Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	19	Wizards	41%	95	95	103.3	92	97.1
	14	Heat	59%	98	107	116.3	92	87.4

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 31	40.2	18	56%	7	0	0	1	0	3	1	6	4-5	80%	7-14	50%	0-0	-
John Wall G · 6'4" 210 · 24	37.4	16	53%	3	11	2	0	6	3	0	3	4-4	100%	6-11	55%	0-2	0%
Drew Gooden F · 6'10" 250 · 33	33.6	18	69%	5	1	0	0	2	3	2	3	1-4	25%	7-9	78%	1-2	50%
Paul Pierce F · 6'7" 235 · 37	32.7	17	71%	6	5	2	0	1	3	0	6	4-5	80%	5-7	71%	1-3	33%
Garrett Temple G · 6'5" 195 · 28	30.9	6	38%	7	1	2	1	3	1	2	5	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-6	33%

Otto Porter Jr. F · 6'8" 198 · 21	23.5	13	72%	4	0	1	0	0	1	1	3	4-6	67%	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Kris Humphries F · 6'9" 235 · 30	13.3	4	33%	2	0	0	0	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 39	10.4	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Rasual Butler F · 6'7" 215 · 35	10.3	3	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Kevin Seraphin F-C · 6'10" 278 · 25	7.7	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Nene C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32	\| NWT - Suspension
DeJuan Blair C-F · 6'7" 270 · 26	\| NWT - Suspension
Glen Rice G-F · 6'6" 206 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Martell Webster #9 · F-G · 6'7" 230 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Bradley Beal #3 · G · 6'4" 207 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	55%	36	20	7	2	14	0	7	29	17-24	71%	30-56	54%	6-19	32%

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19 Washington Wizards

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Marcin Gortat C · 6'11" 240 · 31	40.2	18	56%	7	0	0	1	0	3	1	6	4-5	80%	7-14	50%	0-0	-
John Wall G · 6'4" 210 · 24	37.4	16	53%	3	11	2	0	6	3	0	3	4-4	100%	6-11	55%	0-2	0%
Drew Gooden F · 6'10" 250 · 33	33.6	18	69%	5	1	0	0	2	3	2	3	1-4	25%	7-9	78%	1-2	50%
Paul Pierce F · 6'7" 235 · 37	32.7	17	71%	6	5	2	0	1	3	0	6	4-5	80%	5-7	71%	1-3	33%
Garrett Temple G · 6'5" 195 · 28	30.9	6	38%	7	1	2	1	3	1	2	5	0-0	-	0-2	0%	2-6	33%

Otto Porter Jr. F · 6'8" 198 · 21	23.5	13	72%	4	0	1	0	0	1	1	3	4-6	67%	3-4	75%	1-3	33%
Kris Humphries F · 6'9" 235 · 30	13.3	4	33%	2	0	0	0	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 39	10.4	0	0%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Rasual Butler F · 6'7" 215 · 35	10.3	3	50%	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Kevin Seraphin F-C · 6'10" 278 · 25	7.7	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Nene C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32	\| NWT - Suspension
DeJuan Blair C-F · 6'7" 270 · 26	\| NWT - Suspension
Glen Rice G-F · 6'6" 206 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Martell Webster #9 · F-G · 6'7" 230 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Bradley Beal #3 · G · 6'4" 207 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	55%	36	20	7	2	14	0	7	29	17-24	71%	30-56	54%	6-19	32%

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14 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Chris Bosh C · 6'11" 235 · 31	39.1	26	65%	15	4	1	1	3	1	4	11	5-5	100%	6-14	43%	3-4	75%
Shawne Williams F · 6'10" 230 · 29	31.7	3	15%	6	3	2	0	0	5	3	3	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-6	0%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 33	31.4	21	62%	1	3	2	0	2	2	0	1	3-3	100%	6-13	46%	2-3	67%
Luol Deng F · 6'9" 220 · 30	30.3	12	60%	4	1	0	1	2	2	2	2	4-5	80%	4-6	67%	0-2	0%
Norris Cole G · 6'2" 175 · 26	27.8	23	72%	3	2	0	0	3	1	0	3	2-2	100%	6-8	75%	3-7	43%

Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 28	25.5	8	57%	4	4	1	0	3	5	0	4	1-1	100%	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36	24.2	7	88%	6	1	2	1	0	0	2	4	3-4	75%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Shabazz Napier G · 6'1" 175 · 23	15.3	2	50%	3	2	1	0	1	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
James Ennis III F · 6'7" 210 · 24	14.7	5	63%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	1-1	100%	2-2	100%	0-2	0%
Danny Granger F-G · 6'9" 222 · 32	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Justin Hamilton C · 7'0" 255 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Shannon Brown G · 6'3" 215 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Andre Dawkins #24 · G · 6'5" 219 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Josh McRoberts #4 · · 6'10" 240 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	58%	44	20	9	3	14	0	12	32	20-23	87%	30-53	57%	9-28	32%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	WAS	MIA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

WAS

1.09 54.6%

MIA

1.16 58.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

WAS

15

22

68%

MIA

16

27

59%

Midrange

WAS

15

34

44%

MIA

14

26

54%

3PT | Effective 3PT

WAS

6

9.0

19

32%

47%

MIA

9

13.5

28

32%

48%

Free Throws

WAS

17

24

71%

MIA

20

23

87%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Wizards

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
M. Gortat	18	56%	9.0 / 16
D. Gooden	18	69%	9.0 / 13
P. Pierce	17	71%	8.5 / 12
J. Wall	16	53%	8.0 / 15
O. Porter Jr.	13	72%	6.5 / 9
G. Temple	6	38%	3.0 / 8
K. Humphries	4	33%	2.0 / 6
R. Butler	3	50%	1.5 / 3
A. Miller	0	-	0.0 / 1
K. Seraphin	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Bosh	26	65%	13.0 / 20
N. Cole	23	72%	11.5 / 16
D. Wade	21	62%	10.5 / 17
L. Deng	12	60%	6.0 / 10
M. Chalmers	8	57%	4.0 / 7
C. Andersen	7	88%	3.5 / 4
J. Ennis III	5	63%	2.5 / 4
S. Williams	3	15%	1.5 / 10
S. Napier	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	23 103.9 21 103.9	WAS 103.3 MIA 116.3 +13.0
Pace	17 93.6 29 91.0	WAS 97.1 +9.6 MIA 87.4
Avg. Poss. Time	16 15.3 2 16.3	WAS 14.8 −1.6 MIA 16.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 49.9% 12 50.0%	WAS 52.0% MIA 53.7% +1.7%
TO %	23 15.2% 24 15.2%	WAS 14.1% MIA 13.3% −0.8%
ORB %	15 25.0% 26 23.3%	WAS 17.9% MIA 29.3% +11.4%
FTrt	22 25.9 4 30.6	WAS 32.0 +3.6 MIA 28.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 62.7% 22 56.4%	WAS 55.6% +4.3% MIA 51.3%
STL %	20 7.7% 8 8.6%	WAS 7.6% MIA 9.8% +2.2%
BLK %	15 7.6% 12 8.0%	WAS 3.8% MIA 5.4% +1.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	17 51.8% 13 52.2%	WAS 54.6% MIA 58.2% +3.6%
Rim FG%	3 61.2% 8 59.7%	WAS 68.2% +8.9% MIA 59.3%
Mid FG%	20 39.6% 8 40.9%	WAS 44.1% MIA 53.8% +9.7%
3P %	9 36.0% 24 33.5%	WAS 31.6% MIA 32.1% +0.5%
FT %	21 74.2% 22 74.1%	WAS 70.8% MIA 87.0% +16.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	24 34.0% 18 35.1%	WAS 29.3% MIA 33.3% +4.0%
Mid Att. %	28 45.6% 22 38.7%	WAS 45.3% MIA 32.1% −13.2%
3P Att. %	28 20.3% 17 26.2%	WAS 25.3% MIA 34.6% +9.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	WAS	MIA
Possessions	92	92
Possession Minutes	22.8	25.3
Points	95	107
Rebounds	36	44
Assists	20	20
Steals	7	9
Blocks	2	3
Turnovers (Team)	14 (0)	14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (2)	12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (0)	32 (0)
Field Goals	36-75	39-81
At-the-Rim FG	15-22	16-27
Midrange FG	15-34	14-26
2-Point FG	30-56	30-53
3-Point FG	6-19	9-28
Free Throws	17-24	20-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg