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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 3, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Thunder
85
18Nets
116
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 24.6
42
9
23
4
5
0
0
1
7
1
3
5-5
100%
6-12
1-2
50%
48%
2-8
25%
Perry Jones III
F · 6'11" 235 · 23.1
34
36
16
4
1
0
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
4-7
3-7
57%
49%
2-5
40%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 21.3
30
26
9
9
0
1
1
0
1
4
5
1-4
25%
4-10
2-5
40%
54%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 25.1
29
30
15
9
1
1
1
2
1
2
7
0-0
-
6-9
4-8
67%
55%
1-2
50%
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.9
11
29
1
3
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
52%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 29.4
35
28
16
5
6
0
1
0
3
1
4
3-4
75%
2-3
2-4
67%
42%
3-7
43%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 26.5
22
22
2
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-10
2-5
10%
48%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 34.0
19
20
3
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
1-2
50%
1-4
2-3
25%
55%
0-1
0%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 30.0
18
19
0
4
0
0
0
0
2
2
2
0-2
0%
0-3
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.0
14
1
3-6
47%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.1
7
0
1-2
46%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.4
4
0
0-1
47%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 26.1
Grant Jerrett
F · 6'10" 232 · 21.3
Mitch McGary
F · 6'10" 255 · 22.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.4
37
37
17
3
9
1
1
0
2
0
3
8-8
100%
3-4
4-9
75%
48%
1-4
25%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 33.3
28
35
13
6
6
0
1
0
1
0
6
1-2
50%
3-8
5-10
38%
49%
2-2
100%
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.5
27
23
12
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
48%
2-6
33%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 26.6
24
27
18
6
0
1
0
2
1
2
4
6-7
86%
6-10
6-12
60%
51%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 38.5
20
27
6
6
2
1
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
3-8
4-8
38%
48%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.0
28
23
4
2
1
4
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
46%
0-0
-
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 29.1
21
25
8
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
50%
2-6
33%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 24.7
16
18
10
8
1
0
1
0
0
2
6
0-0
-
5-9
2-4
56%
60%
0-0
-
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 32.0
16
14
18
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
45%
4-4
100%
Jerome Jordan
C · 7'0" 253 · 28.1
11
8
4
2
0
1
0
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
52%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.7
5
9
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Jorge Gutierrez
G · 6'3" 189 · 25.9
5
4
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
47%
0-0
-
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 21.0
5
3
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-1
0%
Markel Brown
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.8
Cory Jefferson
F · 6'9" 218 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.