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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Saturday
November 22, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Raptors37%102110
4Cavaliers63%10693
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 25.3
41.8
32.2
20
47%
5
3
1
1
0
3
0
5
6-7
86%
7-17
6-13
41%
45%
0-1
0%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 28.7
36.5
30.0
23
60%
3
8
0
1
1
0
0
3
11-12
92%
3-9
4-8
33%
47%
2-5
40%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 27.6
28.4
25.0
6
38%
4
0
0
1
1
2
2
2
1-2
50%
1-4
3-6
25%
57%
1-3
33%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.5
26.4
22.8
8
80%
5
0
0
0
2
1
1
4
0-0
-
4-5
4-7
80%
53%
0-0
-
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 23.8
18.5
27.0
2
20%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
0-2
0%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.1
29.4
18.8
36
70%
4
1
3
1
0
0
3
1
15-15
100%
6-11
2-5
55%
44%
3-8
38%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 25.7
24.4
22.3
5
51%
6
3
1
1
1
2
1
5
2-2
100%
0-2
2-3
0%
50%
1-2
50%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 27.8
17.8
20.4
7
44%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
1-3
33%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 31.4
15.4
10.4
3
80%
3
3
3
0
1
0
0
3
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
0-0
-
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 29.2
1.5
7.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 19.2
7.6
0
1-2
48%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.4
6.7
0
1-1
48%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 22.3
5.2
0
1-1
49%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.8
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 29.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 29.9
37.3
36.6
15
56%
1
10
1
1
1
5
0
1
2-3
67%
5-8
8-13
63%
58%
1-4
25%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 22.7
36.8
37.5
21
61%
3
6
1
2
2
3
0
3
5-7
71%
5-9
5-10
56%
48%
2-5
40%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 26.2
33.6
32.5
23
60%
7
1
1
1
0
0
1
6
7-7
100%
8-15
3-7
53%
48%
0-1
0%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 32.2
28.7
26.7
13
56%
12
3
0
1
0
2
4
8
3-6
50%
5-9
4-7
56%
52%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 36.5
25.6
25.3
2
17%
6
1
1
1
1
0
2
4
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
51%
0-1
0%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.0
20.2
22.8
6
33%
2
0
0
1
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
46%
0-2
0%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 23.7
20.0
23.3
11
47%
7
1
0
0
1
2
4
3
3-6
50%
4-9
3-6
44%
48%
0-0
-
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 23.2
16.2
16.9
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.8
12.2
9.2
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Will Cherry
· 6'1" 176 · 23.8
5.1
2.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
43%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 32.0
4.4
2.4
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 35.0
3.7
0
0-1
48%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 34.1
1.6
0
0-0
33%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 24.2
Alex Kirk
C · 7'0" 245 · 23.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.