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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
November 11, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Spurs
113
2Warriors
100
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.4
35
34
19
6
1
1
2
0
0
2
4
3-3
100%
5-8
5-9
63%
53%
2-3
67%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 38.5
35
30
12
13
3
2
1
0
1
1
12
2-3
67%
5-13
5-11
38%
46%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.5
30
32
28
1
7
0
1
0
1
1
0
4-4
100%
9-15
6-12
60%
48%
2-2
100%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.4
26
28
9
1
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
45%
1-7
14%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34.6
24
15
5
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
1-2
50%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 37.3
26
23
17
1
5
2
1
0
2
0
1
0-1
0%
4-9
2-5
44%
48%
3-8
38%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32.6
22
27
8
6
4
0
1
0
3
1
5
1-2
50%
2-2
3-5
100%
51%
1-2
50%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.2
20
17
11
0
4
2
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
5-7
2-5
71%
47%
0-0
-
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.9
13
15
4
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.1
7
11
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 26.4
1
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
39%
0-1
0%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27.5
1
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.6
6
0
0-1
45%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.3
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 24.8
40
21
29
5
4
1
1
0
4
0
5
6-6
100%
4-11
3-5
36%
47%
5-6
83%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.5
39
28
22
8
0
0
1
1
2
0
8
3-4
75%
8-9
2-4
89%
45%
1-3
33%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.7
36
35
16
6
5
0
2
0
3
0
6
2-2
100%
7-11
5-9
64%
50%
0-7
0%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.7
32
33
9
4
5
0
2
1
1
0
4
4-4
100%
1-5
3-6
20%
47%
1-2
50%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 30.0
26
29
4
5
5
2
1
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-2
3-6
100%
54%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 30.8
22
29
2
2
1
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
52%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 27.3
12
10
11
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
5-5
2-4
100%
47%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 29.2
11
17
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-0
-
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.1
10
9
3
5
0
0
0
1
1
1
4
1-2
50%
1-1
1-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 32.0
10
22
2
1
2
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 29.3
3
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
Ognjen Kuzmic
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.5
2
0
0-0
50%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 25.6
1
0
0-0
44%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 31.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.