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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Friday
November 7, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Cavaliers65%109110
22Nuggets35%104101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 29.9
39.6
38.0
22
53%
7
11
1
2
1
3
0
7
5-6
83%
7-13
8-13
54%
58%
1-5
20%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 22.6
39.2
38.5
12
55%
4
6
0
2
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-7
6-13
43%
47%
2-4
50%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 26.2
36.1
35.3
19
49%
8
1
0
1
1
2
2
6
7-8
88%
6-11
4-9
55%
48%
0-5
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 36.5
31.9
19.0
10
73%
6
2
0
1
0
0
2
4
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
50%
1-2
50%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.1
27.7
28.2
15
82%
7
2
1
1
1
1
1
6
3-5
60%
6-7
4-7
86%
51%
0-0
-
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.9
24.2
21.5
17
51%
2
1
2
1
0
0
0
2
4-6
67%
5-11
3-7
45%
46%
1-3
33%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 23.7
21.0
24.3
12
69%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
4-6
67%
4-6
3-7
67%
48%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.7
15.1
15.6
3
30%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
1-4
25%
Will Cherry
· 6'1" 176 · 23.7
2.7
5.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 23.2
2.5
2.8
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 34.9
2.8
0
0-0
47%
Alex Kirk
C · 7'0" 245 · 23.0
2.3
0
0-0
50%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.1
1.8
0
0-0
40%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.2
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 31.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.1
31.3
27.2
0
0%
5
1
1
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.5
26.9
27.3
14
64%
10
1
1
1
0
5
1
9
2-2
100%
3-3
2-5
100%
47%
2-7
29%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 30.4
25.8
16.1
14
50%
0
5
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
46%
2-7
29%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.0
21.6
26.6
8
50%
7
1
0
1
1
1
2
5
0-0
-
4-8
5-10
50%
53%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 28.3
20.5
14.7
5
36%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
53%
0-1
0%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 31.1
31.5
23.0
28
67%
2
9
0
1
1
1
0
2
3-4
75%
5-9
2-4
56%
44%
5-10
50%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 27.4
22.1
13.4
6
47%
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-3
67%
2-5
1-3
40%
44%
0-0
-
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.2
20.3
17.3
10
73%
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
45%
2-2
100%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 20.2
16.6
10.3
10
73%
4
0
1
0
0
2
3
1
0-2
0%
5-6
1-3
83%
50%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.8
9.8
14.4
0
0%
3
0
0
0
3
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
3-5
0%
54%
0-0
-
Erick Green
G · 6'4" 185 · 23.5
8.6
10.1
6
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
44%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.6
5.0
15.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
0-1
0%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26.2
6.4
0
1-2
51%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 27.0
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.