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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 10, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Pistons23%9391
7Bulls77%103102
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 28.9
39
31
19
11
4
0
1
3
3
2
9
2-3
67%
7-17
5-12
41%
45%
1-2
50%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 21.3
36
28
2
12
0
1
1
1
3
4
8
2-4
50%
0-5
6-10
0%
57%
0-0
-
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 24.4
36
30
16
10
2
0
1
0
3
1
9
0-0
-
8-15
6-12
53%
48%
0-0
-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.7
29
32
9
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-4
50%
2-6
3-6
33%
43%
1-3
33%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 25.1
27
29
11
5
8
2
1
1
4
1
4
3-4
75%
1-7
3-6
14%
40%
2-4
50%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 34.7
27
29
9
5
2
0
1
0
0
1
4
1-1
100%
1-4
1-4
25%
41%
2-2
100%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.5
26
19
9
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
45%
1-2
50%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 27.0
21
20
16
1
2
1
0
0
2
0
1
6-9
67%
5-7
2-5
71%
40%
0-1
0%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 27.7
14
0
1-2
49%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 32.3
4
0
0-1
46%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 21.6
2
0
0-0
43%
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.0
2
0
0-1
43%
Tony Mitchell
· 6'8" 216 · 22.6
2
0
0-0
45%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.2
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 25.2
43
38
19
4
1
0
2
0
1
1
3
3-3
100%
2-5
4-8
40%
50%
4-7
57%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 34.3
35
32
17
15
4
1
0
4
1
3
12
1-2
50%
8-16
6-13
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 34.2
35
27
7
4
1
0
1
2
1
0
4
3-3
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.1
32
19
24
2
7
1
1
0
3
0
2
4-5
80%
7-15
3-7
47%
49%
2-5
40%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 29.7
32
30
13
14
6
0
1
0
0
2
12
3-4
75%
5-13
4-7
38%
50%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.4
24
29
8
7
1
1
1
1
2
3
4
0-0
-
4-7
5-10
57%
52%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.9
18
29
4
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 29.8
11
21
10
2
1
2
1
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 22.9
5
14
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-1
0%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 23.7
5
11
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 23.0
8
0
1-1
48%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 37.2
1
0
0-0
44%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 25.7
1
0
0-0
43%
Cameron Bairstow
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.