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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 14, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Heat
103
13Hawks
114
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 30.6
38
34
20
8
2
2
1
1
4
0
8
6-6
100%
7-16
5-10
44%
53%
0-3
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.6
35
32
19
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
6-7
86%
2-7
4-8
29%
46%
3-5
60%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.7
33
24
21
6
1
1
1
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
46%
5-6
83%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.1
28
24
6
2
8
4
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
1-3
43%
45%
0-0
-
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.4
6
8
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.5
40
27
23
1
11
0
1
0
3
0
1
8-8
100%
6-8
2-4
75%
48%
1-3
33%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.3
21
18
4
2
1
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
43%
0-1
0%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.4
19
8
6
6
1
1
0
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
2-5
1-2
40%
49%
0-0
-
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 29.0
13
0
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
45%
1-3
33%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36.4
7
18
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
59%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 27.7
17
0
1-2
51%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 31.6
2
0
0-0
42%
Andre Dawkins
G · 6'5" 219 · 23.2
1
0
0-0
43%
Justin Hamilton
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.6
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 32.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 33.7
37
35
12
6
7
2
1
0
3
0
6
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
4-5
80%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 29.8
34
35
19
9
2
2
2
1
2
1
8
3-6
50%
5-10
5-10
50%
49%
2-5
40%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.5
33
25
12
6
1
1
1
3
3
1
5
3-4
75%
3-5
2-4
60%
50%
1-2
50%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 26.4
32
32
16
1
9
1
1
0
3
0
1
5-5
100%
4-5
4-9
80%
48%
1-6
17%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.4
28
30
19
6
4
1
1
1
1
0
6
2-2
100%
7-9
6-12
78%
54%
1-1
100%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 21.2
25
18
10
2
6
2
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
47%
0-3
0%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 24.6
17
7
12
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-1
100%
47%
2-2
100%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 26.3
17
13
11
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
3-3
100%
4-5
2-3
80%
53%
0-3
0%
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 32.3
13
18
3
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23.4
4
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 25.4
6
0
1-1
47%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.7
6
0
0-1
48%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 35.7
3
0
0-1
49%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.3
Adreian Payne
· 6'10" 237 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.