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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 19, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Mavericks57%101105
19Wizards43%99102
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.1
37
30
34
1
4
1
1
0
4
0
1
12-14
86%
8-17
5-11
47%
47%
2-4
50%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.1
37
30
11
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
51%
3-8
38%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 32.1
34
24
5
16
1
1
0
3
1
3
13
1-1
100%
2-4
3-5
50%
60%
0-0
-
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 36.4
28
25
13
4
2
1
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
1-8
4-8
13%
51%
3-4
75%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 32.8
25
24
5
2
4
1
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
1-7
1-3
14%
44%
1-5
20%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27.1
24
18
14
6
0
1
0
1
0
2
4
2-2
100%
6-7
3-5
86%
63%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.4
23
18
14
4
6
0
0
0
2
0
4
5-6
83%
3-5
2-5
60%
44%
1-3
33%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.2
13
22
3
4
0
0
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.4
11
11
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-1
-
50%
1-2
50%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 34.4
4
11
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-0
-
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.9
3
7
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
1-2
50%
0-1
1-1
0%
57%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 30.4
14
1
1-3
43%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 30.2
6
0
0-1
46%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 31.7
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 22.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.2
35
33
11
6
11
2
2
2
3
0
6
1-2
50%
5-15
5-12
33%
46%
0-2
0%
Nene
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 32.2
34
26
9
5
2
0
1
0
3
1
4
3-3
100%
3-9
5-10
33%
51%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.8
30
26
17
6
1
0
0
0
1
1
5
3-4
75%
7-12
4-8
58%
54%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 37.1
26
24
17
5
1
0
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
48%
3-5
60%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 28.5
13
24
2
1
0
2
1
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 21.4
26
34
21
3
3
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
6-11
4-9
55%
43%
3-6
50%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 21.5
25
23
6
5
1
1
1
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
50%
2-4
50%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.8
21
22
9
6
1
0
0
0
0
2
4
7-8
88%
1-4
4-8
25%
49%
0-1
0%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 38.7
13
13
2
1
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-0
-
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 24.9
11
17
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
3-6
100%
49%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 35.5
6
22
6
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
2-2
100%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 33.2
5
0
1-1
47%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 25.6
1
0
0-0
51%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 28.0
Glen Rice
G-F · 6'6" 206 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.