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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Monday
November 17, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Nuggets19%103106
5Cavaliers81%11597
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.1
40.4
26.0
23
61%
4
3
0
0
1
3
0
4
3-4
75%
4-9
3-6
44%
47%
4-8
50%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 28.3
39.8
22.4
14
71%
11
0
1
0
1
3
3
8
2-2
100%
6-9
3-6
67%
50%
0-0
-
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.5
37.6
28.3
12
43%
9
1
2
1
0
3
1
8
0-0
-
3-8
2-5
38%
46%
2-6
33%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 27.0
37.6
36.1
24
57%
1
12
2
1
0
5
0
1
6-7
86%
9-12
4-9
75%
46%
0-6
0%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.0
21.6
27.6
8
67%
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
0
0-0
-
4-6
5-10
67%
52%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.6
26.4
16.6
13
108%
11
2
2
1
0
0
3
8
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
42%
3-4
75%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 30.5
10.4
12.9
9
64%
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-4
1-3
0%
44%
3-3
100%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 31.1
9.8
20.7
1
13%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
2-4
-
42%
0-3
0%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.3
8.2
17.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-1
0%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.8
8.2
9.7
2
33%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
53%
0-0
-
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.2
13.4
1
1-3
44%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 27.5
10.8
0
1-2
42%
Erick Green
G · 6'4" 185 · 23.5
8.8
0
1-2
43%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26.2
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 20.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 29.9
40.6
34.7
22
52%
9
5
0
1
2
4
0
9
5-7
71%
7-14
8-13
50%
60%
1-4
25%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 22.7
39.3
33.6
20
68%
4
8
2
1
0
4
1
3
6-6
100%
1-6
5-10
17%
49%
4-6
67%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 26.2
37.9
32.9
20
64%
11
1
0
1
0
2
3
8
5-6
83%
6-8
4-7
75%
50%
1-5
20%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 36.5
24.2
24.7
7
51%
3
2
1
1
2
1
1
2
2-2
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
53%
1-2
50%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.1
18.4
24.0
0
0%
4
0
0
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
53%
0-0
-
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 22.9
28.0
22.6
20
63%
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
7-10
4-8
70%
47%
2-6
33%
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 23.2
24.0
17.8
3
30%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
1-5
20%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 23.7
23.4
22.6
5
36%
7
0
2
0
3
2
2
5
1-2
50%
2-6
3-7
33%
51%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.7
4.2
8.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-1
0%
Will Cherry
· 6'1" 176 · 23.8
5.8
0
1-1
47%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 31.9
5.4
0
1-1
47%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 35.0
5.3
0
0-1
49%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.1
3.5
0
0-0
37%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.2
Alex Kirk
C · 7'0" 245 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.