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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 1, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Mavericks51%105109
15Pelicans49%104104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.0
33.9
30.5
20
68%
4
4
0
1
0
3
0
4
4-4
100%
5-7
4-8
71%
52%
2-6
33%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.0
32.6
31.2
17
55%
7
3
1
1
0
2
4
3
3-3
100%
7-12
6-12
58%
47%
0-2
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 32.7
30.9
24.2
8
50%
5
4
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
2-5
40%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 36.4
29.8
26.4
17
43%
6
3
0
1
1
4
0
6
1-2
50%
8-14
5-10
57%
51%
0-5
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 32.1
29.7
24.9
11
63%
7
1
0
1
2
1
1
6
1-4
25%
5-7
3-5
71%
59%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 31.7
27.5
24.8
12
68%
3
6
1
1
0
0
0
3
2-4
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
2-4
50%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27.1
18.3
19.5
12
86%
5
0
0
1
3
0
3
2
0-0
-
6-7
3-5
86%
63%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.1
16.3
15.1
2
26%
5
0
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-2
0%
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
0-1
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.3
13.6
16.3
8
57%
0
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
43%
0-1
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 34.4
7.4
14.5
2
25%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.3
10.9
0
1-1
50%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.8
3.9
0
1-1
58%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 30.2
2.7
0
0-1
46%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 30.3
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 22.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 21.6
42.8
33.3
31
55%
15
2
2
1
3
1
6
9
13-16
81%
9-21
8-15
43%
52%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25.1
37.0
30.8
22
54%
10
9
2
1
1
4
1
9
3-3
100%
5-13
6-12
38%
48%
3-6
50%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 24.4
37.0
20.4
24
62%
4
6
3
1
0
2
1
3
1-1
100%
7-11
3-6
64%
46%
3-8
38%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.9
34.2
28.2
0
0%
1
1
0
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
0-5
3-6
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.3
32.8
27.6
13
61%
9
1
0
1
0
1
4
5
3-6
50%
5-8
3-6
63%
54%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 26.5
29.1
25.2
11
50%
5
1
1
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
4-9
3-7
44%
47%
1-2
50%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 22.3
18.4
19.5
3
39%
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-2
2-5
50%
43%
0-1
0%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 34.9
5.0
8.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.7
3.6
12.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-0
-
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.6
11.1
0
1-1
51%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 26.5
6.1
0
1-2
54%
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 24.7
5.5
0
1-1
53%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.4
5.4
0
0-1
42%
Russ Smith
G · 6'0" 165 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.