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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 14, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3076ers8%9087
2Rockets92%10988
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.6
35
28
19
4
8
1
1
0
4
2
2
3-6
50%
5-10
4-9
50%
46%
2-6
33%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.2
32
24
6
9
0
2
1
0
2
1
8
2-2
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 24.6
30
20
14
3
1
0
1
3
1
0
3
2-2
100%
6-8
3-6
75%
44%
0-0
-
Brandon Davies
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.3
29
21
7
5
2
1
1
1
1
4
1
0-2
0%
2-8
2-5
25%
46%
1-4
25%
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 23.6
25
26
12
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
44%
2-3
67%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 23.1
27
22
13
5
5
2
1
0
5
2
3
3-3
100%
2-8
3-7
25%
41%
2-4
50%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 20.6
23
22
8
6
0
0
1
1
4
1
5
2-3
67%
3-7
2-6
43%
44%
0-0
-
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 21.8
16
25
4
5
0
2
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
42%
0-0
-
Drew Gordon
C-F · 6'9" 245 · 24.3
13
11
2
3
2
1
0
0
3
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
41%
0-0
-
Chris Johnson
F · 6'6" 206 · 24.5
10
19
2
4
0
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-3
0%
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 21.7
19
0
2-4
41%
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 25.9
9
0
1-2
37%
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.7
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.7
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 33.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 29.4
42
34
13
9
2
3
2
0
3
2
7
4-5
80%
3-4
2-5
75%
51%
1-7
14%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 28.9
41
28
21
16
0
2
1
7
6
5
11
3-12
25%
9-14
7-11
64%
61%
0-0
-
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 25.2
41
38
35
6
7
3
2
1
5
0
6
14-16
88%
9-19
6-11
47%
53%
1-5
20%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 24.2
31
27
3
7
1
2
1
2
1
2
5
1-2
50%
1-3
3-5
33%
56%
0-1
0%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 23.5
26
27
9
2
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
3-6
50%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 37.2
22
22
6
1
0
3
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
2-6
33%
Kostas Papanikolaou
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.3
17
25
0
4
2
2
1
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-4
0%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 32.9
13
5
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-5
0%
Tarik Black
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 23.0
7
15
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-1
2-3
0%
54%
0-0
-
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 23.3
6
0
0-0
51%
Nick Johnson
G · 6'3" 202 · 21.9
3
0
0-1
51%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 30.9
3
0
0-1
48%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.3
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 20.5
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 22.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.