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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 12, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Nets42%103104
11Suns58%106112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 33.4
37.2
31.0
21
55%
5
3
2
1
0
1
0
5
6-7
86%
6-13
5-9
46%
48%
1-3
33%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.4
33.9
36.7
14
64%
4
5
1
1
0
5
0
4
2-2
100%
3-5
4-9
60%
48%
2-5
40%
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.6
33.1
28.3
14
60%
2
0
1
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
49%
2-4
50%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 38.5
27.2
22.7
12
68%
10
2
0
1
0
2
2
8
2-2
100%
5-8
3-7
63%
47%
0-0
-
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 26.6
25.6
28.4
16
53%
3
0
2
1
1
0
1
2
4-5
80%
6-13
6-12
46%
51%
0-0
-
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 29.2
32.8
22.0
16
73%
7
4
1
0
0
2
4
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
50%
4-8
50%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.0
23.6
21.9
8
69%
2
3
1
1
0
5
0
2
4-4
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 32.1
13.4
21.0
2
57%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-4
50%
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 24.7
9.5
16.7
1
13%
4
0
1
1
3
2
1
3
1-4
25%
0-2
2-4
0%
59%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.7
3.6
3.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
51%
0-0
-
Cory Jefferson
F · 6'9" 218 · 23.9
0.1
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Jorge Gutierrez
G · 6'3" 189 · 25.9
0.1
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Jerome Jordan
C · 7'0" 253 · 28.1
3.2
0
0-1
50%
Markel Brown
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.8
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 21.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.5
34.8
30.8
18
58%
3
6
0
1
0
2
2
1
1-1
100%
4-9
5-9
44%
53%
3-6
50%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 25.2
33.8
27.0
9
41%
5
3
3
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
3-9
5-9
33%
51%
1-2
50%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 26.2
32.4
28.5
8
57%
10
1
1
1
1
1
2
8
0-0
-
4-7
3-6
57%
52%
0-0
-
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 24.9
23.3
27.1
11
94%
4
3
1
1
0
7
0
4
2-2
100%
3-4
4-7
75%
50%
1-1
100%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 25.2
22.2
29.9
6
43%
4
0
2
1
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 28.8
26.6
18.0
28
69%
5
3
1
1
0
2
0
5
11-12
92%
4-6
2-5
67%
49%
3-9
33%
PJ Tucker
F · 6'6" 245 · 29.5
23.7
25.8
6
69%
3
1
1
1
0
2
1
2
2-3
67%
2-2
2-3
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 25.8
22.7
23.2
21
62%
4
2
1
1
0
3
1
3
9-9
100%
6-10
3-6
60%
51%
0-3
0%
Alex Len
C · 7'1" 250 · 21.4
11.9
13.1
5
51%
5
0
0
0
0
1
3
2
1-2
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.4
8.8
8.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-1
0%
TJ Warren
F · 6'8" 215 · 21.2
5.2
0
1-1
49%
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 31.0
3.1
0
0-1
49%
Archie Goodwin
G · 6'5" 205 · 20.2
2.7
0
0-1
51%
Tyler Ennis
G · 6'3" 194 · 20.2
Zoran Dragic
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 25.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.