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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 5, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Raptors49%105110
24Celtics51%106107
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 25.2
40
33
23
0
6
2
1
0
2
0
0
5-6
83%
9-24
6-14
38%
45%
0-1
0%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 28.6
36
32
35
4
3
2
1
0
0
1
3
9-10
90%
10-14
3-8
71%
45%
2-3
67%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 25.6
27
27
14
3
2
1
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
4-6
67%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 23.7
24
24
2
2
2
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
0-1
0%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 29.0
24
23
4
5
0
0
1
1
1
3
2
2-4
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.0
24
19
11
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
5-9
2-4
56%
44%
0-1
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.7
22
19
6
3
4
2
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
48%
0-2
0%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 27.8
20
20
7
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
46%
1-2
50%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 29.1
12
10
6
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
2-2
1-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 31.4
12
8
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 19.1
12
0
1-3
47%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 22.3
4
0
0-1
49%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.4
2
0
0-0
48%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.5
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 27.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 22.7
38
29
19
16
0
1
1
0
0
8
8
5-5
100%
7-12
4-9
58%
49%
0-1
0%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 28.7
37
34
13
10
15
0
2
0
5
2
8
3-4
75%
5-8
4-8
63%
49%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.2
36
34
20
4
3
1
1
3
4
1
3
0-0
-
7-9
4-9
78%
47%
2-7
29%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 23.5
34
20
18
13
2
0
1
0
2
4
9
2-2
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
52%
2-2
100%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 23.9
27
31
16
1
0
1
1
0
4
1
0
3-3
100%
2-6
5-10
33%
47%
3-7
43%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 20.7
22
21
12
2
0
1
1
0
4
1
1
1-1
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
3-7
43%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 27.4
15
15
4
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
47%
0-2
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 29.5
13
14
3
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
1-1
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
0-0
-
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 26.0
12
20
2
1
0
1
1
0
5
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
45%
0-0
-
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.8
6
12
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.3
7
0
1-1
50%
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 19.2
4
0
0-1
47%
Phil Pressey
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.7
3
0
0-0
37%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 23.3
Vitor Faverani
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.