Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Sunday, November 2, 2014

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	11	Raptors	39%	100	102
	9	Heat	61%	104	107

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
Raptors	114.6	89	88.3
Heat	118.9	90	90.8

Scoring Opportunities

TOR

+16

-10

MIA

+15

-16

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.05 52.6%

MIA

1.18 58.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	MIA
Q4 - 0:00.0	MIA		102 0%	107 100%
Q4 - 0:02.0	MIA	Deng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	102 0.1%	107 99.9%
Q4 - 0:03.0	TOR	MISS Ross 26' 3PT Jump Shot	102 0.1%	107 99.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0	TOR		102	107
Q4 - 0:10.0	TOR	Raptors Rebound	102 0.8%	107 99.2%
Q4 - 0:11.0	TOR	MISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot	102 0.4%	107 99.6%
Q4 - 0:16.0	TOR	SUB: Ross FOR Johnson	102	107
Q4 - 0:16.0	TOR	SUB: Williams FOR Hansbrough	102	107
Q4 - 0:16.0	TOR	Raptors Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 1)	102	107
Q4 - 0:16.0	MIA	Deng Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)	102 1.2%	107 98.8%
Q4 - 0:16.0	TOR	SUB: Johnson FOR Williams	102	106
Q4 - 0:16.0	TOR	SUB: Hansbrough FOR Ross	102	106
Q4 - 0:16.0	MIA	HEAT Rebound	102	106
Q4 - 0:16.0	MIA	MISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 2	102 1.4%	106 98.6%
Q4 - 0:16.0	TOR	Ross P.FOUL (P1.PN)	102	106
Q4 - 0:21.0	TOR	Lowry 8' Driving Hook Shot (22 PTS)	102 1.3%	106 98.7%
Q4 - 0:24.0	TOR	SUB: Williams FOR Johnson	100	106
Q4 - 0:24.0	TOR	SUB: Ross FOR Hansbrough	100	106
Q4 - 0:24.0	TOR	Raptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)	100	106
Q4 - 0:24.0	MIA	Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)	100 0.8%	106 99.2%
Q4 - 0:24.0	MIA	HEAT Rebound	100	105
Q4 - 0:24.0	MIA	MISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2	100 0.9%	105 99.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0	TOR	SUB: Valanciunas FOR Vasquez	100	105
Q4 - 0:24.0	TOR	Vasquez P.FOUL (P6.PN)	100	105
Q4 - 0:31.0	MIA	SUB: Napier FOR Chalmers	100	105
Q4 - 0:31.0	MIA	HEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)	100	105
Q4 - 0:31.0	MIA	HEAT Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 1)	100	105
Q4 - 0:37.0	TOR	Lowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)	100 0.7%	105 99.3%
Q4 - 0:37.0	TOR	SUB: Johnson FOR Williams	99	105
Q4 - 0:37.0	TOR	SUB: Hansbrough FOR Valanciunas	99	105
Q4 - 0:37.0	TOR	Lowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)	99 0.7%	105 99.3%
Q4 - 0:37.0	MIA	Chalmers L.B.FOUL (P6.PN)	98	105
Q4 - 0:37.0	TOR	Raptors Rebound	98 0.4%	105 99.6%
Q4 - 0:38.0	TOR	MISS DeRozan 20' Jump Shot	98 0.4%	105 99.6%
Q4 - 0:48.0	MIA	Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)	98 0.9%	105 99.1%
Q4 - 0:48.0	MIA	SUB: Chalmers FOR Shaw. Williams	98	104
Q4 - 0:48.0	TOR	SUB: Williams FOR Johnson	98	104
Q4 - 0:48.0	MIA	HEAT Rebound	98	104
Q4 - 0:48.0	MIA	MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2	98 1.1%	104 98.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0	TOR		98	104
Q4 - 0:48.0	TOR	Johnson S.FOUL (P2.PN)	98	104
Q4 - 1:03	MIA	Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)	98 1.3%	104 98.7%
Q4 - 1:04	MIA	MISS Shaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot	98 2.2%	104 97.8%
Q4 - 1:23	TOR	DeRozan 20' Jump Shot (30 PTS)	98 2.1%	104 97.9%
Q4 - 1:33	MIA	Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)	96 1.7%	104 98.3%
Q4 - 1:33	MIA	HEAT Rebound	96	103
Q4 - 1:33	MIA	MISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 2	96 1.9%	103 98.1%
Q4 - 1:33	TOR	Vasquez S.FOUL (P5.PN)	96	103
Q4 - 1:48	MIA	Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)	96 2.0%	103 98.0%
Q4 - 1:49	TOR	MISS Lowry Free Throw 3 of 3	96 2.2%	103 97.8%
Q4 - 1:49	TOR	Lowry Free Throw 2 of 3 (18 PTS)	96 3.0%	103 97.0%
Q4 - 1:49	TOR	Raptors Rebound	95	103
Q4 - 1:49	TOR	MISS Lowry Free Throw 1 of 3	95 2.7%	103 97.3%
Q4 - 1:49	MIA	Cole S.FOUL (P4.PN)	95	103
Q4 - 1:56	MIA	Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)	95 2.0%	103 98.0%
Q4 - 1:56	MIA	HEAT Rebound	95	102
Q4 - 1:56	MIA	MISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2	95 2.2%	102 97.8%
Q4 - 1:56	TOR	Valanciunas S.FOUL (P4.PN)	95	102
Q4 - 2:11	MIA	Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)	95 2.2%	102 97.8%
Q4 - 2:12	TOR	MISS Valanciunas 4' Hook Shot	95 2.7%	102 97.3%
Q4 - 2:31	TOR	Valanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)	95 4.3%	102 95.7%
Q4 - 2:32	MIA	MISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot	95 3.5%	102 96.5%
Q4 - 2:51	TOR	SUB: Valanciunas FOR Hansbrough	95	102
Q4 - 2:51	MIA	SUB: Cole FOR Chalmers	95	102
Q4 - 2:51			95	102
Q4 - 2:51	TOR	Vasquez Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)	95 2.9%	102 97.1%
Q4 - 2:55	TOR	Vasquez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	95 5.0%	102 95.0%
Q4 - 2:56	MIA	MISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot	95 4.3%	102 95.7%
Q4 - 3:12	TOR	Shaw. Williams STEAL (1 STL)	95 2.9%	102 97.1%
Q4 - 3:22	MIA	Deng Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)	95 5.1%	102 94.9%
Q4 - 3:22	MIA	HEAT Rebound	95	101
Q4 - 3:22	MIA	MISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 2	95 5.5%	101 94.5%
Q4 - 3:22	TOR	Lowry P.FOUL (P4.PN)	95	101
Q4 - 3:38	TOR	DeRozan 16' Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Vasquez 2 AST)	95 6.7%	101 93.3%
Q4 - 3:45	MIA		93	101
Q4 - 3:45	MIA	Chalmers P.FOUL (P5.T4)	93	101
Q4 - 3:47	MIA	Wade Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T17)	93 4.8%	101 95.2%
Q4 - 4:04	MIA	Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)	93 3.1%	101 96.9%
Q4 - 4:05	TOR	MISS Vasquez 25' 3PT Jump Shot	93 3.5%	101 96.5%
Q4 - 4:29	MIA	Shaw. Williams 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Deng 3 AST)	93 4.5%	101 95.5%
Q4 - 4:41	MIA	Chalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	93 8.7%	98 91.3%
Q4 - 4:42	TOR	Deng BLOCK (1 BLK)	93 9.8%	98 90.2%
Q4 - 4:51	TOR	SUB: Lowry FOR Williams	93	98
Q4 - 4:51	TOR	Raptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)	93	98
Q4 - 4:58	TOR	DeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	93 12.6%	98 87.4%
Q4 - 4:59	MIA	MISS Bosh 12' Step Back Jump Shot	93 11.2%	98 88.8%
Q4 - 5:23	TOR	DeRozan 24' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)	93 10.8%	98 89.2%
Q4 - 5:45	MIA	Shaw. Williams Tip Shot (13 PTS)	90 6.0%	98 94.0%
Q4 - 5:47	MIA	Shaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	90 8.0%	96 92.0%
Q4 - 5:48	MIA	MISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot	90 10.0%	96 90.0%
Q4 - 5:50	MIA	Chalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	90 7.9%	96 92.1%
Q4 - 5:51	MIA	MISS Wade 16' Jump Shot	90 10.0%	96 90.0%
Q4 - 6:17	TOR	Vasquez 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)	90 9.4%	96 90.6%
Q4 - 6:33	MIA	Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	88 7.4%	96 92.6%
Q4 - 6:33	MIA	SUB: Deng FOR Napier	88	95
Q4 - 6:33	MIA	Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)	88 7.8%	95 92.2%
Q4 - 6:33	TOR	Williams S.FOUL (P3.T4)	88	94
Q4 - 6:34	MIA	Wade REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)	88 9.3%	94 90.7%
Q4 - 6:36	MIA	MISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot	88 11.6%	94 88.4%
Q4 - 6:43	MIA	Wade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)	88 9.3%	94 90.7%
Q4 - 6:44	MIA	MISS Shaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot	88 11.6%	94 88.4%
Q4 - 6:48	TOR	Napier STEAL (2 STL)	88 9.3%	94 90.7%
Q4 - 6:49	TOR	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	88 12.7%	94 87.3%
Q4 - 6:50	MIA	MISS Wade 19' Jump Shot	88 11.6%	94 88.4%
Q4 - 7:05	TOR	Johnson 3' Driving Layup (8 PTS)	88 10.8%	94 89.2%
Q4 - 7:18	TOR	Hansbrough REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	86 8.6%	94 91.4%
Q4 - 7:19	MIA	MISS Napier 3PT Jump Shot	86 7.9%	94 92.1%
Q4 - 7:32	TOR	Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	86 6.5%	94 93.5%
Q4 - 7:32	TOR	Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	85 6.2%	94 93.8%
Q4 - 7:32	MIA	Napier S.FOUL (P2.T3)	84	94
Q4 - 7:38	MIA	Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	84 5.1%	94 94.9%
Q4 - 7:38	MIA	HEAT Rebound	84	93
Q4 - 7:38	MIA	MISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 2	84 5.4%	93 94.6%
Q4 - 7:38	TOR	DeRozan S.FOUL (P1.T3)	84	93
Q4 - 7:40	MIA	HEAT Rebound	84 5.0%	93 95.0%
Q4 - 7:41	MIA	MISS Bosh 12' Turnaround Jump Shot	84 6.1%	93 93.9%
Q4 - 8:01	TOR	DeRozan Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)	84 6.1%	93 93.9%
Q4 - 8:14	MIA	SUB: Shaw. Williams FOR McRoberts	84	93
Q4 - 8:14	TOR	Raptors Rebound	84 7.7%	93 92.3%
Q4 - 8:15	TOR	MISS DeRozan 10' Turnaround Jump Shot	84 6.6%	93 93.4%
Q4 - 8:27	MIA	Napier Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)	84 7.7%	93 92.3%
Q4 - 8:46	MIA	Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	84 6.0%	93 94.0%
Q4 - 8:47	TOR	MISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 2	84 6.2%	93 93.8%
Q4 - 8:47	MIA	SUB: Wade FOR Ennis	84	93
Q4 - 8:47	TOR	Raptors Rebound	84	93
Q4 - 8:47	TOR	MISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 2	84 7.4%	93 92.6%
Q4 - 8:47	MIA	Chalmers P.FOUL (P4.T2)	84	93
Q4 - 8:57	MIA	Chalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)	84 7.7%	93 92.3%
Q4 - 9:13	TOR	SUB: Vasquez FOR Hayes	84	93
Q4 - 9:13	MIA	HEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)	84	93
Q4 - 9:21	TOR	Johnson 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)	84 7.1%	93 92.9%
Q4 - 9:28	TOR	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	82 5.7%	93 94.3%
Q4 - 9:29	MIA	MISS McRoberts 2' Layup	82 5.3%	93 94.7%
Q4 - 9:50	TOR	Williams 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	82 4.5%	93 95.5%
Q4 - 9:59	TOR	Hansbrough REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	80 3.6%	93 96.4%
Q4 - 10:03	TOR	SUB: DeRozan FOR Lowry	80	93
Q4 - 10:03	MIA	MISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2	80 4.1%	93 95.9%
Q4 - 10:03	MIA	Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)	80 3.5%	93 96.5%
Q4 - 10:03	TOR	Hayes S.FOUL (P2.T2)	80	92
Q4 - 10:13	MIA	McRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	80 4.2%	92 95.8%
Q4 - 10:14	TOR	MISS Lowry 12' Jump Shot	80 4.5%	92 95.5%
Q4 - 10:34	MIA	Napier Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)	80 5.2%	92 94.8%
Q4 - 10:34	TOR	Williams S.FOUL (P2.T1)	80	91
Q4 - 10:34	MIA	Napier 4' Driving Layup (7 PTS)	80	91
Q4 - 10:39	TOR	Bosh STEAL (1 STL)	80 7.8%	89 92.2%
Q4 - 10:40	TOR	Hayes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	80 9.7%	89 90.3%
Q4 - 10:41	TOR	MISS Hayes 9' Jump Shot	80 8.3%	89 91.7%
Q4 - 10:50	MIA	McRoberts P.FOUL (P2.T1)	80	89
Q4 - 11:01	TOR	Hayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	80 10.5%	89 89.5%
Q4 - 11:02	MIA	MISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot	80 9.9%	89 90.1%
Q4 - 11:19	TOR	Lowry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Hayes 1 AST)	80 8.5%	89 91.5%
Q4 - 11:26	TOR	Hayes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	77 5.8%	89 94.2%
Q4 - 11:27	TOR	McRoberts BLOCK (1 BLK)	77 5.0%	89 95.0%
Q4 - 11:42	MIA	Bosh 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Napier 2 AST)	77 5.8%	89 94.2%
Q4 - 12:00			77	87
Q3 - 0:00.0	TOR		77 7.0%	87 93.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0	TOR	Raptors Rebound	77 8.6%	87 91.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0	MIA	MISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot	77 8.0%	87 92.0%
Q3 - 0:04.0	TOR	Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	77 7.7%	87 92.3%
Q3 - 0:04.0	TOR	Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	76 7.5%	87 92.5%
Q3 - 0:04.0	MIA	Chalmers S.FOUL (P3.PN)	75	87
Q3 - 0:19.0	MIA	Chalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)	75 6.4%	87 93.6%
Q3 - 0:33.0	TOR	Hansbrough L.B.FOUL (P2.PN)	75	87
Q3 - 0:33.0	MIA	HEAT Rebound	75 5.2%	87 94.8%
Q3 - 0:34.0	TOR	MISS Lowry 22' Jump Shot	75 5.6%	87 94.4%
Q3 - 0:53.0	TOR	Hansbrough REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	75 6.3%	87 93.7%
Q3 - 0:54.0	TOR	MISS Hayes 7' Turnaround Jump Shot	75 5.5%	87 94.5%
Q3 - 1:11	TOR	Hansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	75 7.0%	87 93.0%
Q3 - 1:12	MIA	MISS Chalmers 18' Jump Shot	75 6.6%	87 93.4%
Q3 - 1:35	TOR	SUB: Hayes FOR Valanciunas	75	87
Q3 - 1:35	MIA	SUB: Napier FOR Cole	75	87
Q3 - 1:35	TOR	Williams Foul Turnover (P1.T5)	75 5.7%	87 94.3%
Q3 - 1:35	TOR	Williams Offensive Charge Foul (P1.PN)	75	87
Q3 - 1:36	TOR	Valanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	75 6.9%	87 93.1%
Q3 - 1:37	MIA	MISS Deng 10' Jump Shot	75 6.5%	87 93.5%
Q3 - 1:51	TOR	Lowry 9' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)	75 5.7%	87 94.3%
Q3 - 2:04	TOR	Valanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	73 5.4%	87 94.6%
Q3 - 2:05	MIA	MISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot	73 5.1%	87 94.9%
Q3 - 2:30	TOR	Lowry 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)	73 4.5%	87 95.5%
Q3 - 2:43	MIA	Bosh Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)	71 3.8%	87 96.2%
Q3 - 2:55	TOR	SUB: Williams FOR Vasquez	71	87
Q3 - 2:55	TOR	Vasquez Foul Turnover (P1.T4)	71 3.1%	87 96.9%
Q3 - 2:55	TOR	Vasquez Offensive Charge Foul (P4.T4)	71	87
Q3 - 3:17	MIA	Chalmers 9' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS)	71 4.2%	87 95.8%
Q3 - 3:27	MIA	Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	71 4.9%	85 95.1%
Q3 - 3:28	TOR	MISS Vasquez 25' 3PT Jump Shot	71 5.2%	85 94.8%
Q3 - 3:41	MIA	Deng 7' Jump Shot (16 PTS)	71 5.9%	85 94.1%
Q3 - 3:54	TOR	Lowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)	71 6.9%	83 93.1%
Q3 - 3:54	TOR	Lowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	70 6.7%	83 93.3%
Q3 - 3:54	MIA	Hamilton S.FOUL (P4.T4)	69	83
Q3 - 4:06	MIA	Cole Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)	69 6.4%	83 93.6%
Q3 - 4:25	MIA	SUB: Chalmers FOR Wade	69	83
Q3 - 4:25	MIA	SUB: Bosh FOR Shaw. Williams	69	83
Q3 - 4:25	MIA	HEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)	69	83
Q3 - 4:29	TOR	Valanciunas 4' Jump Hook Shot (14 PTS)	69 5.3%	83 94.7%
Q3 - 4:32	TOR	Valanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	67 4.6%	83 95.4%
Q3 - 4:34	TOR	MISS Vasquez 4' Driving Layup	67 4.0%	83 96.0%
Q3 - 4:53	MIA	Wade 25' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (17 PTS)	67 4.6%	83 95.4%
Q3 - 5:11	MIA	Wade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)	67 6.7%	80 93.3%
Q3 - 5:12	TOR	MISS Valanciunas 2' Layup	67 7.1%	80 92.9%
Q3 - 5:28	MIA	Hamilton P.FOUL (P3.T3)	67	80
Q3 - 5:42	MIA	Shaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)	67 7.9%	80 92.1%
Q3 - 5:59	TOR	DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)	67 10.4%	77 89.6%
Q3 - 5:59	MIA	Cole S.FOUL (P3.T2)	66	77
Q3 - 5:59	TOR	DeRozan 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (22 PTS)	66	77
Q3 - 6:02	MIA	Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)	64 8.4%	77 91.6%
Q3 - 6:12	TOR	Vasquez P.FOUL (P3.T3)	64	77
Q3 - 6:25	TOR	DeRozan 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS)	64 7.1%	77 92.9%
Q3 - 6:40	TOR	SUB: Hansbrough FOR Patterson	62	77
Q3 - 6:40	TOR	SUB: Vasquez FOR Ross	62	77
Q3 - 6:40	TOR		62	77
Q3 - 6:40	TOR	Raptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)	62	77
Q3 - 6:45	MIA	Shaw. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	62 6.3%	77 93.7%
Q3 - 6:45	MIA	Shaw. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	62 6.5%	76 93.5%
Q3 - 6:45	TOR	Lowry Shooting Block Foul (P3.T2)	62	75
Q3 - 6:48	MIA	Wade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	62 7.1%	75 92.9%
Q3 - 6:49	TOR	Shaw. Williams BLOCK (1 BLK)	62 7.5%	75 92.5%
Q3 - 7:01	MIA	Deng 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)	62 8.8%	75 91.2%
Q3 - 7:16	TOR	DeRozan 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)	62 9.9%	73 90.1%
Q3 - 7:17	TOR	Raptors Rebound	60 8.8%	73 91.2%
Q3 - 7:18	TOR	Wade BLOCK (2 BLK)	60 7.8%	73 92.2%
Q3 - 7:30	MIA	SUB: Hamilton FOR Bosh	60	73
Q3 - 7:30	MIA	Deng P.FOUL (P3.T1)	60	73
Q3 - 7:41	TOR	Raptors Rebound	60 8.7%	73 91.3%
Q3 - 7:42	TOR	MISS Ross 25' 3PT Jump Shot	60 7.8%	73 92.2%
Q3 - 7:49	TOR	Lowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	60 8.7%	73 91.3%
Q3 - 7:50	TOR	MISS DeRozan 19' Jump Shot	60 7.8%	73 92.2%
Q3 - 8:06	MIA	Shaw. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)	60 9.2%	73 90.8%
Q3 - 8:06	MIA	HEAT Rebound	60	72
Q3 - 8:06	MIA	MISS Shaw. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2	60 9.4%	72 90.6%
Q3 - 8:06	TOR	Valanciunas S.FOUL (P3.T1)	60	72
Q3 - 8:21	MIA	Bosh Violation:Defensive Goaltending	60	72
Q3 - 8:21	TOR	DeRozan 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (16 PTS)	60 8.9%	72 91.1%
Q3 - 8:33	TOR	Ross REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	58 8.0%	72 92.0%
Q3 - 8:34	MIA	MISS Shaw. Williams 1' Layup	58 7.6%	72 92.4%
Q3 - 8:42	MIA	Wade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	58 6.8%	72 93.2%
Q3 - 8:43	TOR	MISS Lowry 20' Fadeaway Jumper	58 7.1%	72 92.9%
Q3 - 9:02	MIA	Cole 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)	58 8.3%	72 91.7%
Q3 - 9:22	MIA	Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	58 10.7%	69 89.3%
Q3 - 9:23	TOR	MISS Ross 10' Driving Jump Shot	58 11.1%	69 88.9%
Q3 - 9:44	MIA	Wade 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST)	58 12.2%	69 87.8%
Q3 - 10:04	TOR	Valanciunas 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (12 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)	58 14.0%	67 86.0%
Q3 - 10:25	MIA	Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)	56 12.4%	67 87.6%
Q3 - 10:37	MIA	Shaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	56 15.8%	64 84.2%
Q3 - 10:38	TOR	MISS Ross 25' 3PT Jump Shot	56 16.4%	64 83.6%
Q3 - 10:53	MIA	Cole Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)	56 17.8%	64 82.2%
Q3 - 11:09	MIA	Shaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	56 16.3%	64 83.7%
Q3 - 11:10	TOR	MISS Patterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot	56 16.8%	64 83.2%
Q3 - 11:21	TOR	DeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	56 18.2%	64 81.8%
Q3 - 11:22	MIA	MISS Cole 19' Jump Shot	56 17.6%	64 82.4%
Q3 - 11:39	TOR	Ross 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Patterson 1 AST)	56 16.2%	64 83.8%
Q3 - 12:00			54	64
Q2 - 0:00.0	MIA		54 14.5%	64 85.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0	TOR	Vasquez 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)	54 12.8%	64 87.2%
Q2 - 0:14.0	MIA	Brown Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)	52 11.9%	64 88.1%
Q2 - 0:14.0	MIA	HEAT Rebound	52	63
Q2 - 0:14.0	MIA	MISS Brown Free Throw 1 of 2	52 12.2%	63 87.8%
Q2 - 0:14.0	TOR		52	63
Q2 - 0:14.0	TOR	Lowry S.FOUL (P2.PN)	52	63
Q2 - 0:19.0	TOR	Napier STEAL (1 STL)	52 12.3%	63 87.7%
Q2 - 0:31.0	MIA	Bosh 22' Jump Shot (13 PTS)	52 13.3%	63 86.7%
Q2 - 0:40.0	TOR	Lowry 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	52 15.4%	61 84.6%
Q2 - 0:54.0	MIA	Deng 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)	50 13.3%	61 86.7%
Q2 - 1:13	MIA	Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	50 16.1%	59 83.9%
Q2 - 1:14	TOR	MISS DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2	50 16.2%	59 83.8%
Q2 - 1:14	MIA	SUB: Brown FOR Wade	50	59
Q2 - 1:14	MIA	SUB: Napier FOR Chalmers	50	59
Q2 - 1:14	TOR	Raptors Rebound	50	59
Q2 - 1:14	TOR	MISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2	50 17.5%	59 82.5%
Q2 - 1:14	MIA	Cole Shooting Block Foul (P2.PN)	50	59
Q2 - 1:17	TOR	Valanciunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	50 17.0%	59 83.0%
Q2 - 1:18	MIA	MISS Bosh 2' Layup	50 16.7%	59 83.3%
Q2 - 1:28	MIA	Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	50 16.0%	59 84.0%
Q2 - 1:29	TOR	MISS Vasquez 24' 3PT Jump Shot	50 16.3%	59 83.7%
Q2 - 1:39	MIA	Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)	50 17.0%	59 83.0%
Q2 - 1:56	TOR	Valanciunas Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)	50 21.8%	56 78.2%
Q2 - 1:56	MIA	Deng S.FOUL (P2.PN)	49	56
Q2 - 1:56	TOR	Valanciunas 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Vasquez 1 AST)	49	56
Q2 - 2:11	MIA	Bosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)	47 17.7%	56 82.3%
Q2 - 2:11	TOR	Valanciunas S.FOUL (P2.PN)	47	55
Q2 - 2:11	MIA	Bosh 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)	47	55
Q2 - 2:18	MIA	Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	47 21.7%	53 78.3%
Q2 - 2:19	TOR	MISS Valanciunas 5' Hook Shot	47 22.3%	53 77.7%
Q2 - 2:38	MIA	Deng Dunk (10 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)	47 23.7%	53 76.3%
Q2 - 2:51	TOR	Valanciunas Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)	47 26.2%	51 73.8%
Q2 - 2:51	MIA	SUB: Chalmers FOR Shaw. Williams	46	51
Q2 - 2:51	TOR	Raptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)	46	51
Q2 - 2:51	MIA	Shaw. Williams S.FOUL (P3.PN)	46	51
Q2 - 2:51	TOR	Valanciunas 1' Layup (6 PTS)	46	51
Q2 - 2:51	TOR	Valanciunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	44 21.5%	51 78.5%
Q2 - 2:52	TOR	MISS Valanciunas 1' Dunk	44 20.2%	51 79.8%
Q2 - 3:09	MIA	Wade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	44 22.1%	51 77.9%
Q2 - 3:09	TOR	SUB: Ross FOR Johnson	44	50
Q2 - 3:09	MIA	Wade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)	44 22.6%	50 77.4%
Q2 - 3:09	TOR	Johnson S.FOUL (P1.PN)	44	49
Q2 - 3:17	MIA	Shaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	44 23.9%	49 76.1%
Q2 - 3:18	TOR	MISS DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2	44 24.2%	49 75.8%
Q2 - 3:18	TOR	DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)	44 25.8%	49 74.2%
Q2 - 3:18	MIA	Shaw. Williams S.FOUL (P2.PN)	43	49
Q2 - 3:26	TOR	Vasquez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	43 24.2%	49 75.8%
Q2 - 3:27	MIA	MISS Deng 20' Jump Shot	43 23.5%	49 76.5%
Q2 - 3:42	MIA	Shaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	43 21.8%	49 78.2%
Q2 - 3:43	TOR	MISS Lowry Free Throw 2 of 2	43 22.1%	49 77.9%
Q2 - 3:43	MIA	SUB: Cole FOR Napier	43	49
Q2 - 3:43	MIA	SUB: Bosh FOR Hamilton	43	49
Q2 - 3:43	TOR	Raptors Rebound	43	49
Q2 - 3:43	TOR	MISS Lowry Free Throw 1 of 2	43 23.5%	49 76.5%
Q2 - 3:43	MIA	Wade S.FOUL (P2.PN)	43	49
Q2 - 3:50	MIA	Deng 10' Jump Shot (8 PTS)	43 24.2%	49 75.8%
Q2 - 4:07	MIA	Hamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	43 26.4%	47 73.6%
Q2 - 4:08	MIA	MISS Wade 9' Jump Shot	43 28.1%	47 71.9%
Q2 - 4:35	TOR	Vasquez 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)	43 26.4%	47 73.6%
Q2 - 4:56	MIA	Napier Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	40 22.3%	47 77.7%
Q2 - 4:56	MIA	Napier Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)	40 22.7%	46 77.3%
Q2 - 4:56	TOR	Lowry S.FOUL (P1.PN)	40	45
Q2 - 5:20	TOR	Lowry 3' Driving Bank Shot (6 PTS)	40 24.5%	45 75.5%
Q2 - 5:42	MIA	Deng Running Dunk (6 PTS) (Napier 1 AST)	38 22.5%	45 77.5%
Q2 - 5:48	MIA	HEAT Rebound	38	43
Q2 - 5:48	MIA	Jump Ball Hamilton vs. Valanciunas: Tip to Napier	38 24.5%	43 75.5%
Q2 - 5:48	TOR	SUB: Lowry FOR Williams	38	43
Q2 - 5:51	TOR	MISS Vasquez 2' Layup	38 25.2%	43 74.8%
Q2 - 6:13	MIA	Deng 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)	38 27.2%	43 72.8%
Q2 - 6:27	TOR	Vasquez 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Valanciunas 2 AST)	38 28.9%	41 71.1%
Q2 - 6:45	MIA	Wade 1' Tip Shot (10 PTS)	35 25.1%	41 74.9%
Q2 - 6:46	MIA	Wade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	35 26.7%	39 73.3%
Q2 - 6:47	MIA	MISS Deng 20' Jump Shot	35 28.6%	39 71.4%
Q2 - 6:56	MIA	HEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)	35	39
Q2 - 7:01	TOR	Johnson Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Valanciunas 1 AST)	35 27.1%	39 72.9%
Q2 - 7:07	TOR	Valanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	33 25.2%	39 74.8%
Q2 - 7:08	MIA	MISS Wade 18' Step Back Jump Shot	33 24.5%	39 75.5%
Q2 - 7:21	TOR	SUB: DeRozan FOR Patterson	33	39
Q2 - 7:21	TOR	Patterson Personal Block Foul (P3.T4)	33	39
Q2 - 7:25	MIA	SUB: Hamilton FOR Bosh	33	39
Q2 - 7:25	MIA	Bosh Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)	33 23.1%	39 76.9%
Q2 - 7:25	TOR	Vasquez T.FOUL (P2.T3)	33	38
Q2 - 7:25	TOR	Vasquez P.FOUL (P2.T3)	33	38
Q2 - 7:29	MIA	HEAT Rebound	33 25.0%	38 75.0%
Q2 - 7:30	MIA	MISS Shaw. Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot	33 26.6%	38 73.4%
Q2 - 7:37	MIA	Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	33 25.0%	38 75.0%
Q2 - 7:38	TOR	MISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot	33 25.7%	38 74.3%
Q2 - 7:57	MIA	SUB: Shaw. Williams FOR McRoberts	33	38
Q2 - 7:57	MIA	SUB: Wade FOR Chalmers	33	38
Q2 - 7:57	MIA	McRoberts Foul Turnover (P1.T9)	33 27.3%	38 72.7%
Q2 - 7:57	MIA	McRoberts Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T4)	33	38
Q2 - 8:07	TOR	Patterson L.B.FOUL (P2.T2)	33	38
Q2 - 8:07	MIA	HEAT Rebound	33 25.1%	38 74.9%
Q2 - 8:08	MIA	MISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot	33 26.6%	38 73.4%
Q2 - 8:25	TOR	Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	33 25.1%	38 74.9%
Q2 - 8:25	TOR	Raptors Rebound	32	38
Q2 - 8:25	TOR	MISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 2	32 24.9%	38 75.1%
Q2 - 8:25	MIA	Napier S.FOUL (P1.T3)	32	38
Q2 - 8:37	TOR	SUB: Valanciunas FOR Hayes	32	38
Q2 - 8:37	TOR	SUB: Patterson FOR Hansbrough	32	38
Q2 - 8:37			32	38
Q2 - 8:37	MIA	Bosh Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T8)	32 25.2%	38 74.8%
Q2 - 8:38	MIA	Napier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	32 23.2%	38 76.8%
Q2 - 8:39	MIA	MISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot	32 24.6%	38 75.4%
Q2 - 8:58	TOR	Hansbrough 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)	32 23.2%	38 76.8%
Q2 - 8:59	TOR	Hansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	30 21.5%	38 78.5%
Q2 - 9:00	TOR	MISS Johnson 2' Reverse Layup	30 20.3%	38 79.7%
Q2 - 9:08	TOR	Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	30 21.8%	38 78.2%
Q2 - 9:09	MIA	MISS Chalmers 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup	30 21.2%	38 78.8%
Q2 - 9:15	TOR	Deng STEAL (1 STL)	30 19.9%	38 80.1%
Q2 - 9:29	MIA	Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	30 21.7%	38 78.3%
Q2 - 9:29	MIA	Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	30 22.1%	37 77.9%
Q2 - 9:29	TOR	Vasquez S.FOUL (P1.T1)	30	36
Q2 - 9:32	MIA	Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	30 23.3%	36 76.7%
Q2 - 9:33	TOR	MISS Vasquez 25' 3PT Jump Shot	30 23.9%	36 76.1%
Q2 - 9:53	MIA	Napier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)	30 25.4%	36 74.6%
Q2 - 10:04	TOR	Johnson 13' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)	30 29.2%	33 70.8%
Q2 - 10:23	MIA	McRoberts Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)	28 27.5%	33 72.5%
Q2 - 10:32	MIA	Napier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	28 29.2%	31 70.8%
Q2 - 10:33	TOR	MISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot	28 29.9%	31 70.1%
Q2 - 10:44	MIA	Chalmers P.FOUL (P2.T2)	28	31
Q2 - 10:44	MIA	HEAT Violation: Delay of game Violation	28	31
Q2 - 10:44	MIA	SUB: Deng FOR Ennis	28	31
Q2 - 10:51	MIA	Ennis L.B.FOUL (P3.T1)	28	31
Q2 - 10:52	MIA	Napier Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)	28 31.7%	31 68.3%
Q2 - 11:08	TOR	Vasquez 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)	28 29.4%	31 70.6%
Q2 - 11:17	MIA	HEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)	26 27.5%	31 72.5%
Q2 - 11:41	MIA	Bosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	26 25.5%	31 74.5%
Q2 - 11:42	TOR	MISS Williams 20' Jump Shot	26 26.1%	31 73.9%
Q2 - 12:00			26	31
Q1 - 0:00.0	MIA		26 27.5%	31 72.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0	MIA	HEAT Rebound	26 25.5%	31 74.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0	MIA	MISS Chalmers 34' 3PT Jump Shot	26 26.9%	31 73.1%
Q1 - 0:03.0	TOR	Lowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	26 26.0%	31 74.0%
Q1 - 0:03.0	TOR	Lowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	25 25.7%	31 74.3%
Q1 - 0:03.0	MIA	Hamilton S.FOUL (P2.PN)	24	31
Q1 - 0:21.0	MIA	Hamilton Foul Turnover (P2.T5)	24 23.8%	31 76.2%
Q1 - 0:21.0	MIA	Hamilton OFF.Foul (P1)	24	31
Q1 - 0:29.0	TOR	Chalmers STEAL (1 STL)	24 22.5%	31 77.5%
Q1 - 0:35.0	TOR	SUB: Vasquez FOR DeRozan	24	31
Q1 - 0:35.0	TOR	Raptors Rebound	24 23.8%	31 76.2%
Q1 - 0:36.0	TOR	MISS DeRozan 19' Jump Shot	24 22.9%	31 77.1%
Q1 - 0:55.0	MIA	Chalmers 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)	24 23.8%	31 76.2%
Q1 - 1:12	TOR	DeRozan 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS)	24 26.1%	29 73.9%
Q1 - 1:34	MIA	Ennis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)	22 24.0%	29 76.0%
Q1 - 1:41	MIA	Chalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	22 28.0%	26 72.0%
Q1 - 1:42	TOR	MISS DeRozan 19' Fadeaway Jumper	22 28.4%	26 71.6%
Q1 - 2:00	TOR	Hansbrough REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	22 29.4%	26 70.6%
Q1 - 2:01	MIA	MISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot	22 29.1%	26 70.9%
Q1 - 2:23	TOR	DeRozan Driving Dunk (11 PTS)	22 27.9%	26 72.1%
Q1 - 2:40	MIA	Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	20 26.0%	26 74.0%
Q1 - 2:40	MIA	Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)	20 26.3%	25 73.7%
Q1 - 2:40	TOR	Hayes S.FOUL (P1.T4)	20	24
Q1 - 2:51	MIA	Hamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	20 27.9%	24 72.1%
Q1 - 2:53	TOR	MISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 2	20 28.1%	24 71.9%
Q1 - 2:53	TOR	Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	20 29.5%	24 70.5%
Q1 - 2:53	MIA	Chalmers P.FOUL (P1.PN)	19	24
Q1 - 3:01	MIA	Bosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)	19 28.0%	24 72.0%
Q1 - 3:13	TOR	Hansbrough P.FOUL (P1.T3)	19	24
Q1 - 3:19	MIA	Ennis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	19 26.0%	24 74.0%
Q1 - 3:20	TOR	MISS DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2	19 26.3%	24 73.7%
Q1 - 3:20	TOR	DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)	19 27.5%	24 72.5%
Q1 - 3:20	MIA	Ennis S.FOUL (P2.PN)	18	24
Q1 - 3:35	MIA	Ennis Foul Turnover (P1.T3)	18 26.2%	24 73.8%
Q1 - 3:35	MIA	Ennis Offensive Charge Foul (P1.PN)	18	24
Q1 - 3:45	MIA	SUB: Ennis FOR Wade	18	24
Q1 - 3:45	MIA	SUB: Bosh FOR Shaw. Williams	18	24
Q1 - 3:45	TOR	SUB: Hayes FOR Patterson	18	24
Q1 - 3:45	TOR	SUB: Williams FOR Ross	18	24
Q1 - 3:45	MIA	HEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)	18	24
Q1 - 3:49	TOR	Ross Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	18 24.4%	24 75.6%
Q1 - 3:49	TOR	Ross Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	17 24.1%	24 75.9%
Q1 - 3:49	MIA	Wade S.FOUL (P1.T4)	16	24
Q1 - 3:59	MIA	Hamilton Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)	16	24
Q1 - 4:00	MIA	Jump Ball Hamilton vs. Patterson: Tip to Ross	16 24.1%	24 75.9%
Q1 - 4:04	MIA	Hamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	16 22.6%	24 77.4%
Q1 - 4:06	TOR	MISS DeRozan 18' Fadeaway Jumper	16 23.1%	24 76.9%
Q1 - 4:12	TOR	DeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	16 24.3%	24 75.7%
Q1 - 4:13	TOR	Hamilton BLOCK (1 BLK)	16 23.1%	24 76.9%
Q1 - 4:24	MIA	SUB: Chalmers FOR Deng	16	24
Q1 - 4:24	TOR	Raptors Rebound	16	24
Q1 - 4:24	TOR	MISS DeRozan Free Throw Technical	16 24.4%	24 75.6%
Q1 - 4:24	MIA	HEAT T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Shaw. Williams )	16	24
Q1 - 4:30	MIA	Wade 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)	16 24.4%	24 75.6%
Q1 - 4:43	TOR	Ross Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)	16 25.7%	22 74.3%
Q1 - 4:48	MIA	Wade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	14 24.5%	22 75.5%
Q1 - 5:01	TOR	DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	14 23.6%	22 76.4%
Q1 - 5:01	TOR	SUB: Hansbrough FOR Valanciunas	13	22
Q1 - 5:01	TOR	DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	13 23.4%	22 76.6%
Q1 - 5:01	MIA	Deng S.FOUL (P1.T3)	12	22
Q1 - 5:18	MIA	Hamilton 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)	12 22.6%	22 77.4%
Q1 - 5:31	MIA	Deng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	12 23.8%	20 76.2%
Q1 - 5:32	TOR	MISS Lowry Free Throw 2 of 2	12 24.0%	20 76.0%
Q1 - 5:32	TOR	Raptors Rebound	12	20
Q1 - 5:32	TOR	MISS Lowry Free Throw 1 of 2	12 24.9%	20 75.1%
Q1 - 5:32	MIA	Cole S.FOUL (P1.T2)	12	20
Q1 - 5:41	MIA	Wade 8' Driving Hook Shot (6 PTS)	12 25.3%	20 74.7%
Q1 - 5:51	MIA	Hamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	12 26.6%	18 73.4%
Q1 - 5:52	TOR	MISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot	12 27.1%	18 72.9%
Q1 - 6:00	TOR	Raptors Rebound	12 28.2%	18 71.8%
Q1 - 6:01	TOR	MISS DeRozan 2' Driving Layup	12 27.5%	18 72.5%
Q1 - 6:30	MIA	Wade 12' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS)	12 28.7%	18 71.3%
Q1 - 6:51	TOR	Lowry 5' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS)	12 30.2%	16 69.8%
Q1 - 7:05	MIA	SUB: Hamilton FOR Bosh	10	16
Q1 - 7:05	TOR	Raptors Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)	10	16
Q1 - 7:14	MIA	Shaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)	10 29.4%	16 70.6%
Q1 - 7:18	MIA	Wade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	10 31.8%	13 68.2%
Q1 - 7:19	MIA	MISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot	10 32.8%	13 67.2%
Q1 - 7:25	MIA	Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	10 31.9%	13 68.1%
Q1 - 7:26	TOR	Wade BLOCK (1 BLK)	10 32.3%	13 67.7%
Q1 - 7:42	MIA	Wade 4' Turnaround Bank Shot (2 PTS)	10 33.5%	13 66.5%
Q1 - 7:49	MIA	Bosh Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)	10 34.7%	11 65.3%
Q1 - 7:49	TOR	Raptors T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Lowry )	10	10
Q1 - 8:00	MIA	Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	10 36.0%	10 64.0%
Q1 - 8:01	TOR	MISS DeRozan 18' Jump Shot	10 36.5%	10 63.5%
Q1 - 8:15	MIA	Cole 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)	10 37.5%	10 62.5%
Q1 - 8:29	TOR	DeRozan 16' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)	10 38.7%	8 61.3%
Q1 - 8:56	MIA	Shaw. Williams 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)	8 37.7%	8 62.3%
Q1 - 9:07	TOR	Patterson Personal Block Foul (P1.T2)	8	6
Q1 - 9:24	TOR	Valanciunas Slam Dunk (4 PTS)	8 38.8%	6 61.2%
Q1 - 9:25	TOR	Valanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	6 37.8%	6 62.2%
Q1 - 9:26	TOR	MISS Ross 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup	6 37.1%	6 62.9%
Q1 - 9:43	MIA	Deng 1' Layup (2 PTS)	6 37.9%	6 62.1%
Q1 - 9:44	MIA	Deng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	6 38.8%	4 61.2%
Q1 - 9:45	MIA	MISS Deng 1' Tip Shot	6 39.5%	4 60.5%
Q1 - 9:47	MIA	Deng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	6 38.8%	4 61.2%
Q1 - 9:48	MIA	MISS Shaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot	6 39.5%	4 60.5%
Q1 - 9:57	TOR	DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)	6 38.9%	4 61.1%
Q1 - 9:57	TOR	DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)	5 38.7%	4 61.3%
Q1 - 9:57	MIA	Shaw. Williams S.FOUL (P1.T1)	4	4
Q1 - 10:06	TOR	Lowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	4 38.1%	4 61.9%
Q1 - 10:07	MIA	MISS Deng 26' 3PT Jump Shot	4 37.8%	4 62.2%
Q1 - 10:23	TOR	DeRozan 10' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)	4 37.4%	4 62.6%
Q1 - 10:38	MIA	Bosh 2' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)	2 37.1%	4 62.9%
Q1 - 10:49	TOR	Valanciunas 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)	2 37.8%	2 62.2%
Q1 - 10:59	TOR	Raptors Rebound	0 37.6%	2 62.4%
Q1 - 11:00	MIA	MISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot	0 37.4%	2 62.6%
Q1 - 11:19	MIA	Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0 37.7%	2 62.3%
Q1 - 11:20	TOR	MISS Patterson 20' Jump Shot	0 37.8%	2 62.2%
Q1 - 11:38	MIA	Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	0 38.6%	2 61.4%
Q1 - 11:38	MIA	Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	0 38.6%	1 61.4%
Q1 - 11:38	TOR	Valanciunas S.FOUL (P1.T1)	0	0
Q1 - 12:00	MIA	Jump Ball Bosh vs. Valanciunas: Tip to Cole	0 39.3%	0 60.7%
Q1 - 12:00			0	0
Clock	Team	Event	TOR	MIA
			Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.05 52.6%

MIA

1.18 58.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

TOR

55%

MIA

75%

Midrange

TOR

50%

MIA

42%

3PT | Effective 3PT

TOR

6.0

25%

38%

MIA

13.5

38%

56%

Free Throws

TOR

62%

MIA

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	30	56%	15.0 / 27
K. Lowry	22	65%	11.0 / 17
J. Valančiūnas	14	58%	7.0 / 12
G. Vasquez	12	55%	6.0 / 11
L. Williams	8	44%	4.0 / 9
J. Johnson	8	67%	4.0 / 6
T. Ross	6	38%	3.0 / 8
T. Hansbrough	2	100%	1.0 / 1
P. Patterson	0	-	0.0 / 2
C. Hayes	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Bosh	21	58%	10.5 / 18
D. Wade	19	68%	9.5 / 14
L. Deng	18	56%	9.0 / 16
S. Williams	16	67%	8.0 / 12
M. Chalmers	12	46%	6.0 / 13
S. Napier	8	100%	4.0 / 4
N. Cole	5	50%	2.5 / 5
J. Ennis III	3	150%	1.5 / 1
J. Hamilton	2	100%	1.0 / 1
J. McRoberts	2	50%	1.0 / 2
S. Brown	1	50%	0.5 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR

+16

-10

MIA

+15

-16

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR

1.05 52.6%

MIA

1.18 58.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	111.2 103.9	TOR 114.6 MIA 118.9 +4.3
Pace	92.8 91.0	TOR 88.3 MIA 90.8 +2.5
Avg. Poss. Time	15.8 16.3	TOR 16.3 MIA 15.9 −0.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	50.8% 50.0%	TOR 49.4% MIA 56.4% +7.0%
TO %	13.0% 15.2%	TOR 9.4% −7.0% MIA 16.4%
ORB %	25.6% 23.3%	TOR 22.0% MIA 36.7% +14.7%
FTrt	29.5 30.6	TOR 49.4 MIA 54.3 +4.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	54.7% 56.4%	TOR 29.7% MIA 62.9% +33.2%
STL %	8.0% 8.6%	TOR 9.0% +2.3% MIA 6.7%
BLK %	7.2% 8.0%	TOR 10.9% +1.4% MIA 9.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	53.8% 52.2%	TOR 52.6% MIA 58.8% +6.2%
Rim FG%	59.4% 59.7%	TOR 54.8% MIA 75.0% +20.2%
Mid FG%	40.5% 40.9%	TOR 50.0% +7.7% MIA 42.3%
3P %	35.2% 33.5%	TOR 25.0% MIA 37.5% +12.5%
FT %	78.7% 74.1%	TOR 61.5% MIA 73.7% +12.2%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	35.0% 35.1%	TOR 39.2% +10.7% MIA 28.6%
Mid Att. %	34.9% 38.7%	TOR 40.5% MIA 37.1% −3.4%
3P Att. %	30.2% 26.2%	TOR 20.3% MIA 34.3% +14.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	TOR	MIA
Possessions	89	90
Possession Minutes	24.2	23.8
Points	102	107
Rebounds	28	43
Assists	11	22
Steals	8	6
Blocks	5	6
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (7)	11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	19 (2)	32 (3)
Field Goals	37-79	35-70
At-the-Rim FG	17-31	15-20
Midrange FG	16-32	11-26
2-Point FG	33-63	26-46
3-Point FG	4-16	9-24
Free Throws	24-39	28-38
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

11 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan G · 6'6" 220 · 25	40.8	30	56%	3	1	4	0	2	1	1	2	7-12	58%	10-21	48%	1-1	100%
Kyle Lowry G · 6'0" 196 · 29	36.6	22	65%	2	3	0	0	2	4	1	1	7-13	54%	6-9	67%	1-2	50%
Jonas Valančiūnas C · 6'11" 265 · 22	28.6	14	58%	8	2	0	2	0	4	3	5	2-2	100%	6-12	50%	0-0	-
Terrence Ross F · 6'7" 206 · 24	17.1	6	38%	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Patrick Patterson F · 6'9" 230 · 26	14.8	0	0%	0	1	1	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%

Greivis Vasquez G · 6'6" 217 · 28	25.1	12	55%	2	2	1	0	2	6	0	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-6	33%
Tyler Hansbrough · 6'9" 250 · 29	24.4	2	100%	6	0	1	0	0	2	2	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Lou Williams G · 6'1" 175 · 28	20.6	8	44%	0	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	6-10	60%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 28	20.3	8	67%	3	0	0	3	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Chuck Hayes F-C · 6'6" 240 · 31	11.5	0	0%	3	1	0	0	2	2	2	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Greg Stiemsma C · 6'11" 260 · 29
Lucas Nogueira C · 7'0" 220 · 22
Landry Fields G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26
Amir Johnson #15 · C-F · 6'9" 240 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Bruno Caboclo #5 · F · 6'9" 205 · 19	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	53%	28	11	8	5	10	0	9	19	24-39	62%	33-63	52%	4-16	25%

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11 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan G · 6'6" 220 · 25	40.8	30	56%	3	1	4	0	2	1	1	2	7-12	58%	10-21	48%	1-1	100%
Kyle Lowry G · 6'0" 196 · 29	36.6	22	65%	2	3	0	0	2	4	1	1	7-13	54%	6-9	67%	1-2	50%
Jonas Valančiūnas C · 6'11" 265 · 22	28.6	14	58%	8	2	0	2	0	4	3	5	2-2	100%	6-12	50%	0-0	-
Terrence Ross F · 6'7" 206 · 24	17.1	6	38%	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	1	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-3	0%
Patrick Patterson F · 6'9" 230 · 26	14.8	0	0%	0	1	1	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%

Greivis Vasquez G · 6'6" 217 · 28	25.1	12	55%	2	2	1	0	2	6	0	2	0-0	-	3-5	60%	2-6	33%
Tyler Hansbrough · 6'9" 250 · 29	24.4	2	100%	6	0	1	0	0	2	2	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Lou Williams G · 6'1" 175 · 28	20.6	8	44%	0	1	0	0	1	3	0	0	6-10	60%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 28	20.3	8	67%	3	0	0	3	1	2	0	3	0-0	-	4-5	80%	0-1	0%
Chuck Hayes F-C · 6'6" 240 · 31	11.5	0	0%	3	1	0	0	2	2	2	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Greg Stiemsma C · 6'11" 260 · 29
Lucas Nogueira C · 7'0" 220 · 22
Landry Fields G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26
Amir Johnson #15 · C-F · 6'9" 240 · 28	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Bruno Caboclo #5 · F · 6'9" 205 · 19	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	53%	28	11	8	5	10	0	9	19	24-39	62%	33-63	52%	4-16	25%

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9 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Chris Bosh C · 6'11" 235 · 31	37.9	21	58%	11	4	1	0	3	0	1	10	10-13	77%	4-11	36%	1-2	50%
Luol Deng F · 6'9" 220 · 30	36.9	18	56%	4	3	1	1	0	3	2	2	2-4	50%	8-12	67%	0-2	0%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 33	31.3	19	68%	11	7	0	2	3	2	4	7	4-6	67%	6-10	60%	1-1	100%
Norris Cole G · 6'2" 175 · 26	29.0	5	50%	0	3	0	0	2	4	0	0	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-3	33%
Shawne Williams F · 6'10" 230 · 29	28.4	16	67%	5	0	1	1	0	3	1	4	3-4	75%	2-3	67%	3-7	43%

Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 28	23.9	12	46%	4	3	1	0	2	6	1	3	5-6	83%	2-4	50%	1-6	17%
Justin Hamilton C · 7'0" 255 · 25	18.3	2	100%	4	0	0	1	2	4	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Shabazz Napier G · 6'1" 175 · 23	17.1	8	100%	2	2	2	0	2	2	1	1	3-3	100%	1-1	100%	1-2	50%
James Ennis III F · 6'7" 210 · 24	8.2	3	150%	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	1-1	100%
Josh McRoberts · 6'10" 240 · 28	7.8	2	50%	1	0	0	1	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Shannon Brown G · 6'3" 215 · 29	1.2	1	50%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1-2	50%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Andre Dawkins G · 6'5" 219 · 23
Danny Granger F-G · 6'9" 222 · 32
Udonis Haslem #40 · F · 6'8" 235 · 34	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Chris Andersen #11 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	107	59%	43	22	6	6	16	0	11	32	28-38	74%	26-46	57%	9-24	38%

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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).

indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE