Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Nuggets	46%	98	91	96.8	94	99.0
	17	Thunder	54%	100	102	106.3	96	91.4

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 29	36.2	14	58%	3	4	0	0	1	5	0	3	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	2-6	33%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 27	34.7	25	83%	2	5	1	0	7	1	0	2	8-12	67%	7-9	78%	1-3	33%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 25	25.1	7	39%	6	0	0	2	1	1	2	4	1-2	50%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 26	20.4	7	58%	2	2	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 28	18.0	10	71%	2	0	2	1	2	2	1	1	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	0-0	-

Randy Foye G · 6'4" 218 · 31	22.1	5	42%	2	3	0	0	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
JaVale McGee C · 7'0" 270 · 27	20.2	8	67%	4	0	0	4	1	2	4	0	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 27	18.0	5	19%	7	2	0	1	0	5	2	5	1-2	50%	2-7	29%	0-5	0%
Alonzo Gee F · 6'6" 225 · 27	17.1	3	50%	7	1	0	1	1	0	1	6	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Nate Robinson G · 5'9" 180 · 30	13.3	3	75%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 27	9.4	2	17%	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-2	0%
Jusuf Nurkić C · 6'11" 290 · 20	5.6	2	50%	2	1	0	1	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
JJ Hickson C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Gary Harris #14 · G · 6'4" 210 · 20	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Erick Green #11 · G · 6'4" 185 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	91	50%	41	19	4	10	17	0	11	30	14-20	70%	28-54	52%	7-26	27%

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16 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 29	36.2	14	58%	3	4	0	0	1	5	0	3	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	2-6	33%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 27	34.7	25	83%	2	5	1	0	7	1	0	2	8-12	67%	7-9	78%	1-3	33%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 25	25.1	7	39%	6	0	0	2	1	1	2	4	1-2	50%	3-8	38%	0-0	-
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 26	20.4	7	58%	2	2	1	0	0	2	0	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-2	50%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 28	18.0	10	71%	2	0	2	1	2	2	1	1	2-2	100%	4-6	67%	0-0	-

Randy Foye G · 6'4" 218 · 31	22.1	5	42%	2	3	0	0	2	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
JaVale McGee C · 7'0" 270 · 27	20.2	8	67%	4	0	0	4	1	2	4	0	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 27	18.0	5	19%	7	2	0	1	0	5	2	5	1-2	50%	2-7	29%	0-5	0%
Alonzo Gee F · 6'6" 225 · 27	17.1	3	50%	7	1	0	1	1	0	1	6	0-0	-	0-1	0%	1-2	50%
Nate Robinson G · 5'9" 180 · 30	13.3	3	75%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-2	50%
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 27	9.4	2	17%	3	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-2	0%
Jusuf Nurkić C · 6'11" 290 · 20	5.6	2	50%	2	1	0	1	1	3	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
JJ Hickson C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Gary Harris #14 · G · 6'4" 210 · 20	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Erick Green #11 · G · 6'4" 185 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	91	50%	41	19	4	10	17	0	11	30	14-20	70%	28-54	52%	7-26	27%

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17 Oklahoma City Thunder

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Perry Jones III F · 6'11" 235 · 23	40.6	20	56%	4	2	2	0	3	3	0	4	2-4	50%	6-11	55%	2-6	33%
Sebastian Telfair G · 6'0" 170 · 29	38.6	7	27%	4	9	4	0	1	5	0	4	2-4	50%	1-6	17%	1-5	20%
Andre Roberson G · 6'7" 210 · 23	35.4	8	67%	8	5	0	3	3	5	1	7	4-4	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Serge Ibaka F · 6'10" 235 · 25	29.7	23	61%	2	1	1	1	2	2	1	1	0-0	-	7-12	58%	3-7	43%
Steven Adams C · 6'11" 265 · 21	26.8	13	59%	3	1	1	1	2	3	1	2	1-2	50%	6-10	60%	0-0	-

Lance Thomas F · 6'8" 235 · 27	25.1	12	46%	8	2	0	0	2	2	2	6	6-9	67%	3-9	33%	0-0	-
Nick Collison F · 6'10" 255 · 34	24.1	2	25%	7	4	0	1	0	0	0	7	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	0-1	0%
Kendrick Perkins C · 6'10" 270 · 30	19.7	17	85%	5	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	5-6	83%	6-7	86%	0-0	-
Russell Westbrook G · 6'4" 200 · 26	\| DND - Right Hand Injury
Reggie Jackson G · 6'3" 208 · 25	\| DND - Right Ankle Sprain
Anthony Morrow G · 6'5" 210 · 29	\| DND - Left MCL Sprain
Jeremy Lamb G · 6'5" 185 · 22	\| DND - Lower Back Sprain
Kevin Durant #35 · F · 6'11" 240 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Grant Jerrett #7 · F · 6'10" 232 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Mitch McGary #33 · F · 6'10" 255 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	53%	41	24	8	6	13	0	6	35	22-31	71%	31-60	52%	6-20	30%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	OKC
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	OKC

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

1.00 50.0%

OKC

1.05 52.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

20

33

61%

OKC

18

34

53%

Midrange

DEN

8

21

38%

OKC

13

26

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

7

10.5

26

27%

40%

OKC

6

9.0

20

30%

45%

Free Throws

DEN

14

20

70%

OKC

22

31

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Lawson	25	83%	12.5 / 15
A. Afflalo	14	58%	7.0 / 12
T. Mozgov	10	71%	5.0 / 7
J. McGee	8	67%	4.0 / 6
K. Faried	7	39%	3.5 / 9
D. Gallinari	7	58%	3.5 / 6
R. Foye	5	42%	2.5 / 6
W. Chandler	5	19%	2.5 / 13
A. Gee	3	50%	1.5 / 3
N. Robinson	3	75%	1.5 / 2
D. Arthur	2	17%	1.0 / 6
J. Nurkić	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Thunder

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
S. Ibaka	23	61%	11.5 / 19
P. Jones III	20	56%	10.0 / 18
K. Perkins	17	85%	8.5 / 10
S. Adams	13	59%	6.5 / 11
L. Thomas	12	46%	6.0 / 13
A. Roberson	8	67%	4.0 / 6
S. Telfair	7	27%	3.5 / 13
N. Collison	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 104.8 10 108.1	DEN 96.8 OKC 106.3 +9.4
Pace	4 95.9 7 95.5	DEN 99.0 +7.7 OKC 91.4
Avg. Poss. Time	28 14.4 23 14.9	DEN 14.5 −1.2 OKC 15.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 47.9% 17 49.2%	DEN 48.1% OKC 50.0% +1.9%
TO %	15 14.3% 18 14.6%	DEN 16.9% OKC 13.0% −3.9%
ORB %	10 26.5% 2 29.0%	DEN 23.9% +7.2% OKC 16.7%
FTrt	12 27.8 11 28.4	DEN 25.0 OKC 38.8 +13.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	17 57.7% 29 52.8%	DEN 54.3% OKC 64.9% +10.6%
STL %	17 8.0% 22 7.6%	DEN 4.3% OKC 8.3% +4.0%
BLK %	22 7.2% 5 9.0%	DEN 16.7% +5.6% OKC 11.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 50.8% 15 51.9%	DEN 50.0% OKC 52.6% +2.6%
Rim FG%	22 56.1% 23 55.9%	DEN 60.6% +7.7% OKC 52.9%
Mid FG%	24 37.9% 9 40.6%	DEN 38.1% OKC 50.0% +11.9%
3P %	28 32.5% 23 33.9%	DEN 26.9% OKC 30.0% +3.1%
FT %	24 73.5% 15 75.4%	DEN 70.0% OKC 71.0% +1.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	10 38.2% 11 38.2%	DEN 41.3% OKC 42.5% +1.3%
Mid Att. %	6 33.4% 13 35.6%	DEN 26.3% −6.3% OKC 32.5%
3P Att. %	12 28.4% 18 26.2%	DEN 32.5% +7.5% OKC 25.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	OKC
Possessions	94	96
Possession Minutes	22.8	25.2
Points	91	102
Rebounds	41	41
Assists	19	24
Steals	4	8
Blocks	10	6
Turnovers (Team)	17 (1)	13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (0)	6 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (3)	35 (1)
Field Goals	35-80	37-80
At-the-Rim FG	20-33	18-34
Midrange FG	8-21	13-26
2-Point FG	28-54	31-60
3-Point FG	7-26	6-20
Free Throws	14-20	22-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg