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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 1, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Heat
114
3076ers
96
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 30.6
33
35
30
8
4
2
1
0
3
3
5
10-11
91%
7-12
5-9
58%
54%
2-5
40%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 32.8
33
30
9
3
10
3
1
0
6
1
2
1-3
33%
4-17
6-11
24%
53%
0-1
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.5
29
26
15
4
2
2
1
0
1
2
2
0-1
0%
6-8
3-6
75%
48%
1-3
33%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.7
29
26
15
4
4
1
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
46%
3-5
60%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.1
27
24
10
1
4
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
46%
2-4
50%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.5
25
26
20
2
4
4
1
0
0
0
2
6-10
60%
4-7
2-4
57%
50%
2-2
100%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.3
20
13
5
3
4
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
1-2
50%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36.3
17
20
0
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
62%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 27.7
11
28
3
3
0
0
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
1-2
1-3
50%
52%
0-1
0%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.3
8
11
5
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
1-1
100%
Justin Hamilton
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.6
6
6
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
52%
0-0
-
Andre Dawkins
G · 6'5" 219 · 23.1
2
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 28.9
4
0
0-1
45%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.4
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 31.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.6
33
32
21
3
10
1
1
1
4
0
3
8-11
73%
5-7
5-10
71%
48%
1-4
25%
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 23.6
32
30
10
1
2
0
1
3
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
2-5
40%
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 24.6
28
24
9
4
2
0
1
1
0
1
3
1-2
50%
4-9
4-7
44%
48%
0-0
-
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 20.6
25
29
2
5
3
1
1
1
3
0
5
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
49%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.1
19
17
9
7
3
1
1
0
6
3
4
1-2
50%
4-8
1-3
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Brandon Davies
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.3
24
10
18
3
0
3
0
0
3
0
3
3-4
75%
6-7
1-2
86%
47%
1-2
50%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'6" 206 · 24.5
21
28
5
2
0
3
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
1-3
33%
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 21.7
21
15
8
1
2
0
0
3
2
0
1
3-4
75%
1-1
2-3
100%
45%
1-3
33%
Malcolm Thomas
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.0
19
13
8
9
0
0
0
0
0
0
9
0-0
-
4-4
1-3
100%
48%
0-0
-
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 25.9
15
18
6
1
6
0
1
0
2
0
1
3-3
100%
0-0
1-4
-
40%
1-4
25%
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 21.6
2
7
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 23.1
12
1
2-4
44%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 33.8
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.6
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.