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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 23, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Hornets39%9293
14Heat61%9694
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 24.5
35.8
35.2
16
50%
7
4
3
1
0
3
2
5
2-2
100%
4-9
4-10
44%
44%
2-6
33%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 29.9
34.1
29.9
22
57%
12
0
2
1
0
0
3
9
4-5
80%
9-17
8-16
53%
51%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 24.2
33.4
34.5
17
54%
6
5
1
1
0
3
0
6
2-4
50%
6-8
4-8
75%
51%
1-6
17%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 28.4
24.5
25.2
7
70%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
49%
1-2
50%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 27.0
21.0
25.4
5
50%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
46%
1-2
50%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 30.1
31.1
19.4
13
57%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
3-9
2-5
33%
44%
2-2
100%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 22.1
30.9
18.7
11
63%
2
3
1
0
1
0
0
2
3-4
75%
4-7
2-5
57%
47%
0-0
-
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 29.0
15.6
18.1
2
20%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
0-3
0%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 22.2
13.6
13.4
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 31.8
7.7
0
1-2
46%
Jeffery Taylor
· 6'7" 225 · 25.5
6.1
0
1-1
45%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 35.1
5.2
0
0-1
42%
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 19.2
2.5
0
0-1
48%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 21.2
PJ Hairston
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 21.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.6
37.8
28.7
26
80%
8
3
0
1
1
0
1
7
4-5
80%
8-11
3-7
73%
47%
2-3
67%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.5
37.8
33.2
20
81%
4
10
1
2
1
3
0
4
9-10
90%
4-4
3-6
100%
50%
1-4
25%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 30.7
35.9
34.3
20
48%
10
1
0
1
1
5
1
9
0-0
-
7-16
6-11
44%
53%
2-5
40%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.8
25.4
30.1
5
63%
6
0
0
1
2
0
0
6
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
1-3
33%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 29.0
16.6
22.5
0
0%
0
0
1
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
44%
0-0
-
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 23.4
34.1
25.8
14
71%
0
3
2
1
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
0-4
1-3
0%
48%
4-5
80%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 24.4
17.7
15.2
2
114%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 27.7
16.9
9.6
3
30%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
51%
1-3
33%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 34.5
16.3
5.8
4
67%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36.4
1.6
17.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
60%
0-0
-
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 31.6
5.7
0
0-1
42%
Justin Hamilton
C · 7'0" 255 · 24.6
5.5
0
0-1
52%
Andre Dawkins
G · 6'5" 219 · 23.2
2.7
0
0-0
45%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 32.8
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.