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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 17, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Bulls34%99105
2Clippers66%10489
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 25.2
45.3
39.1
22
51%
6
8
2
2
0
3
2
4
9-10
90%
5-13
4-9
38%
48%
1-4
25%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.4
41.2
25.4
20
68%
5
6
1
1
2
0
1
4
2-4
50%
9-13
4-9
69%
49%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 29.7
36.4
31.4
11
62%
16
6
0
1
0
1
3
13
1-2
50%
5-8
4-8
63%
48%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 34.2
35.2
29.1
19
78%
7
0
0
1
0
1
1
6
3-5
60%
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
4-7
57%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.9
33.6
27.7
14
58%
2
5
3
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-6
2-5
17%
42%
4-6
67%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 29.8
19.5
15.6
7
39%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
44%
0-3
0%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 23.8
18.4
6.6
12
55%
7
2
0
0
0
0
1
6
1-2
50%
4-6
0-1
67%
46%
1-4
25%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 22.9
10.2
10.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-2
0%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 25.7
0.1
0.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 23.0
8.1
0
0-1
44%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 37.2
1.1
0
0-0
42%
Cameron Bairstow
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 23.9
1.1
0
0-0
48%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.1
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 34.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 29.5
37.1
35.0
12
51%
1
7
1
2
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
4-10
5-9
40%
51%
1-1
100%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 25.7
36.6
32.8
19
49%
10
4
0
1
0
5
4
6
5-10
50%
7-14
8-15
50%
52%
0-1
0%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.3
36.0
34.7
10
73%
17
0
0
1
3
0
5
12
0-2
0%
5-6
3-5
83%
65%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 34.7
28.5
25.2
7
39%
2
1
0
1
0
3
0
2
1-2
50%
0-2
1-3
0%
54%
2-6
33%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 30.4
23.7
32.5
5
25%
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-7
3-5
14%
50%
1-3
33%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 34.7
27.3
28.1
24
63%
2
5
1
1
0
2
0
2
3-5
60%
9-12
3-7
75%
46%
1-5
20%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 26.6
17.2
16.9
8
57%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
48%
2-5
40%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 28.0
13.3
15.3
0
0%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 23.7
12.9
6.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 28.9
4.8
4.8
4
82%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
2-2
1-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 27.5
1.3
3.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 23.5
1.3
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 35.7
2.0
0
0-0
44%
Chris Douglas-Roberts
G · 6'7" 210 · 27.9
CJ Wilcox
G · 6'5" 195 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.