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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 12, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Pistons37%94103
17Wizards63%98107
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.7
35
31
20
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
43%
4-6
67%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 25.1
34
28
32
3
10
2
1
0
2
0
3
7-9
78%
8-12
3-6
67%
40%
3-7
43%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 24.4
33
32
18
9
3
0
1
1
3
3
6
6-7
86%
6-13
6-13
46%
48%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 28.9
27
33
6
9
3
1
1
1
2
0
9
0-0
-
3-9
6-13
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 21.3
23
31
2
5
1
0
1
2
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
6-10
33%
57%
0-0
-
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.5
26
21
6
2
0
1
1
0
1
2
0
1-2
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
1-4
25%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 34.7
25
28
5
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
1-2
50%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 27.7
19
10
6
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
50%
0-1
0%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 27.0
14
20
8
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
41%
0-1
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 32.3
4
3
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
49%
0-0
-
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 21.6
2
0
0-0
43%
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.0
2
0
0-0
44%
Tony Mitchell
· 6'8" 216 · 22.6
2
0
0-0
44%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.2
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.2
37
33
27
3
11
3
2
1
1
0
3
13-16
81%
7-18
5-11
39%
47%
0-1
0%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 37.1
29
26
13
8
2
0
1
0
2
1
7
2-2
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
49%
1-4
25%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.2
27
26
8
4
1
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-1
0%
4-9
5-10
44%
52%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.7
27
28
14
13
2
1
1
2
3
5
8
0-2
0%
7-12
5-8
58%
55%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 28.5
22
31
6
3
1
2
1
0
0
2
1
4-4
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
0-2
0%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 35.5
27
11
18
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
5-6
1-1
83%
45%
2-2
100%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.8
25
12
12
9
1
0
0
2
1
2
7
2-4
50%
5-9
2-4
56%
49%
0-1
0%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 21.4
19
23
2
2
0
2
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 24.9
17
17
6
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
51%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 38.7
11
13
1
0
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 33.1
11
0
1-3
48%
Glen Rice
G-F · 6'6" 206 · 23.9
5
0
0-1
47%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 25.6
3
0
0-1
53%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 21.4
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 27.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.