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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 19, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Celtics64%106101
3076ers36%10190
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.2
38.1
34.6
11
41%
10
2
1
1
1
1
1
9
1-1
100%
5-9
4-9
56%
49%
0-4
0%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 22.7
31.2
27.9
22
67%
9
4
0
1
0
0
2
7
1-3
33%
9-12
5-10
75%
50%
1-3
33%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 28.7
30.5
32.4
9
67%
5
13
2
2
0
6
1
4
2-4
50%
2-3
4-8
67%
49%
1-2
50%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 24.0
27.6
32.2
7
32%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-7
5-10
29%
48%
1-4
25%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 23.6
24.8
21.2
9
46%
3
4
1
1
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
4-7
3-5
57%
54%
0-2
0%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 29.6
32.0
19.8
23
72%
6
1
1
0
1
0
0
6
5-7
71%
9-13
3-6
69%
50%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 27.5
20.4
12.7
13
72%
2
3
4
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
48%
3-5
60%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 26.1
14.8
22.1
2
20%
4
3
0
1
1
0
1
3
2-2
100%
0-4
3-6
0%
46%
0-0
-
Phil Pressey
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.8
12.9
11.9
4
67%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
40%
0-0
-
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 24.8
7.7
20.6
1
27%
3
0
0
0
1
2
1
2
1-2
50%
0-1
3-6
0%
54%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 32.3
4.3
0
0-1
50%
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 19.3
1.7
0
0-0
49%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 23.3
0.7
0
0-0
50%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 20.7
Vitor Faverani
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 20.6
34.2
23.5
10
50%
8
3
2
1
1
0
1
7
0-0
-
5-10
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.2
33.8
25.3
11
46%
6
1
3
1
0
2
1
5
0-2
0%
4-9
3-5
44%
47%
1-2
50%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 23.1
32.5
26.3
11
40%
6
5
1
1
0
4
0
6
2-2
100%
3-9
4-9
33%
45%
1-4
25%
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 24.6
31.6
25.6
14
54%
7
1
0
1
0
0
3
4
2-2
100%
6-12
4-8
50%
50%
0-0
-
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 23.6
26.8
25.6
5
36%
4
3
1
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
0-3
2-3
0%
49%
1-3
33%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.6
28.2
29.9
21
46%
3
7
1
1
0
2
1
2
6-9
67%
6-13
5-10
46%
49%
1-6
17%
Brandon Davies
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.3
16.8
20.7
2
20%
2
1
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
50%
0-1
0%
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.9
14.0
8.6
6
52%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
1-3
33%
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 21.8
11.1
22.1
8
133%
2
0
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
49%
2-2
100%
Drew Gordon
C-F · 6'9" 245 · 24.4
11.1
7.3
2
33%
5
0
0
0
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
0-0
-
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 25.9
9.6
0
1-2
41%
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 21.7
7.9
0
1-2
48%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 33.8
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.7
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.