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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 15, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Pacers17%8799
8Bulls83%10090
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 30.7
38.5
28.3
13
59%
0
1
1
1
0
5
0
0
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
46%
3-4
75%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 27.9
35.0
28.1
8
36%
7
5
1
0
3
3
0
7
0-0
-
4-11
4-9
36%
44%
0-0
-
Solomon Hill
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.7
33.3
36.2
21
58%
12
1
1
1
0
1
4
8
8-9
89%
5-11
3-7
45%
45%
1-3
33%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 34.5
30.1
18.4
21
76%
11
0
1
0
2
2
2
9
1-4
25%
10-12
3-6
83%
46%
0-0
-
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.8
24.8
29.4
6
47%
1
7
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
1-4
2-6
25%
42%
1-2
50%
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 28.1
24.0
19.5
21
75%
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
5-7
71%
5-6
2-4
83%
43%
2-5
40%
Damjan Rudez
F · 6'10" 228 · 28.4
23.6
22.3
3
26%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-4
0%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 25.8
17.9
23.6
4
34%
4
2
0
0
1
0
1
3
2-2
100%
1-5
3-7
20%
45%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 28.0
12.8
18.3
2
50%
5
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.2
9.3
0
1-3
46%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 27.7
7.6
0
1-2
44%
Shayne Whittington
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 23.6
7.2
0
1-1
45%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 28.6
4.7
0
1-2
43%
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.5
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 28.5
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 30.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 25.2
41.0
38.7
32
69%
6
1
2
2
1
1
2
4
11-14
79%
9-15
4-8
60%
49%
1-2
50%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 34.4
33.8
32.8
12
36%
6
1
0
1
3
0
4
2
4-4
100%
4-15
7-13
27%
50%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 29.7
31.9
31.3
7
72%
4
6
0
1
2
0
1
3
1-2
50%
3-4
4-8
75%
49%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.9
31.6
24.8
15
44%
2
7
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
6-13
2-4
46%
43%
1-4
25%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 34.2
27.4
31.2
4
29%
6
1
0
1
0
1
0
6
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
0-3
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.4
24.9
25.7
2
17%
6
0
2
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
1-6
5-9
17%
51%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 29.8
17.9
13.8
6
44%
2
1
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-2
0%
3-4
1-3
75%
45%
0-2
0%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 22.9
13.8
8.3
7
88%
1
0
1
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
51%
1-1
100%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 23.0
12.3
4.1
3
38%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
1-3
33%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 23.8
5.4
7.1
2
29%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-1
0%
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 37.2
1.0
0
0-0
43%
Cameron Bairstow
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 23.9
0.9
0
0-0
50%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 25.7
0.4
0
0-0
43%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.