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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 7, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Bucks38%9895
24Pistons62%10298
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 22.9
33.8
30.4
17
62%
6
9
0
1
0
5
2
4
6-6
100%
4-9
4-9
44%
46%
1-2
50%
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 19.6
28.0
27.2
18
57%
5
1
3
1
0
4
2
3
2-4
50%
8-12
4-9
67%
46%
0-2
0%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 26.0
24.6
23.2
7
60%
5
2
3
1
3
1
2
3
1-2
50%
3-5
3-7
60%
48%
0-0
-
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 23.2
21.3
2.9
3
38%
1
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
41%
1-3
33%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.5
20.8
18.4
8
44%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
46%
0-3
0%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 19.9
27.2
21.4
9
46%
5
1
0
1
0
1
0
5
3-4
75%
3-8
2-4
38%
46%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.2
21.6
18.8
8
51%
3
4
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
44%
0-3
0%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 29.3
20.0
18.9
9
92%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
50%
2-3
67%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.0
19.3
23.0
6
32%
1
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
45%
1-4
25%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 30.7
16.9
16.6
6
100%
4
1
2
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-3
2-5
100%
45%
0-0
-
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 23.9
6.4
12.7
4
52%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
52%
0-0
-
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 23.2
23.1
1
3-6
46%
Nate Wolters
· 6'4" 190 · 23.5
5.8
0
1-1
46%
Damien Inglis
F · 6'8" 246 · 19.5
Johnny O'Bryant III
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 21.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 28.9
35.5
33.3
14
38%
8
5
2
1
1
4
5
3
4-10
40%
5-12
6-13
42%
48%
0-2
0%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 25.1
30.7
24.3
15
58%
2
6
2
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-6
2-5
17%
43%
4-6
67%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.7
30.4
34.5
19
80%
5
0
0
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
4-6
3-7
67%
46%
3-5
60%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 21.2
26.4
27.2
11
51%
10
0
0
1
2
1
3
7
1-2
50%
5-10
6-9
50%
60%
0-0
-
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 24.4
26.3
29.2
10
63%
7
3
0
1
0
4
4
3
0-0
-
5-8
6-12
63%
51%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 34.7
35.7
25.1
14
79%
4
0
1
1
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
3-4
75%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 27.0
22.8
24.1
9
47%
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
4-6
67%
1-2
3-6
50%
43%
1-5
20%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.5
14.3
19.7
2
50%
2
1
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 27.7
11.0
13.2
4
67%
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 32.2
7.0
4.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 21.6
2.8
0
0-1
48%
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 26.9
2.1
0
0-0
49%
Tony Mitchell
· 6'8" 216 · 22.6
1.7
0
0-0
48%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.0
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.