Final Win Prob. pScore
1054%97
89
2446%96
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
96.79299.0
CHA logo Hornets
106.79084.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHA
Q4 - 0:00.0CHA89
96
Q4 - 0:00.0CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)89
96
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Bosh 27' 3PT Jump Shot89
96
Q4 - 0:08.0CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)89
96
Q4 - 0:08.0CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)89
95
Q4 - 0:08.0MIANapier Personal Take Foul (P5.PN)89
94
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAWade 2' Driving Reverse Layup (25 PTS)89
94
Q4 - 0:15.0CHANeal Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)87
94
Q4 - 0:15.0CHAHORNETS Rebound87
93
Q4 - 0:15.0CHAMISS Neal Free Throw 1 of 287
93
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAShaw. Williams Personal Take Foul (P4.PN)87
93
Q4 - 0:15.0CHASUB: Neal FOR Henderson87
93
Q4 - 0:15.0CHAHORNETS Rebound87
93
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Bosh 27' 3PT Jump Shot87
93
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 2)87
93
Q4 - 0:21.0CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)87
93
Q4 - 0:21.0CHASUB: Zeller FOR Jefferson87
92
Q4 - 0:21.0CHASUB: Henderson FOR Neal87
92
Q4 - 0:21.0CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)87
92
Q4 - 0:21.0MIANapier P.FOUL (P4.PN)87
91
Q4 - 0:26.0CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)87
91
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Layup87
91
Q4 - 0:36.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)87
91
Q4 - 0:38.0CHAMISS Stephenson 6' Turnaround Jump Shot87
91
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)87
91
Q4 - 1:05MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)87
91
Q4 - 1:06CHAMISS Williams 2' Layup87
91
Q4 - 1:09CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
91
Q4 - 1:11CHAMISS Stephenson 2' Layup87
91
Q4 - 1:30MIAWade Dunk (23 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)87
91
Q4 - 1:53CHAWalker 27' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)85
91
Q4 - 2:07CHAHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)85
88
Q4 - 2:17MIANapier 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)85
88
Q4 - 2:32MIAHeat Rebound83
88
Q4 - 2:33CHAMISS Jefferson 16' Jump Shot83
88
Q4 - 2:47CHANeal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
88
Q4 - 2:49MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot83
88
Q4 - 2:59MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)83
88
Q4 - 3:00CHAMISS Neal 32' 3PT Jump Shot83
88
Q4 - 3:19MIANapier Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)83
88
Q4 - 3:19MIASUB: Wade FOR Deng82
88
Q4 - 3:19MIANapier Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)82
88
Q4 - 3:19CHAWalker S.FOUL (P4.PN)81
88
Q4 - 3:30CHAStephenson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)81
88
Q4 - 3:44CHAHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)81
88
Q4 - 3:44MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Napier 3 AST)81
88
Q4 - 3:52MIAHeat Rebound79
88
Q4 - 3:52CHAMISS Walker 2' Driving Layup79
88
Q4 - 4:04MIABosh 11' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Napier 2 AST)79
88
Q4 - 4:15MIASUB: Deng FOR Wade77
88
Q4 - 4:15MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 2)77
88
Q4 - 4:15CHAStephenson 2' Putback Layup (8 PTS)77
88
Q4 - 4:15CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)77
86
Q4 - 4:17CHAMISS Neal 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
86
Q4 - 4:32CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)77
86
Q4 - 4:33MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
86
Q4 - 4:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)77
86
Q4 - 4:39MIAMISS Napier 2' Layup77
86
Q4 - 4:57CHAWilliams Foul Turnover (P3.T12)77
86
Q4 - 4:57CHAWilliams OFF.Foul (P2)77
86
Q4 - 5:18MIAWade 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (21 PTS)77
86
Q4 - 5:37CHAStephenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)75
86
Q4 - 5:37CHAHORNETS Rebound75
85
Q4 - 5:37CHAMISS Stephenson Free Throw 1 of 275
85
Q4 - 5:37MIANapier L.B.FOUL (P3.PN)75
85
Q4 - 5:37CHAHORNETS Rebound75
85
Q4 - 5:37CHAMISS Jefferson 15' Jump Shot75
85
Q4 - 5:57MIAWade 4' Jump Shot (19 PTS)75
85
Q4 - 6:15MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)73
85
Q4 - 6:16CHAJefferson 12' Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Walker 7 AST)73
85
Q4 - 6:30CHAHORNETS Rebound73
83
Q4 - 6:30MIAMISS Bosh 5' Jump Shot73
83
Q4 - 6:47CHAJefferson 8' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Walker 6 AST)73
83
Q4 - 6:56MIAWade Personal Block Foul (P3.T4)73
81
Q4 - 6:56MIASUB: Shaw. Williams FOR Deng73
81
Q4 - 6:56CHAHORNETS Rebound73
81
Q4 - 6:56CHAMISS Stephenson 2' Layup73
81
Q4 - 7:09MIAWade 2' Layup (17 PTS)73
81
Q4 - 7:15CHANeal Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)71
81
Q4 - 7:24MIAWade Foul Turnover (P2.T7)71
81
Q4 - 7:24MIAWade OFF.Foul (P2)71
81
Q4 - 7:31CHASUB: Walker FOR Roberts71
81
Q4 - 7:39MIAHeat Rebound71
81
Q4 - 7:39MIAMISS Napier 1' Layup71
81
Q4 - 7:46MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
81
Q4 - 7:50CHAMISS Jefferson 9' Jump Shot71
81
Q4 - 8:13CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)71
81
Q4 - 8:14MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
81
Q4 - 8:24CHAStephenson Offensive Foul Turnover (P2.T10)71
81
Q4 - 8:24MIAChalmers Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (6 PTS)71
81
Q4 - 8:24MIAHeat Rebound70
81
Q4 - 8:24MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 270
81
Q4 - 8:24CHA70
81
Q4 - 8:24CHAStephenson FLAGRANT.FOUL.TYPE1 (P4.PN)70
81
Q4 - 8:34MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)70
81
Q4 - 8:34MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)69
81
Q4 - 8:34CHAStephenson P.FOUL (P3.PN)68
81
Q4 - 8:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
81
Q4 - 8:35CHAMISS Roberts 27' 3PT Jump Shot68
81
Q4 - 8:57MIAWade Driving Layup (13 PTS)68
81
Q4 - 9:12CHARoberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)66
81
Q4 - 9:12CHARoberts Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)66
80
Q4 - 9:12MIANapier S.FOUL (P2.T3)66
79
Q4 - 9:22MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)66
79
Q4 - 9:22CHASUB: Williams FOR Zeller65
79
Q4 - 9:22CHASUB: Jefferson FOR Maxiell65
79
Q4 - 9:22MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)65
79
Q4 - 9:22CHAZeller S.FOUL (P5.T4)64
79
Q4 - 9:22MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)64
79
Q4 - 9:22MIAMISS Chalmers 4' Jump Shot64
79
Q4 - 9:30CHAZeller P.FOUL (P4.T3)64
79
Q4 - 9:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
79
Q4 - 9:30MIAMISS Napier 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
79
Q4 - 9:51CHAZeller Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)64
79
Q4 - 9:51MIASUB: Wade FOR McRoberts64
78
Q4 - 9:51CHASUB: Stephenson FOR Hairston64
78
Q4 - 9:51CHAZeller Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)64
78
Q4 - 9:51MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P4.T2)64
77
Q4 - 10:03CHAHairston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
77
Q4 - 10:06MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot64
77
Q4 - 10:16CHAMaxiell P.FOUL (P2.T2)64
77
Q4 - 10:21MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)64
77
Q4 - 10:26CHAMaxiell 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Roberts 2 AST)64
77
Q4 - 10:38MIAMcRoberts P.FOUL (P1.T1)64
75
Q4 - 10:54MIAMaxiell STEAL (1 STL)64
75
Q4 - 11:08CHANeal P.FOUL (P3.T1)64
75
Q4 - 11:18CHAHairston 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Neal 2 AST)64
75
Q4 - 11:29MIADeng 2' Layup (9 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)64
72
Q4 - 11:47MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
72
Q4 - 11:48CHAMISS Neal 18' Jump Shot62
72
Q4 - 12:0062
72
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA62
72
Q3 - 0:00.0MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
72
Q3 - 0:01.0CHAMISS Roberts 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
72
Q3 - 0:23.0CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)62
72
Q3 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Napier 3' Driving Layup62
72
Q3 - 0:45.0CHAMaxiell 10' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS) (Roberts 1 AST)62
72
Q3 - 1:00MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P2.T5)62
70
Q3 - 1:00MIAChalmers Offensive Charge Foul (P3.PN)62
70
Q3 - 1:08CHAZeller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)62
70
Q3 - 1:17CHAHairston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
70
Q3 - 1:18MIAMISS Bosh 7' Jump Shot62
70
Q3 - 1:31CHARoberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)62
70
Q3 - 1:31CHARoberts Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)62
69
Q3 - 1:31MIANapier S.FOUL (P1.PN)62
68
Q3 - 1:47MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)62
68
Q3 - 1:47MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)61
68
Q3 - 1:47CHAZeller S.FOUL (P3.T4)60
68
Q3 - 1:59CHAZeller Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)60
68
Q3 - 1:59CHASUB: Neal FOR Walker60
67
Q3 - 1:59CHASUB: Roberts FOR Stephenson60
67
Q3 - 1:59MIASUB: Napier FOR Cole60
67
Q3 - 1:59CHAHORNETS Rebound60
67
Q3 - 1:59CHAMISS Zeller Free Throw 1 of 260
67
Q3 - 1:59MIAHamilton L.B.FOUL (P3.PN)60
67
Q3 - 1:59CHAHORNETS Rebound60
67
Q3 - 1:59CHAMISS Hairston 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
67
Q3 - 2:03CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
67
Q3 - 2:04MIAHairston BLOCK (3 BLK)60
67
Q3 - 2:34CHAHairston 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Stephenson 4 AST)60
67
Q3 - 2:55CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)60
64
Q3 - 2:56MIAMISS Deng 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
64
Q3 - 3:09CHAZeller Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)60
64
Q3 - 3:09CHAZeller Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)60
63
Q3 - 3:09MIAHamilton S.FOUL (P2.PN)60
62
Q3 - 3:14CHAHORNETS Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 1)60
62
Q3 - 3:14CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)60
62
Q3 - 3:17CHAMISS Maxiell 11' Jump Shot60
62
Q3 - 3:32CHAHORNETS Rebound60
62
Q3 - 3:34MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 260
62
Q3 - 3:34MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)60
62
Q3 - 3:34CHAWalker S.FOUL (P3.T3)59
62
Q3 - 3:36CHASUB: Maxiell FOR Jefferson59
62
Q3 - 3:36MIAHeat Rebound59
62
Q3 - 3:36MIAJefferson BLOCK (3 BLK)59
62
Q3 - 3:47MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
62
Q3 - 3:49MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
62
Q3 - 4:08MIASUB: Bosh FOR Wade59
62
Q3 - 4:08MIASUB: Deng FOR Shaw. Williams59
62
Q3 - 4:08MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)59
62
Q3 - 4:15CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)59
62
Q3 - 4:15CHAJefferson 1' Tip Shot (24 PTS)59
62
Q3 - 4:16CHAMISS Hairston 4' Running Jump Shot59
60
Q3 - 4:31CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
60
Q3 - 4:32MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 19' Jump Shot59
60
Q3 - 4:46MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
60
Q3 - 4:47CHAMISS Hairston 27' 3PT Jump Shot59
60
Q3 - 5:01MIAHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)59
60
Q3 - 5:01CHASUB: Zeller FOR Williams58
60
Q3 - 5:01MIAHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)58
60
Q3 - 5:01CHAJefferson S.FOUL (P1.T2)57
60
Q3 - 5:16CHAJefferson 15' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Hairston 2 AST)57
60
Q3 - 5:30CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)57
58
Q3 - 5:31MIAMISS Wade 23' Jump Shot57
58
Q3 - 5:47CHAHairston P.FOUL (P1.T1)57
58
Q3 - 5:56CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)57
58
Q3 - 5:56CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)57
57
Q3 - 5:56CHAHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)57
56
Q3 - 5:56MIACole S.FOUL (P2.PN)57
56
Q3 - 5:56CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)57
56
Q3 - 5:57MIAStephenson BLOCK (1 BLK)57
56
Q3 - 6:11MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
56
Q3 - 6:12CHAMISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 257
56
Q3 - 6:12CHASUB: Hairston FOR Henderson57
56
Q3 - 6:12CHAHORNETS Rebound57
56
Q3 - 6:12CHAMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 257
56
Q3 - 6:12MIAHamilton S.FOUL (P1.PN)57
56
Q3 - 6:37MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)57
56
Q3 - 6:56CHAStephenson 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)55
56
Q3 - 7:03CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)55
54
Q3 - 7:04MIAMISS Hamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
54
Q3 - 7:24MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Bosh55
54
Q3 - 7:24MIASUB: Hamilton FOR Deng55
54
Q3 - 7:24CHAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)55
54
Q3 - 7:44MIACole 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)55
54
Q3 - 7:48MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)53
54
Q3 - 7:50CHAMISS Stephenson 2' Layup53
54
Q3 - 7:59CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)53
54
Q3 - 8:00MIAMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot53
54
Q3 - 8:19CHAJefferson 6' Jump Shot (20 PTS)53
54
Q3 - 8:36MIABosh Dunk (15 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)53
52
Q3 - 8:46MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)51
52
Q3 - 8:47CHAMISS Henderson 18' Jump Shot51
52
Q3 - 8:50CHAHORNETS Rebound51
52
Q3 - 8:53CHAMISS Stephenson 2' Driving Layup51
52
Q3 - 9:04MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)51
52
Q3 - 9:16CHAJefferson Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)49
52
Q3 - 9:16MIAShaw. Williams S.FOUL (P3.T4)49
51
Q3 - 9:16CHAJefferson 2' Layup (17 PTS) (Walker 5 AST)49
51
Q3 - 9:23MIADeng P.FOUL (P1.T3)49
49
Q3 - 9:34CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)49
49
Q3 - 9:35MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
49
Q3 - 9:44MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)49
49
Q3 - 9:45CHAMISS Jefferson 10' Jump Shot49
49
Q3 - 9:53MIACole P.FOUL (P1.T2)49
49
Q3 - 10:03MIABosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)49
49
Q3 - 10:17CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)46
49
Q3 - 10:17CHAJefferson 2' Layup (15 PTS)46
49
Q3 - 10:21CHAMISS Jefferson 3' Layup46
47
Q3 - 10:41CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
47
Q3 - 10:42MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot46
47
Q3 - 10:58MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)46
47
Q3 - 11:00CHAMISS Jefferson Free Throw 2 of 246
47
Q3 - 11:00CHAJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)46
47
Q3 - 11:00MIAShaw. Williams S.FOUL (P2.T1)46
46
Q3 - 11:00CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)46
46
Q3 - 11:00CHAMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot46
46
Q3 - 11:13MIAWade 11' Jump Shot (9 PTS)46
46
Q3 - 11:16MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)44
46
Q3 - 11:26CHAMISS Jefferson 2' Layup44
46
Q3 - 11:36CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
46
Q3 - 11:39MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
46
Q3 - 12:0044
46
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA44
46
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound44
46
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot44
46
Q2 - 0:02.0CHASUB: Maxiell FOR Jefferson44
46
Q2 - 0:02.0MIASUB: McRoberts FOR Shaw. Williams44
46
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)44
46
Q2 - 0:02.0CHAWalker Foul Turnover (P1.T7)44
46
Q2 - 0:02.0CHAWalker Offensive Charge Foul (P2.PN)44
46
Q2 - 0:05.0CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
46
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
46
Q2 - 0:29.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)44
46
Q2 - 0:30.0CHAMISS Hairston 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
46
Q2 - 0:41.0CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)44
46
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
46
Q2 - 0:54.0CHAHenderson 7' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)44
46
Q2 - 1:08CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)44
44
Q2 - 1:09MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot44
44
Q2 - 1:29CHAWalker 12' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)44
44
Q2 - 1:50MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)44
42
Q2 - 1:50MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)43
42
Q2 - 1:50CHAZeller P.FOUL (P2.PN)42
42
Q2 - 1:57CHAHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)42
42
Q2 - 1:57MIASUB: Bosh FOR Hamilton42
42
Q2 - 1:57CHASUB: Hairston FOR Neal42
42
Q2 - 1:57CHAHORNETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)42
42
Q2 - 2:22MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
42
Q2 - 2:22MIAShaw. Williams 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)42
42
Q2 - 2:30CHAMISS Neal 19' Jump Shot39
42
Q2 - 2:33CHANeal REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
42
Q2 - 2:38CHAMISS Neal 3' Jump Shot39
42
Q2 - 3:00MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)39
42
Q2 - 3:00MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)38
42
Q2 - 3:00CHAWalker S.FOUL (P1.PN)37
42
Q2 - 3:12CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)37
42
Q2 - 3:12CHAZeller 2' Tip Shot (8 PTS)37
42
Q2 - 3:13CHAMISS Jefferson 6' Hook Shot37
40
Q2 - 3:31CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
40
Q2 - 3:33MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 137
40
Q2 - 3:33CHANeal S.FOUL (P2.T4)37
40
Q2 - 3:33MIADeng 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Shaw. Williams 1 AST)37
40
Q2 - 3:36CHASUB: Neal FOR Stephenson35
40
Q2 - 3:36CHASUB: Zeller FOR Williams35
40
Q2 - 3:36MIASUB: Deng FOR Chalmers35
40
Q2 - 3:36CHAStephenson P.FOUL (P2.T3)35
40
Q2 - 3:49CHAWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Stephenson 3 AST)35
40
Q2 - 4:01CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)35
37
Q2 - 4:03MIAMISS Chalmers 28' 3PT Jump Shot35
37
Q2 - 4:28CHAJefferson 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)35
37
Q2 - 4:42MIANapier Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)35
35
Q2 - 4:42CHASUB: Walker FOR Roberts34
35
Q2 - 4:42MIAHeat Rebound34
35
Q2 - 4:42MIAMISS Napier Free Throw 1 of 234
35
Q2 - 4:42CHARoberts S.FOUL (P1.T2)34
35
Q2 - 5:03CHAJefferson 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)34
35
Q2 - 5:19MIAShaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)34
33
Q2 - 5:41MIASUB: Hamilton FOR Bosh31
33
Q2 - 5:41MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)31
33
Q2 - 5:41MIAShaw. Williams Violation:Defensive Goaltending31
33
Q2 - 5:41CHAWilliams 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Henderson 3 AST)31
33
Q2 - 5:42MIAHenderson STEAL (1 STL)31
31
Q2 - 5:53CHAJefferson 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS)31
31
Q2 - 6:08MIAWade 1' Dunk (5 PTS) (Napier 1 AST)31
29
Q2 - 6:14CHAStephenson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)29
29
Q2 - 6:27MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)29
29
Q2 - 6:27CHASUB: Henderson FOR Neal28
29
Q2 - 6:27CHASUB: Jefferson FOR Maxiell28
29
Q2 - 6:27MIASUB: Shaw. Williams FOR McRoberts28
29
Q2 - 6:27MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)28
29
Q2 - 6:27CHAMaxiell S.FOUL (P1.T1)27
29
Q2 - 6:44MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)27
29
Q2 - 6:45CHAMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
29
Q2 - 7:08MIAMcRoberts Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)27
29
Q2 - 7:11CHAWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)25
29
Q2 - 7:20CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)25
29
Q2 - 7:23MIAMaxiell BLOCK (1 BLK)25
29
Q2 - 7:29MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
29
Q2 - 7:31CHAMISS Stephenson 10' Jump Shot25
29
Q2 - 7:52MIAChalmers 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)25
29
Q2 - 8:06CHAWilliams 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Stephenson 2 AST)23
29
Q2 - 8:23CHAMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
27
Q2 - 8:24MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
27
Q2 - 8:37MIASUB: Wade FOR Ennis23
27
Q2 - 8:3723
27
Q2 - 8:37CHANeal Foul Turnover (P1.T3)23
27
Q2 - 8:37CHANeal OFF.Foul (P1)23
27
Q2 - 8:51MIANapier 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)23
27
Q2 - 9:01MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
27
Q2 - 9:02CHAMISS Stephenson Free Throw 2 of 221
27
Q2 - 9:02CHAStephenson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
27
Q2 - 9:02MIAEnnis S.FOUL (P1.T4)21
26
Q2 - 9:21MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)21
26
Q2 - 9:36MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
26
Q2 - 9:38MIAMISS Napier 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
26
Q2 - 9:50MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
26
Q2 - 9:51CHAMISS Stephenson 18' Jump Shot19
26
Q2 - 10:00MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P2.T3)19
26
Q2 - 10:08MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ennis 1 AST)19
26
Q2 - 10:24CHASUB: Williams FOR Zeller17
26
Q2 - 10:33MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
26
Q2 - 10:34CHAMISS Maxiell 18' Jump Shot17
26
Q2 - 10:49MIABosh P.FOUL (P1.T2)17
26
Q2 - 10:58CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
26
Q2 - 11:00MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Layup17
26
Q2 - 11:14CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)17
26
Q2 - 11:14CHAZeller Putback Dunk (6 PTS)17
26
Q2 - 11:15CHAMISS Maxiell 3' Layup17
24
Q2 - 11:30MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P1.T1)17
24
Q2 - 11:48MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)17
24
Q2 - 12:0017
24
Q1 - 0:00.0CHA17
24
Q1 - 0:00.0CHAHORNETS Rebound17
24
Q1 - 0:00.0CHAMISS Hairston 54' 3PT Jump Shot17
24
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHamilton 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)17
24
Q1 - 0:13.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
24
Q1 - 0:14.0CHAMISS Zeller 2' Layup15
24
Q1 - 0:31.0CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
24
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Ennis 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
24
Q1 - 0:56.0CHAZeller 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)15
24
Q1 - 1:12MIAHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
22
Q1 - 1:12MIAHamilton Putback Dunk (2 PTS)15
22
Q1 - 1:14MIAMISS Cole 6' Jump Shot13
22
Q1 - 1:29CHAWalker 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Hairston 1 AST)13
22
Q1 - 1:34MIAWalker STEAL (2 STL)13
20
Q1 - 1:53MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
20
Q1 - 1:55CHAMISS Neal 17' Jump Shot13
20
Q1 - 1:59CHANeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
20
Q1 - 2:01MIAHairston BLOCK (2 BLK)13
20
Q1 - 2:17CHAZeller 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Neal 1 AST)13
20
Q1 - 2:38MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
18
Q1 - 2:38MIASUB: Ennis FOR Deng12
18
Q1 - 2:38MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
18
Q1 - 2:38CHAZeller S.FOUL (P1.T4)11
18
Q1 - 2:53CHAWalker 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Zeller 1 AST)11
18
Q1 - 2:56CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
16
Q1 - 2:58MIAZeller BLOCK (1 BLK)11
16
Q1 - 3:13CHANeal 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)11
16
Q1 - 3:28MIASUB: Bosh FOR Shaw. Williams11
13
Q1 - 3:28CHAHORNETS Rebound11
13
Q1 - 3:28MIAHairston BLOCK (1 BLK)11
13
Q1 - 3:37MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
13
Q1 - 3:40CHAMISS Hairston 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
13
Q1 - 3:59MIADeng 3' Jump Shot (3 PTS)11
13
Q1 - 4:12CHASUB: Maxiell FOR Jefferson9
13
Q1 - 4:12CHASUB: Neal FOR Stephenson9
13
Q1 - 4:12MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Wade9
13
Q1 - 4:12MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)9
13
Q1 - 4:19CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
13
Q1 - 4:19CHAStephenson 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)9
13
Q1 - 4:22CHAMISS Zeller 20' Jump Shot9
11
Q1 - 4:35CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
11
Q1 - 4:37MIAMISS Cole 3PT Jump Shot9
11
Q1 - 4:51CHAZeller Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)9
11
Q1 - 4:51CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
11
Q1 - 4:52CHAMISS Hairston 26' 3PT Jump Shot9
11
Q1 - 5:08CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
11
Q1 - 5:10MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 29
11
Q1 - 5:10CHASUB: Zeller FOR Williams9
11
Q1 - 5:10MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
11
Q1 - 5:10CHAStephenson Shooting Block Foul (P1.T3)8
11
Q1 - 5:22MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
11
Q1 - 5:23CHAMISS Hairston Free Throw 2 of 28
11
Q1 - 5:23CHAHairston Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
11
Q1 - 5:23MIAWade S.FOUL (P1.T2)8
10
Q1 - 5:30CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
10
Q1 - 5:35CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
10
Q1 - 5:35CHAMISS Jefferson 7' Jump Shot8
10
Q1 - 5:37CHAMISS Jefferson 5' Jump Shot8
10
Q1 - 5:59MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
10
Q1 - 5:59MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
10
Q1 - 5:59CHASUB: Hairston FOR Henderson6
10
Q1 - 5:59CHAHORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)6
10
Q1 - 5:59CHAWilliams S.FOUL (P1.T2)6
10
Q1 - 6:11CHAWilliams 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Stephenson 1 AST)6
10
Q1 - 6:16CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
8
Q1 - 6:20MIAMISS Cole 5' Running Hook Shot6
8
Q1 - 6:35MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
8
Q1 - 6:36CHAMISS Jefferson 10' Jump Hook Shot6
8
Q1 - 6:53MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)6
8
Q1 - 6:53MIASUB: Hamilton FOR Bosh5
8
Q1 - 6:53MIAHeat Rebound5
8
Q1 - 6:53MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 25
8
Q1 - 6:53CHAHenderson S.FOUL (P1.T1)5
8
Q1 - 7:04MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
8
Q1 - 7:05CHAMISS Henderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
8
Q1 - 7:32MIABosh 15' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)5
8
Q1 - 7:53CHAJefferson 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)3
8
Q1 - 8:08CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
6
Q1 - 8:10MIAJefferson BLOCK (2 BLK)3
6
Q1 - 8:27CHAJefferson 9' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS) (Henderson 2 AST)3
6
Q1 - 8:42CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
4
Q1 - 8:43MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot3
4
Q1 - 9:04CHAJefferson 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Henderson 1 AST)3
4
Q1 - 9:10CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
2
Q1 - 9:11MIAMISS Cole 21' Jump Shot3
2
Q1 - 9:20CHAJefferson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)3
2
Q1 - 9:32MIAShaw. Williams P.FOUL (P1.T1)3
2
Q1 - 9:43CHAHORNETS Rebound3
2
Q1 - 9:43MIAJefferson BLOCK (1 BLK)3
2
Q1 - 9:55MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
2
Q1 - 9:56CHAMISS Stephenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
2
Q1 - 10:03CHAHORNETS Rebound3
2
Q1 - 10:05CHAMISS Stephenson 3' Driving Jump Shot3
2
Q1 - 10:20MIAShaw. Williams 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)3
2
Q1 - 10:28MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 10:29CHAMISS Jefferson 2' Layup0
2
Q1 - 10:49MIAWalker STEAL (1 STL)0
2
Q1 - 11:11CHAHenderson Dunk (2 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 11:26CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:27MIAMISS Wade 14' Turnaround Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 11:37MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
0
Q1 - 11:38CHAMISS Jefferson 13' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00CHAJump Ball Jefferson vs. Bosh: Tip to Walker0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIACHA
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.96 47.8%
CHA
0.97 48.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
19
33
58%
CHA
17
32
53%
Midrange
MIA
7
22
32%
CHA
13
32
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
22
18%
27%
CHA
5
7.5
18
28%
42%
Free Throws
MIA
25
31
81%
CHA
21
29
72%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2557%12.5 / 22
C. Bosh2352%11.5 / 22
S. Williams990%4.5 / 5
L. Deng941%4.5 / 11
S. Napier739%3.5 / 9
M. Chalmers633%3.0 / 9
J. Hamilton675%3.0 / 4
N. Cole217%1.0 / 6
J. McRoberts2100%1.0 / 1
J. Ennis III0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Jefferson2852%14.0 / 27
K. Walker18100%9.0 / 9
C. Zeller1372%6.5 / 9
L. Stephenson829%4.0 / 14
P. Hairston735%3.5 / 10
M. Williams650%3.0 / 6
G. Henderson450%2.0 / 4
G. Neal425%2.0 / 8
J. Maxiell440%2.0 / 5
B. Roberts450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
84
+9
-8
93
CHA
78
+19
-12
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.96 47.8%
CHA
0.97 48.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
100.5
MIA 96.7
CHA 106.7 +9.9
Pace
91.0
92.7
MIA 99.0 +15.0
CHA 84.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.9
MIA 14.5 −2.6
CHA 17.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
45.6%
MIA 41.6%
CHA 45.7% +4.1%
TO %
15.2%
11.9%
MIA 8.1% −4.0%
CHA 12.1%
ORB %
23.3%
22.2%
MIA 14.3%
CHA 30.2% +15.9%
FTrt
30.6
26.9
MIA 40.3 +4.9
CHA 35.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
56.8%
MIA 63.3%
CHA 65.7% +2.4%
STL %
8.6%
6.5%
MIA 6.5% +2.1%
CHA 4.4%
BLK %
8.0%
8.9%
MIA 6.3%
CHA 16.4% +10.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
48.3%
MIA 47.8%
CHA 48.5% +0.7%
Rim FG%
59.7%
53.5%
MIA 57.6% +4.5%
CHA 53.1%
Mid FG%
40.9%
39.2%
MIA 31.8%
CHA 40.6% +8.8%
3P %
33.5%
31.8%
MIA 18.2%
CHA 27.8% +9.6%
FT %
74.1%
74.8%
MIA 80.6% +8.2%
CHA 72.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
31.3%
MIA 42.9% +3.8%
CHA 39.0%
Mid Att. %
38.7%
46.1%
MIA 28.6% −10.5%
CHA 39.0%
3P Att. %
26.2%
22.6%
MIA 28.6% +6.6%
CHA 22.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIACHA
Possessions9290
Possession Minutes22.325.7
Points8996
Rebounds3649
Assists1923
Steals64
Blocks49
Turnovers (Team)8 (0)12 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (3)13 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)36 (5)
Field Goals30-7735-82
At-the-Rim FG19-3317-32
Midrange FG7-2213-32
2-Point FG26-5530-64
3-Point FG4-225-18
Free Throws25-3121-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 235 · 31
37.6
23
52%
13
1
1
0
2
1
2
11
8-8
100%
6-12
50%
1-6
17%
G · 6'4" 220 · 33
33.2
25
57%
4
7
1
1
3
3
2
2
7-8
88%
9-16
56%
0-2
0%
F · 6'10" 230 · 29
29.8
9
90%
5
1
0
3
0
4
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
0%
3-4
75%
F · 6'9" 220 · 30
27.7
9
41%
3
0
2
0
0
1
1
2
3-5
60%
3-7
43%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 175 · 26
22.0
2
17%
4
1
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 28
32.0
6
33%
1
3
1
0
2
4
0
1
2-4
50%
2-6
33%
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 175 · 23
26.0
7
39%
2
3
1
0
0
5
0
2
3-4
75%
2-5
40%
0-2
0%
C · 7'0" 255 · 25
18.0
6
75%
1
1
0
0
0
3
1
0
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
· 6'10" 240 · 28
7.7
2
100%
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 210 · 24
6.0
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 219 · 23
F · 6'8" 235 · 34
G · 6'3" 215 · 29
#22 · F-G · 6'9" 222 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
48%
36
19
6
4
8
0
6
30
25-31
81%
26-55
47%
4-22
18%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.