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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 21, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Jazz22%9788
4Warriors78%108101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 24.7
26.1
31.4
12
51%
5
2
1
1
0
3
0
5
1-2
50%
4-9
4-8
44%
45%
1-2
50%
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 22.0
25.6
33.8
2
13%
3
5
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-7
3-8
14%
39%
0-1
0%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 23.3
25.2
35.8
9
41%
4
0
0
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
2-8
4-9
25%
45%
1-2
50%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 23.4
20.9
28.3
10
37%
9
1
1
1
2
1
6
3
4-6
67%
3-11
5-11
27%
50%
0-0
-
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 22.5
19.8
25.3
18
80%
5
3
0
0
0
5
3
2
2-3
67%
8-10
5-10
80%
48%
0-0
-
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 27.1
24.4
21.6
3
26%
2
5
1
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
0-4
0%
Dante Exum
G · 6'6" 190 · 19.4
22.4
17.0
2
20%
4
5
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
0-2
0%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.0
20.6
20.3
3
31%
2
0
2
1
0
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-4
2-5
25%
51%
0-0
-
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 22.4
17.6
16.1
12
81%
5
1
2
0
2
2
3
2
0-1
0%
6-7
1-3
86%
48%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 31.4
17.0
2.0
9
90%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
33%
3-5
60%
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.7
15.9
1.8
6
55%
1
1
3
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
1-4
0-0
25%
39%
1-1
100%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 27.1
4.5
2.4
2
100%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Toure' Murry
F · 6'5" 195 · 25.0
Rodney Hood
G · 6'8" 206 · 22.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 22.5
39.7
26.6
14
51%
11
1
1
1
2
2
3
8
6-6
100%
4-9
2-5
44%
48%
0-2
0%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.7
25.0
28.2
11
59%
9
5
3
1
0
1
0
9
2-3
67%
3-3
2-4
100%
50%
1-5
20%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 26.7
24.5
30.6
8
44%
5
10
2
1
0
4
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
4-8
33%
53%
2-6
33%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 24.8
22.9
29.4
14
59%
1
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
5-6
4-7
83%
49%
1-5
20%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 30.0
20.0
24.1
12
75%
4
2
0
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
6-8
3-5
75%
56%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 30.8
24.7
24.4
17
96%
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
1-2
50%
5-6
2-3
83%
54%
2-2
100%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 29.2
23.5
16.6
6
50%
3
4
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
51%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 32.0
17.0
16.3
4
40%
1
1
2
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 27.3
16.0
15.9
14
65%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-4
50%
6-9
4-7
67%
51%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 29.4
8.1
5.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 25.1
7.5
9.9
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 25.6
6.6
6.3
1
13%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-2
1-1
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Ognjen Kuzmic
C · 7'0" 260 · 24.5
4.5
5.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
54%
0-0
-
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 31.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.