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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 21, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Pelicans52%10997
20Nuggets48%108117
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 21.7
32
36
18
9
2
1
2
2
4
1
8
4-4
100%
7-16
9-17
44%
53%
0-1
0%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25.2
32
32
10
2
2
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
5-8
6-12
63%
47%
0-2
0%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 25.9
30
33
13
4
3
2
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
47%
3-5
60%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 24.4
29
34
12
3
6
0
2
1
0
1
2
3-3
100%
3-6
5-10
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 26.5
21
16
12
8
1
0
0
0
1
3
5
6-6
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
55%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 26.5
27
30
10
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
3
6-7
86%
2-6
3-7
33%
48%
0-5
0%
Austin Rivers
G · 6'4" 200 · 22.3
21
19
8
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
6-8
75%
1-6
2-5
17%
44%
0-0
-
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.4
17
16
0
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
42%
0-0
-
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 24.7
16
4
9
6
1
0
0
0
1
2
4
5-6
83%
2-5
0-1
40%
52%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 34.9
11
4
5
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
40%
1-1
100%
Darius Miller
F · 6'8" 225 · 24.7
4
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 28.4
23
0
3-5
54%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.7
5
0
1-1
45%
Russ Smith
G · 6'0" 165 · 23.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.5
32
29
18
5
1
1
1
2
1
0
5
1-1
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
48%
3-4
75%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.1
29
31
19
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
6-10
3-7
60%
49%
1-3
33%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 27.1
28
36
11
3
9
2
1
0
2
0
3
0-2
0%
4-10
5-9
40%
49%
1-2
50%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 25.0
27
27
19
8
2
1
1
0
1
3
5
4-5
80%
6-11
5-9
55%
54%
1-1
100%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 28.4
26
31
5
4
0
0
1
3
1
2
2
1-2
50%
2-4
4-8
50%
53%
0-0
-
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 26.3
23
17
17
3
3
1
0
1
0
0
3
4-4
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
3-4
75%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 31.2
21
15
7
3
4
1
0
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
0-0
1-2
-
44%
1-5
20%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 30.5
20
12
3
3
4
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
46%
1-4
25%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 26.8
19
10
14
8
0
1
0
2
2
2
6
2-3
67%
6-6
2-3
100%
54%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.7
9
19
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 20.2
4
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 27.5
4
6
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26.2
11
0
2-4
52%
Erick Green
G · 6'4" 185 · 23.5
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 20.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.