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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 1, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Bucks24%9297
14Wizards76%102108
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 22.9
38
31
24
5
6
1
1
0
3
2
3
3-4
75%
6-11
4-9
55%
44%
3-4
75%
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 19.6
34
30
13
11
0
1
1
0
5
5
6
2-2
100%
4-14
3-7
29%
44%
1-3
33%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 23.2
24
29
6
2
4
3
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-4
3-7
25%
44%
1-3
33%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 25.9
24
25
8
7
1
0
1
0
2
4
3
4-4
100%
2-4
4-8
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 29.3
14
16
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
49%
0-3
0%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.2
21
16
20
3
2
2
1
0
4
0
3
8-8
100%
3-8
2-4
38%
42%
2-2
100%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.0
19
22
3
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
44%
0-2
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.5
18
12
8
4
1
1
0
1
1
2
2
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
1-2
50%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 23.8
16
17
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
50%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 30.7
14
7
2
2
1
0
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
0-0
-
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 19.9
13
24
4
3
1
1
1
1
3
0
3
0-1
0%
2-2
2-4
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 23.2
6
6
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
1-2
50%
Nate Wolters
· 6'4" 190 · 23.5
11
0
1-2
44%
Johnny O'Bryant III
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 21.4
Damien Inglis
F · 6'8" 246 · 19.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.7
38
35
20
9
2
1
1
3
4
1
8
2-4
50%
9-14
6-12
64%
55%
0-0
-
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.2
38
36
19
6
10
5
2
1
4
0
6
6-9
67%
5-10
6-12
50%
48%
1-4
25%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 28.5
38
28
18
1
1
3
1
0
2
0
1
4-5
80%
4-5
2-5
80%
45%
2-4
50%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.1
33
23
22
6
4
3
1
0
1
2
4
2-3
67%
10-11
5-9
91%
52%
0-1
0%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 37.1
17
29
2
3
4
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
0-2
3-6
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 21.4
37
19
21
5
1
2
1
0
1
0
5
6-7
86%
6-9
2-4
67%
50%
1-2
50%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 33.1
14
23
2
3
1
1
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
3-7
20%
48%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 38.6
10
10
0
0
2
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.7
7
10
0
1
2
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
50%
0-0
-
Glen Rice
G-F · 6'6" 206 · 23.8
5
8
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-3
67%
1-2
1-1
50%
48%
0-1
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 25.5
4
6
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
54%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 24.9
6
0
1-2
50%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 35.4
5
0
0-1
45%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 21.3
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 27.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.