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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 5, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Nuggets49%106109
22Kings51%107131
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 27.0
32
34
13
3
9
2
1
0
3
1
2
7-9
78%
3-7
3-7
43%
48%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.5
30
25
13
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
48%
3-6
50%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.1
22
32
2
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
4-8
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.0
21
32
4
5
1
0
1
1
2
1
4
2-2
100%
1-5
7-13
20%
54%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 28.3
11
18
7
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
3-3
100%
2-3
3-5
67%
53%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 31.1
28
20
19
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
4-6
1-3
67%
43%
3-5
60%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 30.4
21
12
10
1
3
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
5-7
1-3
71%
46%
0-3
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.6
17
14
11
1
3
1
0
1
2
1
0
1-2
50%
2-2
2-4
100%
43%
2-5
40%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 27.4
17
10
8
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
3-6
1-2
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.2
16
18
7
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
1-6
17%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.8
13
15
9
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
3-4
75%
3-5
3-5
60%
55%
0-0
-
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 20.2
13
8
6
5
2
0
0
2
2
1
4
2-3
67%
2-4
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26.2
7
0
1-3
51%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.1
Erick Green
G · 6'4" 185 · 23.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 21.7
36
22
10
7
3
0
1
1
1
0
7
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
2-5
40%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.2
35
30
29
3
2
1
1
1
3
0
3
8-10
80%
6-9
6-12
67%
48%
3-3
100%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 27.2
32
33
10
0
8
1
1
1
0
0
0
1-3
33%
3-5
5-9
60%
50%
1-4
25%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.2
22
30
30
11
1
2
1
0
3
3
8
10-11
91%
10-14
8-16
71%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 28.3
17
27
0
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-2
0%
0-5
3-6
0%
51%
0-0
-
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.4
22
20
11
6
1
1
1
0
2
2
4
3-3
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
48%
0-2
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 34.5
19
16
6
5
1
0
1
0
0
1
4
2-5
40%
2-4
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.1
16
13
5
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 31.1
16
17
18
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
10-10
100%
4-6
3-5
67%
53%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.6
11
14
2
0
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.4
6
7
8
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
2-2
1-2
100%
42%
1-2
50%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 23.4
6
8
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 30.1
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
61%
0-0
-
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 22.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.