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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 17, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Mavericks62%105107
21Hornets38%10080
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.1
31.4
29.0
17
72%
9
6
1
1
0
0
0
9
3-4
75%
1-1
4-7
100%
51%
4-9
44%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.1
29.7
31.3
18
46%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
4-6
67%
7-15
5-11
47%
47%
0-2
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 36.4
25.4
24.4
13
46%
5
1
0
1
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
5-9
4-8
56%
51%
1-5
20%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 32.8
24.9
23.2
11
92%
2
8
2
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
44%
3-4
75%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 32.1
23.3
24.3
14
100%
9
3
0
1
0
0
2
7
0-0
-
7-7
3-5
100%
60%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.2
29.9
18.1
9
51%
11
0
0
1
2
0
1
10
2-2
100%
2-6
2-3
33%
49%
1-2
50%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.4
18.9
17.8
8
67%
2
7
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
4-5
2-5
80%
43%
0-1
0%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27.1
17.1
18.7
10
57%
3
0
2
0
1
1
3
0
2-4
50%
4-7
3-5
57%
64%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.4
12.3
9.5
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 31.7
10.2
21.0
0
0%
1
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
47%
0-1
0%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.9
9.2
5.3
2
100%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
57%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 30.2
7.7
4.1
5
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 30.4
24.3
1
2-5
43%
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 22.2
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 34.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 26.9
37.3
18.2
18
62%
5
3
0
0
0
1
1
4
1-1
100%
7-12
2-4
58%
46%
1-2
50%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 24.2
30.0
31.2
6
38%
6
7
0
1
0
1
1
5
0-2
0%
3-7
4-7
43%
51%
0-0
-
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 24.5
29.6
30.4
11
56%
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
2-5
4-9
40%
44%
1-3
33%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 29.9
25.3
28.8
6
25%
5
5
0
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
3-12
8-15
25%
51%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 28.4
19.4
19.8
8
67%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
50%
2-3
67%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 22.1
22.1
22.2
4
52%
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-2
0%
2-3
3-5
67%
47%
0-0
-
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 29.0
19.3
16.1
0
0%
1
2
1
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.1
18.0
7.1
11
55%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
42%
3-7
43%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 22.2
16.2
13.0
4
29%
8
0
0
0
2
0
5
3
0-2
0%
2-6
1-2
33%
52%
0-0
-
PJ Hairston
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 21.9
9.8
15.4
6
60%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
2-4
50%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 31.7
6.5
9.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 19.2
6.5
3.5
6
61%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-3
0-1
33%
49%
1-1
100%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.1
19.1
0
2-5
44%
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 25.5
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 21.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.