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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 15, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Hawks29%9994
6Cavaliers71%106127
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 29.8
28
34
16
7
4
1
2
1
1
2
5
2-2
100%
7-11
5-10
64%
48%
0-2
0%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 26.4
26
32
5
2
3
1
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
4-9
17%
47%
1-2
50%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.5
21
28
10
5
2
2
1
1
1
1
4
2-2
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
49%
0-3
0%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 28.5
19
29
12
4
2
0
1
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
6-9
6-11
67%
53%
0-1
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 33.7
14
35
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 25.4
26
5
4
3
2
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
0-1
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 24.6
22
12
6
5
6
0
0
0
4
1
4
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
46%
0-3
0%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 23.4
22
5
13
4
0
0
0
4
1
3
1
2-3
67%
4-7
1-2
57%
47%
1-1
100%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.7
21
5
12
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
4-7
0-1
57%
47%
1-3
33%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 21.2
15
21
6
3
4
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
45%
0-2
0%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 26.3
13
15
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
51%
0-3
0%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 35.7
9
3
5
2
2
1
0
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
2-3
0-1
67%
48%
0-0
-
Pero Antic
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 32.3
5
16
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Adreian Payne
· 6'10" 237 · 23.7
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 28.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 26.2
30
36
13
6
5
0
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
2-5
4-8
40%
49%
3-7
43%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 29.9
29
39
32
6
7
0
2
1
3
2
4
2-4
50%
9-15
8-14
60%
58%
4-5
80%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 22.6
27
39
20
3
5
3
2
0
0
0
3
4-4
100%
2-2
5-11
100%
48%
4-7
57%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 36.5
24
26
11
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
51%
1-1
100%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.1
21
27
2
10
5
0
1
0
1
4
6
0-0
-
1-3
4-7
33%
52%
0-0
-
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.9
27
20
9
1
8
4
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-9
3-7
33%
46%
1-2
50%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 23.7
24
22
15
7
1
2
0
1
1
2
5
3-3
100%
6-8
3-6
75%
49%
0-0
-
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 23.2
21
16
12
4
4
1
0
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
4-5
80%
Will Cherry
· 6'1" 176 · 23.8
10
2
4
1
2
2
0
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
0-2
0-0
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 31.9
9
2
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
44%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 35.0
9
3
4
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
0-0
40%
49%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.1
6
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
33%
1-2
50%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.7
2
13
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.2
Alex Kirk
C · 7'0" 245 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.