Final Win Prob. pScore
2924%90
81
876%100
75
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo Pacers
98.88273.0
MIA logo Heat
92.68192.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0IND81
100%
75
0%
Q4 - 0:08.0INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)81
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
99.8%
75
0.2%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 2)81
75
Q4 - 0:14.0INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)81
99.3%
75
0.7%
Q4 - 0:14.0INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)80
99.1%
75
0.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIADeng P.FOUL (P1.PN)79
75
Q4 - 0:14.0INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)79
98.6%
75
1.4%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Wade 3' Driving Layup79
97.8%
75
2.2%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIASUB: Shaw. Williams FOR McRoberts79
75
Q4 - 0:19.0MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Cole79
75
Q4 - 0:19.0INDSUB: Allen FOR Scola79
75
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 4 Short 1)79
75
Q4 - 0:19.0INDSloan Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)79
94.5%
75
5.5%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIASUB: Wade FOR Chalmers78
75
Q4 - 0:19.0INDSloan Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)78
93.3%
75
6.7%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIACole P.FOUL (P2.PN)77
75
Q4 - 0:20.0INDSUB: Scola FOR Allen77
75
Q4 - 0:20.0MIASUB: Cole FOR Wade77
75
Q4 - 0:20.0INDPacers Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 3)77
75
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P3.T11)77
89.8%
75
10.2%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAChalmers Offensive Charge Foul (P4.PN)77
75
Q4 - 0:30.0INDSUB: Allen FOR Rudez77
75
Q4 - 0:30.0INDS. Hill P.FOUL (P4.T3)77
75
Q4 - 0:42.0INDCopeland 2' Driving Layup (17 PTS)77
62.3%
75
37.7%
Q4 - 0:52.0INDSUB: Rudez FOR Allen75
75
Q4 - 1:05MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)75
75
Q4 - 1:05MIAJump Ball Chalmers vs. S. Hill: Tip to Copeland75
44.5%
75
55.5%
Q4 - 1:06MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
28.5%
75
71.5%
Q4 - 1:10INDMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot75
32.9%
75
67.1%
Q4 - 1:26MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)75
42.5%
75
57.5%
Q4 - 1:40INDSloan 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)75
64.5%
72
35.5%
Q4 - 1:54MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)72
72
Q4 - 1:54INDPacers Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 2)72
72
Q4 - 2:00MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)72
40.8%
72
59.2%
Q4 - 2:06INDMcRoberts STEAL (2 STL)72
28.0%
72
72.0%
Q4 - 2:22INDS. Hill REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)72
43.1%
72
56.9%
Q4 - 2:23MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
38.1%
72
61.9%
Q4 - 2:44MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)72
27.8%
72
72.2%
Q4 - 2:45INDMISS Allen 5' Jump Shot72
32.2%
72
67.8%
Q4 - 3:07INDSloan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
41.5%
72
58.5%
Q4 - 3:08MIAMISS Deng Driving Dunk72
37.2%
72
62.8%
Q4 - 3:19MIASUB: Wade FOR Napier72
72
Q4 - 3:19INDPacers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)72
28.1%
72
71.9%
Q4 - 3:19INDPacers Rebound72
41.8%
72
58.2%
Q4 - 3:20INDMISS Hibbert 17' Turnaround Jump Shot72
32.0%
72
68.0%
Q4 - 3:42INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)72
37.9%
72
62.1%
Q4 - 3:43MIAMISS Deng 10' Jump Shot72
35.1%
72
64.9%
Q4 - 4:00MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)72
29.0%
72
71.0%
Q4 - 4:01INDBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)72
31.7%
72
68.3%
Q4 - 4:23MIAChalmers 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS) (Napier 4 AST)72
38.2%
72
61.8%
Q4 - 4:39INDHibbert Traveling Turnover (P4.T14)72
46.7%
70
53.3%
Q4 - 4:53INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)72
57.1%
70
42.9%
Q4 - 4:54MIAMISS Napier 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
54.0%
70
46.0%
Q4 - 5:13MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
43.4%
70
56.6%
Q4 - 5:14INDMISS Copeland Driving Dunk72
46.2%
70
53.8%
Q4 - 5:18INDAllen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)72
52.4%
70
47.6%
Q4 - 5:19INDMISS Copeland 3PT Jump Shot72
46.2%
70
53.8%
Q4 - 5:44MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)72
52.6%
70
47.4%
Q4 - 5:44MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)72
54.0%
69
46.0%
Q4 - 5:44MIASUB: Deng FOR Wade72
68
Q4 - 5:4472
68
Q4 - 5:44INDHibbert S.FOUL (P3.T2)72
68
Q4 - 5:53MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
60.2%
68
39.8%
Q4 - 5:54INDMISS Sloan 3PT Jump Shot72
62.8%
68
37.2%
Q4 - 6:03INDSUB: Hibbert FOR Mahinmi72
68
Q4 - 6:03MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P3.T4)72
68
Q4 - 6:19MIANapier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)72
64.1%
68
35.9%
Q4 - 6:32MIANapier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
75.8%
65
24.2%
Q4 - 6:33INDMISS S. Hill 12' Step Back Jump Shot72
77.6%
65
22.4%
Q4 - 6:51INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
81.6%
65
18.4%
Q4 - 6:52MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Bank Shot72
80.0%
65
20.0%
Q4 - 7:04INDMahinmi Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)72
71.8%
65
28.2%
Q4 - 7:04MIANapier S.FOUL (P1.T3)71
65
Q4 - 7:04INDMahinmi 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)71
65
Q4 - 7:26INDAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)69
60.3%
65
39.7%
Q4 - 7:27MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
58.1%
65
41.9%
Q4 - 7:46INDAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)69
52.9%
65
47.1%
Q4 - 7:46INDAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)68
51.1%
65
48.9%
Q4 - 7:46MIAMcRoberts S.FOUL (P4.T2)67
65
Q4 - 7:59INDSUB: Sloan FOR Price67
65
Q4 - 7:59INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)67
65
Q4 - 8:08MIAWade 2' Layup (17 PTS) (Napier 3 AST)67
44.5%
65
55.5%
Q4 - 8:19MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
50.9%
63
49.1%
Q4 - 8:20MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
55.4%
63
44.6%
Q4 - 8:28MIANapier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
50.9%
63
49.1%
Q4 - 8:29INDMISS Price 12' Jump Shot67
52.9%
63
47.1%
Q4 - 8:48INDCopeland REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)67
57.4%
63
42.6%
Q4 - 8:49MIAMISS Wade 12' Jump Shot67
55.5%
63
44.5%
Q4 - 9:06MIASUB: Bosh FOR Andersen67
63
Q4 - 9:06INDAllen Foul Turnover (P1.T13)67
48.8%
63
51.2%
Q4 - 9:06INDAllen OFF.Foul (P3)67
63
Q4 - 9:17MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)67
55.0%
63
45.0%
Q4 - 9:42INDCopeland 5' Jump Hook Shot (15 PTS)67
49.0%
63
51.0%
Q4 - 9:45INDCopeland REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)65
43.2%
63
56.8%
Q4 - 9:46INDMISS S. Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
39.1%
63
60.9%
Q4 - 9:52INDPacers Rebound65
43.3%
63
56.7%
Q4 - 9:53INDWade BLOCK (1 BLK)65
39.1%
63
60.9%
Q4 - 10:14MIAMcRoberts 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Napier 2 AST)65
41.7%
63
58.3%
Q4 - 10:19MIANapier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)65
47.0%
61
53.0%
Q4 - 10:20MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup65
51.1%
61
48.9%
Q4 - 10:35INDPrice 10' Jump Shot (7 PTS)65
47.1%
61
52.9%
Q4 - 10:46MIAMcRoberts P.FOUL (P3.T1)63
61
Q4 - 10:47INDS. Hill REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)63
41.8%
61
58.2%
Q4 - 10:49INDMISS Copeland 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
37.9%
61
62.1%
Q4 - 11:06MIAWade 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS)63
40.8%
61
59.2%
Q4 - 11:23INDChalmers STEAL (2 STL)63
45.8%
59
54.2%
Q4 - 11:41MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)63
51.4%
59
48.6%
Q4 - 11:41MIAHEAT Rebound63
58
Q4 - 11:41MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 263
52.6%
58
47.4%
Q4 - 11:41INDS. Hill S.FOUL (P3.T1)63
58
Q4 - 12:0063
58
Q3 - 0:00.0IND63
51.2%
58
48.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound63
56.8%
58
43.2%
Q3 - 0:02.0INDMISS Price 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
51.2%
58
48.8%
Q3 - 0:06.0INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)63
54.7%
58
45.3%
Q3 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
53.2%
58
46.8%
Q3 - 0:26.0INDCopeland 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Price 2 AST)63
49.7%
58
50.3%
Q3 - 0:41.0INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)60
39.7%
58
60.3%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 260
39.0%
58
61.0%
Q3 - 0:42.0INDSUB: Copeland FOR S. Hill60
58
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAHEAT Rebound60
58
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 260
36.2%
58
63.8%
Q3 - 0:42.0INDAllen L.B.FOUL (P2.PN)60
58
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAHEAT Rebound60
34.9%
58
65.1%
Q3 - 0:42.0INDMISS S. Hill Free Throw 2 of 260
35.5%
58
64.5%
Q3 - 0:42.0INDS. Hill Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)60
38.6%
58
61.4%
Q3 - 0:42.0MIAAndersen S.FOUL (P2.T1)59
58
Q3 - 0:43.0INDS. Hill REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)59
34.9%
58
65.1%
Q3 - 0:45.0INDMISS S. Hill 8' Hook Shot59
31.8%
58
68.2%
Q3 - 0:46.0INDS. Hill REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)59
34.9%
58
65.1%
Q3 - 0:47.0INDMISS S. Hill Dunk59
31.8%
58
68.2%
Q3 - 1:06INDAllen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
34.0%
58
66.0%
Q3 - 1:07INDMISS Rudez 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
30.9%
58
69.1%
Q3 - 1:22INDS. Hill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)59
34.0%
58
66.0%
Q3 - 1:23MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Layup59
32.6%
58
67.4%
Q3 - 1:29MIAHEAT Rebound59
58
Q3 - 1:29MIAJump Ball Cole vs. Price: Tip to Deng59
29.7%
58
70.3%
Q3 - 1:29INDCole BLOCK (1 BLK)59
31.0%
58
69.0%
Q3 - 1:50INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)59
34.0%
58
66.0%
Q3 - 1:51INDMISS Rudez 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
31.0%
58
69.0%
Q3 - 2:13MIAAndersen Foul Turnover (P1.T7)59
33.0%
58
67.0%
Q3 - 2:13MIAAndersen OFF.Foul (P1)59
58
Q3 - 2:19MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
28.8%
58
71.2%
Q3 - 2:20INDMISS Hibbert 12' Jump Shot59
30.1%
58
69.9%
Q3 - 2:41INDS. Hill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
33.0%
58
67.0%
Q3 - 2:42MIAMISS Cole 21' Jump Shot59
31.7%
58
68.3%
Q3 - 3:09INDHibbert 4' Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Rudez 1 AST)59
28.4%
58
71.6%
Q3 - 3:24MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)57
25.2%
58
74.8%
Q3 - 3:24MIAHEAT Rebound57
57
Q3 - 3:24MIAMISS Cole Free Throw 1 of 257
25.9%
57
74.1%
Q3 - 3:24INDSUB: Price FOR Sloan57
57
Q3 - 3:24MIASUB: Andersen FOR Shaw. Williams57
57
Q3 - 3:24INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)57
57
Q3 - 3:24INDRudez S.FOUL (P1.T4)57
57
Q3 - 3:27MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
25.0%
57
75.0%
Q3 - 3:28INDMISS Sloan 2' Driving Layup57
26.1%
57
73.9%
Q3 - 3:43MIACole 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)57
28.7%
57
71.3%
Q3 - 3:58INDHibbert 12' Turnaround Hook Shot (12 PTS)57
32.2%
55
67.8%
Q3 - 4:23INDSloan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
28.4%
55
71.6%
Q3 - 4:24MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 155
27.8%
55
72.2%
Q3 - 4:24INDSUB: Rudez FOR Copeland55
55
Q3 - 4:24MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Wade55
55
Q3 - 4:24INDSUB: Allen FOR Scola55
55
Q3 - 4:24INDScola S.FOUL (P3.T3)55
55
Q3 - 4:24MIABosh 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)55
55
Q3 - 4:29INDBosh STEAL (3 STL)55
31.2%
53
68.8%
Q3 - 4:49MIACole 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)55
35.8%
53
64.2%
Q3 - 4:54MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
39.0%
51
61.0%
Q3 - 4:55INDMISS Copeland 3PT Jump Shot55
40.5%
51
59.5%
Q3 - 5:07INDScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
42.6%
51
57.4%
Q3 - 5:08MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot55
41.2%
51
58.8%
Q3 - 5:19INDS. Hill P.FOUL (P2.T2)55
51
Q3 - 5:31INDHibbert 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)55
38.1%
51
61.9%
Q3 - 5:53INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)53
34.9%
51
65.1%
Q3 - 5:54MIAMISS Shaw. Williams Free Throw 2 of 253
34.3%
51
65.7%
Q3 - 5:54MIAShaw. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)53
32.0%
51
68.0%
Q3 - 5:54MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)53
50
Q3 - 5:54INDScola S.FOUL (P2.T1)53
50
Q3 - 6:11INDScola 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS)53
33.3%
50
66.7%
Q3 - 6:26INDS. Hill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)51
30.4%
50
69.6%
Q3 - 6:27MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
29.2%
50
70.8%
Q3 - 6:32MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
26.7%
50
73.3%
Q3 - 6:34MIAMISS Bosh 9' Hook Shot51
29.3%
50
70.8%
Q3 - 6:52MIAHEAT Rebound51
26.7%
50
73.3%
Q3 - 6:53INDMISS S. Hill 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
27.8%
50
72.2%
Q3 - 7:11INDScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
29.6%
50
70.4%
Q3 - 7:12MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot51
28.6%
50
71.4%
Q3 - 7:42INDScola 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Copeland 2 AST)51
26.2%
50
73.8%
Q3 - 8:05MIAShaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Cole 7 AST)49
23.5%
50
76.5%
Q3 - 8:20MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
28.7%
47
71.3%
Q3 - 8:21INDDeng BLOCK (1 BLK)49
29.8%
47
70.2%
Q3 - 8:22INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)49
32.4%
47
67.6%
Q3 - 8:23INDMISS Hibbert 1' Layup49
29.8%
47
70.2%
Q3 - 8:24INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)49
32.4%
47
67.6%
Q3 - 8:26INDMISS Sloan 7' Jump Bank Shot49
29.8%
47
70.2%
Q3 - 8:39INDPacers Rebound49
32.5%
47
67.5%
Q3 - 8:40INDMISS Copeland 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
29.9%
47
70.1%
Q3 - 8:53INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
32.5%
47
67.5%
Q3 - 8:54MIAMISS Deng 17' Jump Shot49
31.3%
47
68.7%
Q3 - 9:13INDSloan 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Hibbert 2 AST)49
28.2%
47
71.8%
Q3 - 9:27INDCopeland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
22.8%
47
77.2%
Q3 - 9:28MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot46
22.0%
47
78.0%
Q3 - 9:43INDCopeland 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Sloan 3 AST)46
20.3%
47
79.7%
Q3 - 9:45INDSloan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
16.1%
47
83.9%
Q3 - 9:46INDMISS S. Hill Driving Dunk43
14.7%
47
85.3%
Q3 - 10:16MIACole 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)43
15.7%
47
84.3%
Q3 - 10:40INDHibbert 3' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Sloan 2 AST)43
17.7%
45
82.3%
Q3 - 10:53INDPacers Rebound41
15.8%
45
84.2%
Q3 - 10:54MIAMISS Bosh 1' Driving Layup41
15.2%
45
84.8%
Q3 - 11:07MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
13.8%
45
86.2%
Q3 - 11:08INDMISS Copeland 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
14.3%
45
85.7%
Q3 - 11:30MIAShaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Cole 6 AST)41
15.6%
45
84.4%
Q3 - 11:42MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
19.5%
42
80.5%
Q3 - 11:43INDMISS Scola 18' Jump Shot41
20.2%
42
79.8%
Q3 - 12:0041
42
Q2 - 0:00.0IND41
21.8%
42
78.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound41
21.8%
42
78.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDMISS S. Hill 7' Jump Shot41
20.2%
42
79.8%
Q2 - 0:11.0INDPacers Timeout: Short (Reg.2 Short 1)41
42
Q2 - 0:17.0INDCopeland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
21.4%
42
78.6%
Q2 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 241
21.2%
42
78.8%
Q2 - 0:18.0INDSUB: Copeland FOR Rudez41
42
Q2 - 0:18.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)41
19.8%
42
80.2%
Q2 - 0:18.0INDHibbert S.FOUL (P2.T4)41
41
Q2 - 0:35.0INDHibbert 2' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS)41
22.0%
41
78.0%
Q2 - 0:36.0INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
19.3%
41
80.7%
Q2 - 0:37.0INDMISS S. Hill 2' Driving Layup39
18.3%
41
81.7%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIASUB: McRoberts FOR Shaw. Williams39
41
Q2 - 0:53.0MIASUB: Haslem FOR Bosh39
41
Q2 - 0:53.0MIABosh Foul Turnover (P2.T6)39
19.3%
41
80.7%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIABosh OFF.Foul (P3)39
41
Q2 - 1:00INDSloan 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)39
17.8%
41
82.2%
Q2 - 1:09INDSloan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
15.6%
41
84.4%
Q2 - 1:10MIAMISS Bosh 17' Step Back Jump Shot37
15.3%
41
84.7%
Q2 - 1:33INDS. Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Scola 3 AST)37
14.7%
41
85.3%
Q2 - 1:51INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
11.2%
41
88.8%
Q2 - 1:52MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
11.0%
41
89.0%
Q2 - 1:58INDWade STEAL (1 STL)34
10.5%
41
89.5%
Q2 - 2:15INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
11.5%
41
88.5%
Q2 - 2:16MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
11.2%
41
88.8%
Q2 - 2:21MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
10.4%
41
89.6%
Q2 - 2:22MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 234
11.4%
41
88.6%
Q2 - 2:22MIAHEAT Rebound34
41
Q2 - 2:22MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 234
10.6%
41
89.4%
Q2 - 2:22INDSUB: Sloan FOR Price34
41
Q2 - 2:22INDSUB: Scola FOR Allen34
41
Q2 - 2:2234
41
Q2 - 2:22INDHibbert S.FOUL (P1.T3)34
41
Q2 - 2:42INDAllen 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)34
10.4%
41
89.6%
Q2 - 2:43INDAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
9.2%
41
90.8%
Q2 - 2:44INDMISS S. Hill 3' Jump Shot32
8.6%
41
91.4%
Q2 - 2:46INDS. Hill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)32
9.2%
41
90.8%
Q2 - 2:47INDMISS Price 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
8.6%
41
91.4%
Q2 - 3:10MIAShaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)32
9.4%
41
90.6%
Q2 - 3:27MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
11.5%
38
88.5%
Q2 - 3:28INDMISS Hibbert 8' Hook Shot32
11.9%
38
88.1%
Q2 - 3:42INDSUB: Rudez FOR Copeland32
38
Q2 - 3:42INDSUB: Hibbert FOR Mahinmi32
38
Q2 - 3:42MIACole P.FOUL (P1.T2)32
38
Q2 - 4:02MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Cole 5 AST)32
12.9%
38
87.1%
Q2 - 4:21INDCopeland P.FOUL (P1.T2)32
35
Q2 - 4:22INDDeng STEAL (2 STL)32
15.7%
35
84.3%
Q2 - 4:35MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)32
17.3%
35
82.7%
Q2 - 4:56INDS. Hill Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)32
15.7%
35
84.3%
Q2 - 5:11MIASUB: Cole FOR Chalmers32
35
Q2 - 5:11MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)32
17.3%
35
82.7%
Q2 - 5:35MIASUB: Deng FOR Ennis32
35
Q2 - 5:35MIASUB: Shaw. Williams FOR McRoberts32
35
Q2 - 5:35MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)32
35
Q2 - 5:35MIABosh Violation:Defensive Goaltending32
35
Q2 - 5:35INDCopeland 2' Layup (7 PTS)32
15.7%
35
84.3%
Q2 - 5:36INDCopeland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
14.3%
35
85.7%
Q2 - 5:38INDMISS Price 12' Jump Shot30
13.3%
35
86.7%
Q2 - 5:55INDAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
14.3%
35
85.7%
Q2 - 5:56MIAMISS Chalmers 4' Jump Shot30
13.9%
35
86.1%
Q2 - 6:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
13.0%
35
87.0%
Q2 - 6:03INDMISS Price 2' Driving Layup30
13.4%
35
86.6%
Q2 - 6:23INDAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
14.5%
35
85.5%
Q2 - 6:24MIAMISS Bosh 1' Driving Layup30
14.0%
35
86.0%
Q2 - 6:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
13.0%
35
87.0%
Q2 - 6:35INDMISS S. Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
13.4%
35
86.6%
Q2 - 6:51MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)30
14.5%
35
85.5%
Q2 - 7:14INDPrice 15' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)30
15.7%
33
84.3%
Q2 - 7:19INDAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
14.5%
33
85.5%
Q2 - 7:20MIAMISS Wade 11' Fadeaway Jumper28
14.1%
33
85.9%
Q2 - 7:31MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
13.1%
33
86.9%
Q2 - 7:32INDMISS Price 27' 3PT Jump Shot28
13.5%
33
86.5%
Q2 - 8:01MIAChalmers 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)28
14.4%
33
85.6%
Q2 - 8:18INDAllen 4' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Price 1 AST)28
15.6%
31
84.4%
Q2 - 8:23MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)26
14.4%
31
85.6%
Q2 - 8:31INDMahinmi P.FOUL (P1.T1)26
31
Q2 - 8:47INDBosh STEAL (2 STL)26
13.1%
31
86.9%
Q2 - 9:01INDSUB: S. Hill FOR Rudez26
31
Q2 - 9:01INDSUB: Copeland FOR Sloan26
31
Q2 - 9:01MIASUB: Wade FOR Napier26
31
Q2 - 9:01MIASUB: Bosh FOR Andersen26
31
Q2 - 9:01INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)26
31
Q2 - 9:11MIAEnnis 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)26
14.3%
31
85.7%
Q2 - 9:26INDEnnis STEAL (1 STL)26
16.8%
28
83.2%
Q2 - 9:38INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
18.4%
28
81.6%
Q2 - 9:39MIAMISS Napier 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
17.9%
28
82.1%
Q2 - 9:45INDChalmers STEAL (1 STL)26
16.8%
28
83.2%
Q2 - 10:02MIAMcRoberts Dunk (2 PTS) (Napier 1 AST)26
18.6%
28
81.4%
Q2 - 10:19INDRudez 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
19.8%
26
80.2%
Q2 - 10:27MIA24
26
Q2 - 10:40INDPrice REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
18.6%
26
81.4%
Q2 - 10:41MIAMISS McRoberts 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
18.0%
26
82.0%
Q2 - 11:03MIAHEAT Rebound24
17.0%
26
83.0%
Q2 - 11:04INDMISS Sloan 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
17.4%
26
82.6%
Q2 - 11:21MIAMcRoberts Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)24
18.5%
26
81.5%
Q2 - 11:39MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
17.0%
26
83.0%
Q2 - 11:40INDMISS Allen 7' Turnaround Hook Shot24
17.4%
26
82.6%
Q2 - 11:49MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P2.T1)24
26
Q2 - 12:0024
26
Q1 - 0:00.0IND24
18.5%
26
81.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound24
18.5%
26
81.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot24
17.4%
26
82.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0INDPacers Rebound24
18.2%
26
81.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0INDEnnis BLOCK (1 BLK)24
17.5%
26
82.5%
Q1 - 0:05.0MIANapier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)24
18.2%
26
81.8%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
17.2%
26
82.8%
Q1 - 0:26.0INDMISS Price 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
17.5%
26
82.5%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)24
18.2%
26
81.8%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIASUB: Ennis FOR Deng24
25
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAHEAT Rebound24
25
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 224
18.5%
25
81.5%
Q1 - 0:47.0INDSloan S.FOUL (P1.T3)24
25
Q1 - 1:06INDPrice 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Sloan 1 AST)24
18.4%
25
81.6%
Q1 - 1:17INDPrice REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
15.5%
25
84.5%
Q1 - 1:18INDMISS Price 14' Jump Shot21
14.9%
25
85.1%
Q1 - 1:22INDRudez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
15.5%
25
84.5%
Q1 - 1:23MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Driving Layup21
15.3%
25
84.7%
Q1 - 1:37INDMcRoberts STEAL (1 STL)21
14.6%
25
85.4%
Q1 - 1:46INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
15.5%
25
84.5%
Q1 - 1:47MIAMISS Deng 3' Driving Layup21
15.3%
25
84.7%
Q1 - 2:01INDSUB: Price FOR S. Hill21
25
Q1 - 2:01MIASUB: Napier FOR Cole21
25
Q1 - 2:01MIAHEAT Rebound21
14.6%
25
85.4%
Q1 - 2:02INDMISS Hibbert 10' Turnaround Hook Shot21
14.9%
25
85.1%
Q1 - 2:25MIAChalmers 5' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
15.7%
25
84.3%
Q1 - 2:44MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
17.0%
23
83.0%
Q1 - 2:45INDMISS S. Hill Free Throw 2 of 221
17.2%
23
82.8%
Q1 - 2:45INDS. Hill Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)21
18.0%
23
82.0%
Q1 - 2:45MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P1.PN)20
23
Q1 - 2:58INDSUB: Rudez FOR Copeland20
23
Q1 - 2:58MIAMcRoberts P.FOUL (P1.T4)20
23
Q1 - 3:17MIADeng 2' Layup (5 PTS)20
16.9%
23
83.1%
Q1 - 3:18MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
18.0%
21
82.0%
Q1 - 3:19MIAMISS Cole 10' Jump Shot20
19.1%
21
80.9%
Q1 - 3:28MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
18.1%
21
81.9%
Q1 - 3:29INDMISS Hibbert 13' Turnaround Jump Shot20
18.5%
21
81.5%
Q1 - 3:36INDSUB: Allen FOR Scola20
21
Q1 - 3:36MIASUB: McRoberts FOR Wade20
21
Q1 - 3:36MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Shaw. Williams20
21
Q1 - 3:36INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)20
21
Q1 - 3:55MIADeng 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)20
19.6%
21
80.4%
Q1 - 4:15INDCopeland 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)20
22.2%
18
77.8%
Q1 - 4:35MIAWade 3' Driving Layup (11 PTS)18
21.1%
18
78.9%
Q1 - 4:58INDCopeland 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Scola 2 AST)18
22.2%
16
77.8%
Q1 - 5:19MIAWade 3' Jump Shot (9 PTS)15
19.7%
16
80.3%
Q1 - 5:21MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
20.7%
14
79.3%
Q1 - 5:22MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot15
21.7%
14
78.3%
Q1 - 5:39INDScola L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)15
14
Q1 - 5:40MIAHEAT Rebound15
20.8%
14
79.2%
Q1 - 5:41INDMISS Copeland 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
21.2%
14
78.8%
Q1 - 5:46INDSloan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
22.2%
14
77.8%
Q1 - 5:47MIAMISS Deng 7' Jump Shot15
21.7%
14
78.3%
Q1 - 5:58INDS. Hill Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
20.9%
14
79.1%
Q1 - 5:58INDS. Hill Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
20.6%
14
79.4%
Q1 - 5:58MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)13
14
Q1 - 5:58MIAShaw. Williams S.FOUL (P1.T3)13
14
Q1 - 6:15MIAShaw. Williams 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)13
19.6%
14
80.4%
Q1 - 6:21MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
20.6%
12
79.4%
Q1 - 6:22INDMISS Scola 20' Jump Shot13
21.0%
12
79.0%
Q1 - 6:34INDScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
21.9%
12
78.1%
Q1 - 6:35MIAMISS Andersen 18' Jump Shot13
21.5%
12
78.5%
Q1 - 6:50INDScola 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Copeland 1 AST)13
20.7%
12
79.3%
Q1 - 7:09MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)11
19.8%
12
80.2%
Q1 - 7:28INDHibbert 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Scola 1 AST)11
20.7%
10
79.3%
Q1 - 7:45INDS. Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
20.0%
10
80.0%
Q1 - 7:46MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot9
19.7%
10
80.3%
Q1 - 8:08INDS. Hill Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
19.1%
10
80.9%
Q1 - 8:08MIAHEAT Violation: Delay of game Violation8
10
Q1 - 8:08MIASUB: Andersen FOR Bosh8
10
Q1 - 8:08INDS. Hill Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
18.9%
10
81.1%
Q1 - 8:08MIABosh S.FOUL (P2.T2)7
10
Q1 - 8:09INDS. Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
18.4%
10
81.6%
Q1 - 8:10INDMISS Copeland 26' 3PT Jump Shot7
17.8%
10
82.2%
Q1 - 8:30INDScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
18.6%
10
81.4%
Q1 - 8:31MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot7
18.4%
10
81.6%
Q1 - 8:51INDHibbert 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
18.2%
10
81.8%
Q1 - 9:20MIAShaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)5
18.2%
10
81.8%
Q1 - 9:41INDSloan 9' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)5
19.7%
7
80.3%
Q1 - 10:02INDSloan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
19.7%
7
80.3%
Q1 - 10:03MIAMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot3
19.6%
7
80.4%
Q1 - 10:18INDHibbert Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)3
19.7%
7
80.3%
Q1 - 10:35MIACole 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)3
20.6%
7
79.4%
Q1 - 10:40INDBosh STEAL (1 STL)3
21.1%
5
78.9%
Q1 - 10:44INDScola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
21.6%
5
78.4%
Q1 - 10:45MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot3
21.5%
5
78.5%
Q1 - 11:02INDSloan 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST)3
21.7%
5
78.3%
Q1 - 11:09MIABosh P.FOUL (P1.T1)0
5
Q1 - 11:20MIAWade 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)0
22.0%
5
78.0%
Q1 - 11:25INDDeng STEAL (1 STL)0
22.4%
3
77.6%
Q1 - 11:32INDPacers Rebound0
22.8%
3
77.2%
Q1 - 11:33INDMISS S. Hill 3' Driving Jump Shot0
22.7%
3
77.3%
Q1 - 11:46MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)0
23.3%
3
76.7%
Q1 - 11:46INDS. Hill S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
2
Q1 - 11:46MIAWade 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
2
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Hibbert: Tip to Shaw. Williams0
23.9%
0
76.1%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventINDMIA
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.88 44.0%
MIA
0.96 48.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
13
27
48%
MIA
14
23
61%
Midrange
IND
9
27
33%
MIA
6
25
24%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
8
12.0
26
31%
46%
MIA
9
13.5
20
45%
68%
Free Throws
IND
13
15
87%
MIA
8
18
44%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Copeland1750%8.5 / 17
R. Hibbert1653%8.0 / 15
D. Sloan1568%7.5 / 11
S. Hill928%4.5 / 16
A. Price729%3.5 / 12
L. Scola660%3.0 / 5
L. Allen643%3.0 / 7
I. Mahinmi3150%1.5 / 1
D. Rudez233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2053%10.0 / 19
S. Williams15107%7.5 / 7
C. Bosh932%4.5 / 14
N. Cole956%4.5 / 8
M. Chalmers739%3.5 / 9
L. Deng525%2.5 / 10
J. McRoberts467%2.0 / 3
S. Napier350%1.5 / 3
J. Ennis III3150%1.5 / 1
C. Andersen0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
67
+24
-15
91
MIA
72
+6
-9
78
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
0.88 44.0%
MIA
0.96 48.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
103.9
IND 98.8 +6.2
MIA 92.6
Pace
92.9
91.0
IND 73.0
MIA 92.4 +19.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.0
16.3
IND 19.7
MIA 15.6 −4.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.4%
50.0%
IND 42.5%
MIA 49.3% +6.8%
TO %
14.2%
15.2%
IND 15.6%
MIA 12.7% −2.9%
ORB %
24.0%
23.3%
IND 42.1% +28.1%
MIA 14.0%
FTrt
26.6
30.6
IND 18.8
MIA 26.5 +7.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.6%
56.4%
IND 43.3%
MIA 62.1% +18.8%
STL %
6.6%
8.6%
IND 6.1%
MIA 13.6% +7.5%
BLK %
7.4%
8.0%
IND 10.4% +1.1%
MIA 9.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.9%
52.2%
IND 44.0%
MIA 48.1% +4.1%
Rim FG%
55.7%
59.7%
IND 48.1%
MIA 60.9% +12.8%
Mid FG%
40.6%
40.9%
IND 33.3% +9.3%
MIA 24.0%
3P %
35.2%
33.5%
IND 30.8%
MIA 45.0% +14.2%
FT %
75.6%
74.1%
IND 86.7% +42.3%
MIA 44.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.2%
35.1%
IND 33.8%
MIA 33.8% +0.1%
Mid Att. %
43.3%
38.7%
IND 33.8% −3.0%
MIA 36.8%
3P Att. %
25.5%
26.2%
IND 32.5% +3.1%
MIA 29.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDMIA
Possessions8281
Possession Minutes27.021.0
Points8175
Rebounds5328
Assists1318
Steals511
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)9 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (8)6 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (1)22 (6)
Field Goals30-8029-68
At-the-Rim FG13-2714-23
Midrange FG9-276-25
2-Point FG22-5420-48
3-Point FG8-269-20
Free Throws13-158-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 225 · 24
42.3
9
28%
10
0
1
0
2
4
5
5
6-8
75%
0-8
0%
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 239 · 31
35.0
17
50%
5
2
1
1
3
1
2
3
0-0
-
4-7
57%
3-10
30%
G · 6'3" 205 · 27
33.9
15
68%
6
3
1
0
2
1
1
5
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
3-5
60%
C · 7'2" 270 · 28
33.8
16
53%
15
2
0
3
5
3
4
11
2-2
100%
7-14
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 241 · 35
18.4
6
60%
5
3
0
0
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 26
29.3
6
43%
7
0
1
1
1
3
3
4
2-2
100%
2-6
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 28
19.1
7
29%
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-7
29%
1-5
20%
C · 6'11" 262 · 28
14.3
3
150%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 228 · 28
14.1
2
33%
1
1
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
G · 6'6" 220 · 28
F · 6'9" 250 · 34
G · 6'5" 205 · 29
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 24
#13 · F · 6'8" 220 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'3" 188 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#32 · G · 6'2" 175 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
81
44%
53
13
5
5
15
0
16
37
13-15
87%
22-54
41%
8-26
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.