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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 12, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Rockets64%103113
21Timberwolves36%98101
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 25.2
40
37
23
4
10
3
2
0
1
1
3
5-5
100%
6-15
5-10
40%
50%
2-8
25%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 29.4
34
35
19
5
1
2
2
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
48%
3-6
50%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.9
33
21
22
10
2
0
1
4
0
2
8
4-5
80%
9-16
5-8
56%
58%
0-0
-
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 24.1
31
24
8
7
4
1
1
2
3
4
3
0-0
-
4-8
2-4
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 23.5
26
29
5
2
1
0
1
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
0-3
0%
Kostas Papanikolaou
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.3
24
27
14
0
4
0
1
0
1
0
0
2-3
67%
0-4
1-2
0%
47%
4-4
100%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 37.2
23
23
9
3
3
1
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
3-3
100%
Tarik Black
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 23.0
17
12
10
6
0
0
0
0
1
4
2
0-0
-
5-6
1-2
83%
48%
0-0
-
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 23.3
5
7
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
48%
1-3
33%
Nick Johnson
G · 6'3" 202 · 21.9
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 30.9
3
3
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-2
0%
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 32.9
8
0
0-1
46%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.3
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 20.5
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 22.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 19.7
34
13
8
3
9
0
0
0
3
0
3
4-4
100%
2-7
1-2
29%
43%
0-2
0%
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'8" 202 · 19.7
32
27
15
1
0
0
1
1
4
0
1
2-2
100%
5-11
3-7
45%
46%
1-2
50%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 28.9
28
27
11
13
0
2
1
1
1
4
9
3-3
100%
4-10
6-11
40%
52%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.4
27
33
6
3
1
1
2
1
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-9
6-12
11%
49%
1-1
100%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 31.8
22
32
12
5
1
1
1
0
1
1
4
3-4
75%
3-6
4-8
50%
44%
1-1
100%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 28.7
24
21
18
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
3-5
60%
6-6
3-5
100%
50%
1-1
100%
Shabazz Muhammad
G-F · 6'6" 221 · 22.0
14
10
9
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
3-6
50%
3-6
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 24.8
14
19
8
3
2
0
1
2
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 31.9
14
22
2
2
6
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
0-5
2-5
0%
44%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 31.8
10
6
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Anthony Bennett
F · 6'8" 245 · 21.7
9
7
2
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
0-0
-
Robbie Hummel
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.7
8
11
8
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
44%
2-3
67%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 26.5
4
6
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Glenn Robinson III
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 20.8
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.