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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 22, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Mavericks42%10292
6Rockets58%10595
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.1
35.1
31.0
17
37%
6
4
1
1
0
4
3
3
2-4
50%
6-15
5-11
40%
46%
1-6
17%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.1
33.5
30.7
8
36%
8
1
1
1
0
1
2
6
2-5
40%
3-4
3-7
75%
50%
0-5
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 36.4
31.0
24.0
11
28%
7
2
0
1
2
0
2
5
3-4
75%
4-10
4-8
40%
50%
0-8
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 32.8
28.1
24.5
11
61%
2
6
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
3-6
50%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 32.1
26.1
24.9
13
78%
13
1
0
0
0
2
3
10
3-3
100%
5-7
3-5
71%
59%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 31.7
23.9
17.0
9
54%
0
1
1
1
0
2
0
0
3-3
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
2-6
33%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27.1
21.9
19.8
14
89%
11
0
0
1
3
0
6
5
2-2
100%
6-7
4-6
86%
63%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.2
18.9
17.3
2
20%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
48%
0-3
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 30.4
17.3
21.0
7
64%
1
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-4
2-6
75%
43%
0-1
0%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 34.4
4.2
12.0
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.4
15.0
1
1-2
49%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 30.4
8.1
0
1-2
42%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 23.9
8.0
0
1-2
56%
Ricky Ledo
G · 6'7" 195 · 22.2
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 30.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 24.2
37.6
22.3
14
80%
12
2
0
0
0
5
2
10
3-4
75%
4-5
2-4
80%
53%
1-2
50%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 25.2
37.1
35.9
32
67%
8
4
2
1
0
4
3
5
12-13
92%
4-9
5-10
44%
50%
4-9
44%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 29.4
34.7
36.3
7
32%
4
2
1
2
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
49%
1-8
13%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 26.4
30.6
27.9
20
63%
5
1
2
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
49%
6-11
55%
Tarik Black
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 23.0
13.7
22.0
3
39%
7
0
0
0
0
2
2
5
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
0-0
-
Kostas Papanikolaou
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.3
37.9
24.8
8
34%
7
2
2
1
0
0
2
5
2-2
100%
0-5
1-3
0%
47%
2-6
33%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 37.2
25.0
19.0
7
35%
2
5
0
1
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
47%
1-6
17%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 32.9
14.7
9.2
2
17%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
47%
0-4
0%
Joey Dorsey
· 6'8" 268 · 30.9
5.9
6.5
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 23.5
2.8
12.9
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.0
22.1
1
5-8
58%
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 23.4
4.9
0
0-0
48%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 22.9
Nick Johnson
G · 6'3" 202 · 21.9
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 20.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.