heat59%98107
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.7
40
29
18
7
0
0
1
1
0
1
6
4-5
80%
7-14
5-10
50%
51%
0-0
-
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.1
37
35
16
3
11
2
2
0
6
0
3
4-4
100%
6-11
5-11
55%
44%
0-2
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 33.1
34
14
18
5
1
0
0
0
2
2
3
1-4
25%
7-9
2-4
78%
45%
1-2
50%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 37.0
33
22
17
6
5
2
1
0
1
0
6
4-5
80%
5-7
2-4
71%
47%
1-3
33%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 28.5
31
13
6
7
1
2
1
1
3
2
5
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
42%
2-6
33%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 21.4
24
15
13
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
3
4-6
67%
3-4
2-3
75%
46%
1-3
33%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.7
13
18
4
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
47%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 38.6
10
11
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-1
0%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 35.4
10
7
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 24.9
8
15
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
3-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.1
23
1
5-10
49%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 25.5
17
1
3-5
52%
Glen Rice
G-F · 6'6" 206 · 23.8
11
0
1-2
44%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 27.9
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 21.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 30.6
39
31
26
15
4
1
1
1
3
4
11
5-5
100%
6-14
4-7
43%
53%
3-4
75%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.7
32
18
3
6
3
2
0
0
0
3
3
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
0-6
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 32.8
31
29
21
1
3
2
1
0
2
0
1
3-3
100%
6-13
5-11
46%
51%
2-3
67%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.5
30
29
12
4
1
0
1
1
2
2
2
4-5
80%
4-6
3-7
67%
45%
0-2
0%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.0
28
18
23
3
2
0
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
6-8
1-2
75%
44%
3-7
43%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.4
25
27
8
4
4
1
1
0
3
0
4
1-1
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36.3
24
15
7
6
1
2
0
1
0
2
4
3-4
75%
2-2
2-3
100%
60%
0-0
-
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.3
15
16
2
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
42%
0-1
0%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.3
15
11
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
46%
0-2
0%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 31.5
12
0
1-2
42%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.4
10
0
1-2
48%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 28.9
10
0
1-3
44%
Justin Hamilton
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.6
9
0
1-2
50%
Andre Dawkins
G · 6'5" 219 · 23.1
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 27.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.