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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 15, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Pistons
88
8Grizzlies
95
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 28.9
33
31
11
7
3
1
1
4
2
1
6
0-0
-
4-12
5-11
33%
45%
1-1
100%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 25.1
33
31
14
2
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
5-10
3-7
50%
41%
1-6
17%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 24.4
32
31
16
11
1
0
1
0
2
3
8
0-2
0%
8-13
6-13
62%
48%
0-0
-
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.7
26
34
2
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-7
3-6
14%
43%
0-4
0%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 21.3
20
28
6
10
0
0
1
1
1
2
8
2-4
50%
2-4
5-9
50%
56%
0-0
-
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.5
27
23
21
4
0
2
1
1
0
1
3
6-6
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
5-7
71%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 34.7
27
25
4
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
0-0
1-3
-
41%
1-3
33%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 27.0
20
17
7
0
5
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
41%
1-4
25%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 27.7
19
15
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
50%
1-1
100%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 32.3
3
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-1
0%
1-2
0-0
50%
47%
0-0
-
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.0
2
0
0-1
43%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 21.6
2
0
0-0
42%
Tony Mitchell
· 6'8" 216 · 22.6
2
0
0-0
43%
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.0
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 29.8
38
35
23
8
3
1
1
2
1
0
8
11-12
92%
6-15
6-12
40%
50%
0-1
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 33.3
37
32
17
22
4
0
1
0
1
13
9
3-6
50%
7-22
6-12
32%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 27.1
33
35
18
2
4
0
2
0
3
0
2
6-6
100%
3-8
5-10
38%
49%
2-2
100%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 32.8
27
26
2
5
1
0
2
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
51%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 34.7
15
11
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 29.1
31
34
12
4
2
0
1
0
0
1
3
3-3
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
52%
1-3
33%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 37.8
19
16
2
4
3
1
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
45%
0-6
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 32.4
19
14
8
1
1
1
0
0
3
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
50%
0-1
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.7
14
15
7
4
0
1
0
2
0
0
4
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
53%
0-0
-
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 25.5
7
12
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-1
2-3
100%
50%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.7
10
0
1-1
49%
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 20.9
2
0
0-0
49%
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 20.4
0
0
0-0
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.