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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 22, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Nets22%9487
1Spurs78%10599
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.4
37
34
24
5
7
2
1
2
3
1
4
2-2
100%
8-17
4-8
47%
46%
2-4
50%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 33.4
35
34
12
4
5
0
1
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
3-9
4-9
33%
47%
2-7
29%
Mirza Teletovic
F · 6'9" 242 · 29.2
34
24
22
8
1
0
0
0
3
1
7
2-2
100%
4-6
2-3
67%
49%
4-8
50%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 26.6
25
31
6
4
1
0
1
1
2
3
1
0-0
-
3-8
7-13
38%
49%
0-0
-
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.6
24
30
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
45%
0-5
0%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.1
25
27
6
6
5
1
1
1
2
1
5
2-2
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
45%
0-0
-
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 32.1
22
18
2
7
0
2
0
0
0
4
3
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
44%
0-1
0%
Jerome Jordan
C · 7'0" 253 · 28.1
13
9
5
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
5
1-1
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
47%
0-0
-
Cory Jefferson
F · 6'9" 218 · 23.9
8
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
42%
0-0
-
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 24.7
8
8
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
1-4
1-2
25%
55%
0-0
-
Markel Brown
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.8
3
4
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
38%
1-1
100%
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 21.1
3
3
0
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-1
0%
Jorge Gutierrez
G · 6'3" 189 · 25.9
3
2
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 38.5
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 33.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 32.5
39
27
22
2
7
1
1
0
3
0
2
3-3
100%
8-15
5-9
53%
52%
1-3
33%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 23.4
36
28
21
9
1
1
2
0
4
1
8
3-4
75%
9-17
4-7
53%
57%
0-2
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 32.6
33
28
10
3
3
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
5-7
3-6
71%
55%
0-2
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 38.6
25
26
7
10
7
3
1
4
0
3
7
1-2
50%
3-5
4-9
60%
51%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 28.7
10
7
0
3
3
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-2
0%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 27.4
33
30
21
7
2
0
1
3
2
0
7
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
50%
5-7
71%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 37.3
24
22
5
3
4
0
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
52%
1-1
100%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 28.0
21
18
10
8
1
1
0
0
1
2
6
2-2
100%
4-8
3-5
50%
52%
0-0
-
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 26.5
13
17
3
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
1-4
25%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.2
3
10
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 27.6
3
9
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
54%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.3
15
1
2-4
53%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 34.6
9
0
0-1
51%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 26.3
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 29.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.