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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 16, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Bucks30%9391
12Heat70%10084
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 23.0
34
32
20
5
4
1
1
0
3
0
5
2-2
100%
3-6
4-9
50%
46%
4-7
57%
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 19.7
33
25
13
6
1
2
1
0
0
0
6
3-4
75%
5-10
4-8
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 19.9
32
28
11
7
3
2
1
0
5
1
6
3-7
43%
4-8
3-7
50%
48%
0-0
-
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 26.0
20
19
11
6
0
0
1
0
0
1
5
1-3
33%
5-10
3-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 29.4
10
20
0
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
50%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 30.8
25
17
11
5
2
1
1
0
2
2
3
1-1
100%
5-8
2-4
63%
46%
0-1
0%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 23.3
20
7
10
2
0
3
0
1
1
0
2
3-3
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
45%
1-3
33%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 27.0
18
25
8
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
4-5
2-5
80%
45%
0-3
0%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.2
17
19
2
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Nate Wolters
· 6'4" 190 · 23.5
15
15
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
1-3
33%
1-2
2-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.5
12
18
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
46%
0-1
0%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 23.9
3
13
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
52%
0-0
-
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 23.2
5
0
0-1
41%
Johnny O'Bryant III
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 21.5
Damien Inglis
F · 6'8" 246 · 19.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 30.6
39
35
10
5
5
1
1
5
2
0
5
5-8
63%
1-11
6-11
9%
54%
1-6
17%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.6
37
32
10
6
2
3
1
0
2
2
4
3-4
75%
2-8
4-8
25%
48%
1-3
33%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.5
35
32
18
2
5
1
2
0
3
0
2
3-4
75%
6-12
3-5
50%
50%
1-1
100%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.7
26
27
13
11
1
0
1
0
0
2
9
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
48%
3-6
50%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.1
25
26
11
2
2
2
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
47%
3-5
60%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.3
26
19
10
5
1
0
1
0
3
0
5
1-2
50%
3-3
1-2
100%
47%
1-2
50%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.4
25
7
9
3
3
2
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
1-1
75%
49%
1-2
50%
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36.4
20
13
1
3
0
1
0
1
2
1
2
1-4
25%
0-0
1-2
-
61%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.4
7
13
2
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Justin Hamilton
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.6
19
1
1-2
54%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 29.0
7
0
1-2
45%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 31.6
2
0
0-0
44%
Andre Dawkins
G · 6'5" 219 · 23.2
1
0
0-0
47%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 27.7
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 32.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.