Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	1	Spurs	76%	106	93	104.5	89	88.4
	27	Lakers	24%	96	80	88.9	90	92.6

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 32	31.1	11	55%	2	9	0	0	3	1	0	2	3-3	100%	4-9	44%	0-0	-
Danny Green G · 6'6" 215 · 27	29.3	9	45%	3	1	2	0	0	4	1	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	3-7	43%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 39	25.2	13	81%	11	2	1	0	1	1	0	11	1-1	100%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Matt Bonner C · 6'10" 235 · 35	20.1	10	83%	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	4-4	100%	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Kawhi Leonard F · 6'6" 225 · 23	18.1	12	86%	5	0	2	2	3	3	0	5	0-2	0%	3-4	75%	2-2	100%

Cory Joseph G · 6'2" 200 · 23	25.7	14	58%	3	4	1	0	2	2	0	3	3-4	75%	4-8	50%	1-2	50%
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 37	24.9	9	41%	2	8	2	0	0	2	1	1	4-4	100%	1-6	17%	1-3	33%
Boris Diaw C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33	23.6	7	29%	5	2	1	0	0	0	2	3	0-0	-	2-9	22%	1-3	33%
Aron Baynes C · 6'10" 260 · 28	20.3	4	50%	7	0	0	0	0	5	3	4	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Kyle Anderson F-G · 6'8" 230 · 21	10.5	0	0%	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Jeff Ayres F-C · 6'9" 250 · 28	6.8	2	100%	1	1	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Austin Daye F · 6'11" 220 · 26	4.4	2	25%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Marco Belinelli G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29	\| DND - Mild strain, right groin
Patty Mills #8 · G · 6'0" 185 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Tiago Splitter #22 · C-F · 6'11" 245 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	51%	44	28	9	2	10	0	7	37	17-20	85%	23-57	40%	10-23	43%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

1 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 32	31.1	11	55%	2	9	0	0	3	1	0	2	3-3	100%	4-9	44%	0-0	-
Danny Green G · 6'6" 215 · 27	29.3	9	45%	3	1	2	0	0	4	1	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	3-7	43%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 39	25.2	13	81%	11	2	1	0	1	1	0	11	1-1	100%	6-8	75%	0-0	-
Matt Bonner C · 6'10" 235 · 35	20.1	10	83%	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	4-4	100%	0-1	0%	2-3	67%
Kawhi Leonard F · 6'6" 225 · 23	18.1	12	86%	5	0	2	2	3	3	0	5	0-2	0%	3-4	75%	2-2	100%

Cory Joseph G · 6'2" 200 · 23	25.7	14	58%	3	4	1	0	2	2	0	3	3-4	75%	4-8	50%	1-2	50%
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 37	24.9	9	41%	2	8	2	0	0	2	1	1	4-4	100%	1-6	17%	1-3	33%
Boris Diaw C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33	23.6	7	29%	5	2	1	0	0	0	2	3	0-0	-	2-9	22%	1-3	33%
Aron Baynes C · 6'10" 260 · 28	20.3	4	50%	7	0	0	0	0	5	3	4	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Kyle Anderson F-G · 6'8" 230 · 21	10.5	0	0%	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	3	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
Jeff Ayres F-C · 6'9" 250 · 28	6.8	2	100%	1	1	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Austin Daye F · 6'11" 220 · 26	4.4	2	25%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Marco Belinelli G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29	\| DND - Mild strain, right groin
Patty Mills #8 · G · 6'0" 185 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Tiago Splitter #22 · C-F · 6'11" 245 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	93	51%	44	28	9	2	10	0	7	37	17-20	85%	23-57	40%	10-23	43%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

27 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jeremy Lin G · 6'3" 200 · 26	37.5	15	58%	4	4	1	0	3	2	0	4	4-4	100%	4-8	50%	1-3	33%
Kobe Bryant G · 6'6" 212 · 36	36.4	9	25%	4	6	1	2	4	1	0	4	7-9	78%	1-9	11%	0-5	0%
Wesley Johnson F · 6'7" 215 · 27	33.1	6	60%	5	4	0	1	1	1	1	4	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-1	0%
Carlos Boozer F · 6'9" 258 · 33	32.1	19	63%	8	1	2	0	2	2	2	6	3-4	75%	8-13	62%	0-0	-
Jordan Hill C · 6'10" 240 · 27	28.0	10	33%	11	0	0	0	1	0	5	6	2-4	50%	4-13	31%	0-0	-

Jordan Clarkson G · 6'5" 194 · 22	22.1	8	57%	4	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2-3	67%	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Ed Davis F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25	20.0	6	50%	4	0	0	1	1	4	0	4	0-3	0%	3-5	60%	0-0	-
Robert Sacre C · 7'0" 270 · 25	14.4	2	20%	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Ryan Kelly F · 6'11" 230 · 24	12.1	5	63%	2	1	1	0	0	1	0	2	2-2	100%	0-2	0%	1-1	100%
Xavier Henry F-G · 6'6" 220 · 24	4.4	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Ronnie Price G · 6'2" 190 · 31	\| NWT - Suspension
Wayne Ellington G · 6'5" 200 · 27	\| NWT - Personal reasons
Julius Randle F-C · 6'9" 250 · 20	\| DND - Fractured tibia, right leg
Steve Nash #10 · G · 6'3" 178 · 41	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Nick Young #0 · G-F · 6'7" 210 · 29	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	80	44%	46	17	6	5	13	0	11	35	22-31	71%	26-63	41%	2-12	17%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	LAL

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.01 50.5%

LAL

0.89 44.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

18

34

53%

LAL

17

28

61%

Midrange

SAS

5

23

22%

LAL

9

35

26%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

10

15.0

23

43%

65%

LAL

2

3.0

12

17%

25%

Free Throws

SAS

17

20

85%

LAL

22

31

71%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Joseph	14	58%	7.0 / 12
T. Duncan	13	81%	6.5 / 8
K. Leonard	12	86%	6.0 / 7
T. Parker	11	55%	5.5 / 10
M. Bonner	10	83%	5.0 / 6
D. Green	9	45%	4.5 / 10
M. Ginobili	9	41%	4.5 / 11
B. Diaw	7	29%	3.5 / 12
A. Baynes	4	50%	2.0 / 4
J. Ayres	2	100%	1.0 / 1
A. Daye	2	25%	1.0 / 4
K. Anderson	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
C. Boozer	19	63%	9.5 / 15
J. Lin	15	58%	7.5 / 13
J. Hill	10	33%	5.0 / 15
K. Bryant	9	25%	4.5 / 18
J. Clarkson	8	57%	4.0 / 7
W. Johnson	6	60%	3.0 / 5
E. Davis	6	50%	3.0 / 6
R. Kelly	5	63%	2.5 / 4
R. Sacre	2	20%	1.0 / 5
X. Henry	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	9 108.5 24 103.5	SAS 104.5 +15.6 LAL 88.9
Pace	15 93.9 13 94.0	SAS 88.4 LAL 92.6 +4.1
Avg. Poss. Time	10 15.7 13 15.6	SAS 16.3 LAL 15.6 −0.7
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	5 51.7% 26 47.3%	SAS 47.5% +8.8% LAL 38.7%
TO %	12 14.2% 5 13.3%	SAS 10.1% −2.7% LAL 12.8%
ORB %	25 23.4% 14 25.4%	SAS 16.7% LAL 22.9% +6.2%
FTrt	24 25.6 14 27.6	SAS 25.0 LAL 41.3 +16.3
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 62.3% 24 56.2%	SAS 84.8% +24.1% LAL 60.7%
STL %	11 8.5% 24 7.4%	SAS 10.1% +3.4% LAL 6.7%
BLK %	10 8.4% 18 7.5%	SAS 3.2% LAL 8.8% +5.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 54.0% 27 49.9%	SAS 50.5% +6.1% LAL 44.4%
Rim FG%	9 59.6% 13 58.0%	SAS 52.9% LAL 60.7% +7.8%
Mid FG%	3 42.1% 28 36.9%	SAS 21.7% LAL 25.7% +4.0%
3P %	6 36.7% 17 34.4%	SAS 43.5% +26.8% LAL 16.7%
FT %	4 78.0% 23 74.1%	SAS 85.0% +14.0% LAL 71.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	16 35.3% 25 33.8%	SAS 42.5% +5.2% LAL 37.3%
Mid Att. %	17 37.8% 26 44.2%	SAS 28.7% −17.9% LAL 46.7%
3P Att. %	15 26.9% 26 22.0%	SAS 28.7% +12.7% LAL 16.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	LAL
Possessions	89	90
Possession Minutes	24.1	23.3
Points	93	80
Rebounds	44	46
Assists	28	17
Steals	9	6
Blocks	2	5
Turnovers (Team)	10 (0)	13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (4)	11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	37 (2)	35 (2)
Field Goals	33-80	28-75
At-the-Rim FG	18-34	17-28
Midrange FG	5-23	9-35
2-Point FG	23-57	26-63
3-Point FG	10-23	2-12
Free Throws	17-20	22-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg