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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 17, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3076ers
75
1Spurs
100
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.6
30
30
8
1
3
1
1
0
4
1
0
0-0
-
4-11
4-10
36%
46%
0-3
0%
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 24.6
28
24
9
8
1
1
1
0
2
0
8
3-4
75%
3-6
3-7
50%
45%
0-0
-
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 23.6
26
26
4
3
0
2
1
0
1
2
1
1-2
50%
0-3
1-3
0%
46%
1-5
20%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.2
25
27
13
4
0
0
1
2
2
0
4
3-4
75%
2-6
2-5
33%
44%
2-4
50%
Brandon Davies
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.3
18
24
0
4
4
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 23.1
30
24
16
5
4
2
1
0
3
0
5
1-3
33%
6-9
3-8
67%
41%
1-5
20%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 20.6
25
22
4
6
0
1
1
1
0
1
5
0-0
-
2-8
3-6
25%
44%
0-0
-
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 21.8
24
21
8
5
0
0
1
1
0
0
5
2-3
67%
3-5
2-4
60%
42%
0-4
0%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.9
17
1
6
3
2
2
0
0
0
1
2
4-4
100%
1-4
0-0
25%
43%
0-1
0%
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 25.9
12
7
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
37%
0-3
0%
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 21.7
3
12
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
41%
0-0
-
Drew Gordon
C-F · 6'9" 245 · 24.4
3
12
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
42%
0-0
-
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.7
8
0
1-2
42%
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.7
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 33.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.4
28
30
11
2
4
1
1
3
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
51%
3-8
38%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34.6
20
16
18
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
51%
4-6
67%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.4
20
31
5
11
2
3
2
0
1
2
9
1-1
100%
2-6
5-8
33%
59%
0-1
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.5
18
32
5
1
5
3
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
6-12
33%
53%
1-1
100%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 38.6
16
30
10
9
2
0
1
0
3
2
7
2-3
67%
4-7
5-10
57%
52%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.2
26
19
14
5
2
1
1
0
1
1
4
7-9
78%
2-4
3-5
50%
54%
1-4
25%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32.6
23
24
8
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
56%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.2
21
7
2
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-6
1-1
17%
51%
0-1
0%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 26.5
20
4
9
2
2
0
0
2
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
0-1
50%
45%
1-4
25%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 27.9
19
17
12
9
0
0
0
1
0
1
8
2-2
100%
5-8
2-5
63%
52%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27.6
17
5
4
5
1
1
0
1
1
0
5
2-2
100%
1-4
1-1
25%
55%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 37.3
12
25
2
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
3-6
0%
53%
0-1
0%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.6
4
0
0-1
51%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.9
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.