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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 17, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Magic
107
26Pistons
93
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.3
38
35
24
5
4
5
1
1
0
1
4
1-2
50%
7-11
6-12
64%
50%
3-6
50%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.1
38
35
25
14
3
0
1
0
1
3
11
5-5
100%
10-18
7-13
56%
51%
0-0
-
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 22.5
32
28
11
6
3
0
1
1
4
2
4
4-5
80%
2-4
4-9
50%
45%
1-1
100%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 22.1
31
35
14
2
8
1
1
0
4
0
2
1-2
50%
2-7
4-8
29%
48%
3-6
50%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 31.5
31
35
12
5
3
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
49%
4-6
67%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 33.8
19
15
5
3
6
1
0
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
47%
0-1
0%
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.5
19
7
7
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
51%
1-4
25%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.3
16
12
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 20.7
6
21
2
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
42%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.6
6
6
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.9
5
5
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-1
25%
47%
0-0
-
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.2
14
0
1-3
49%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 25.3
3
0
0-1
48%
Devyn Marble
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.2
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 24.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.7
34
30
10
5
2
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
45%
2-4
50%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 25.1
32
31
18
3
6
3
1
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
1-6
3-8
17%
43%
5-7
71%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 24.5
32
31
6
7
0
0
1
0
2
2
5
2-2
100%
2-9
7-13
22%
51%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 28.9
30
31
7
0
5
1
1
1
4
0
0
1-3
33%
3-4
6-12
75%
48%
0-3
0%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 21.3
28
25
12
10
0
0
1
3
2
4
6
2-4
50%
5-12
5-8
42%
59%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 34.7
27
25
20
6
1
0
1
0
0
1
5
7-7
100%
2-6
1-3
33%
44%
3-5
60%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.5
19
24
7
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
1-2
50%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 27.0
18
18
7
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
2-3
2-4
67%
43%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 27.7
17
16
6
5
1
0
1
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
3-8
1-3
38%
53%
0-3
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 32.3
3
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Cartier Martin
F · 6'7" 220 · 30.0
6
0
0-1
43%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 21.6
2
0
0-0
48%
Tony Mitchell
· 6'8" 216 · 22.6
1
0
0-0
46%
Gigi Datome
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.0
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.