Final Win Prob. pScore
2439%92
93
1461%96
94
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo Hornets
104.58994.9
MIA logo Heat
105.68984.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHAMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0CHA93
94
Q4 - 0:00.0CHAHornets Rebound93
94
Q4 - 0:02.0CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)93
94
Q4 - 0:02.0CHAMISS Jefferson 1' Tip Shot93
94
Q4 - 0:02.0CHAMISS Walker 13' Jump Shot93
94
Q4 - 0:13.0CHAHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)93
94
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAChalmers Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T17)93
94
Q4 - 0:24.0MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)93
94
Q4 - 0:25.0CHAMISS Walker 8' Driving Jump Shot93
94
Q4 - 0:31.0CHASUB: Jefferson FOR Zeller93
94
Q4 - 0:31.0CHAHornets Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 1)93
94
Q4 - 0:31.0MIABosh 12' Fadeaway Jumper (20 PTS)93
94
Q4 - 0:48.0CHASUB: Williams FOR Jefferson93
92
Q4 - 0:48.0CHAWalker Traveling Turnover (P3.T11)93
92
Q4 - 1:01CHAHornets Rebound93
92
Q4 - 1:02CHADeng BLOCK (1 BLK)93
92
Q4 - 1:11MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)93
92
Q4 - 1:11MIAHEAT Rebound93
91
Q4 - 1:11MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 293
91
Q4 - 1:11CHAHornets Violation: Delay of game Violation93
91
Q4 - 1:11CHAWalker Shooting Block Foul (P3.PN)93
91
Q4 - 1:16MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)93
91
Q4 - 1:17CHAMISS Jefferson 9' Jump Shot93
91
Q4 - 1:36CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)93
91
Q4 - 1:37MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot93
91
Q4 - 1:56MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)93
91
Q4 - 1:57CHAMISS Neal 18' Pullup Jump Shot93
91
Q4 - 2:18CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)93
91
Q4 - 2:19MIAMISS Deng 3' Turnaround Jump Shot93
91
Q4 - 2:31MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)93
91
Q4 - 2:31CHANeal 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS)93
91
Q4 - 2:54MIANapier Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T16)91
91
Q4 - 3:05CHAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)91
91
Q4 - 3:22MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)88
91
Q4 - 3:22MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)88
90
Q4 - 3:22CHANeal S.FOUL (P5.PN)88
89
Q4 - 3:39MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)88
89
Q4 - 3:40CHAShaw. Williams BLOCK (2 BLK)88
89
Q4 - 3:59CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
89
Q4 - 4:00MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
89
Q4 - 4:11MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
89
Q4 - 4:12CHAMISS Stephenson 21' Jump Shot88
89
Q4 - 4:30MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)88
89
Q4 - 4:30MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)88
88
Q4 - 4:30CHANeal S.FOUL (P4.PN)88
87
Q4 - 4:45CHAStephenson 12' Driving Jump Shot (17 PTS)88
87
Q4 - 5:12CHAHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)86
87
Q4 - 5:12MIANapier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Chalmers 10 AST)86
87
Q4 - 5:25CHANeal Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)86
84
Q4 - 5:42MIANapier Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)86
84
Q4 - 5:42MIANapier Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)86
83
Q4 - 5:42CHAWalker P.FOUL (P2.PN)86
82
Q4 - 5:44CHANapier STEAL (2 STL)86
82
Q4 - 5:55MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Napier 3 AST)86
82
Q4 - 6:12MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)86
79
Q4 - 6:13CHAMISS Zeller Free Throw 2 of 286
79
Q4 - 6:13CHAZeller Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)86
79
Q4 - 6:13MIADeng S.FOUL (P2.T2)85
79
Q4 - 6:26MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)85
79
Q4 - 6:26CHASUB: Walker FOR Roberts85
78
Q4 - 6:26MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)85
78
Q4 - 6:26CHANeal P.FOUL (P3.PN)85
77
Q4 - 6:42MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)85
77
Q4 - 6:42CHARoberts 12' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)85
77
Q4 - 6:54CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)83
77
Q4 - 6:55MIAMISS Bosh 9' Hook Shot83
77
Q4 - 7:17CHAJefferson 2' Layup (22 PTS) (Zeller 3 AST)83
77
Q4 - 7:28MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)81
77
Q4 - 7:28MIASUB: Shaw. Williams FOR Haslem81
76
Q4 - 7:28MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)81
76
Q4 - 7:28CHAStephenson P.FOUL (P5.PN)81
75
Q4 - 7:43CHANeal 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)81
75
Q4 - 7:52CHANeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
75
Q4 - 7:53MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
75
Q4 - 8:05MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
75
Q4 - 8:06CHABosh BLOCK (1 BLK)78
75
Q4 - 8:24CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)78
75
Q4 - 8:25MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
75
Q4 - 8:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
75
Q4 - 8:46CHAMISS Neal 12' Jump Shot78
75
Q4 - 8:51CHASUB: Jefferson FOR Biyombo78
75
Q4 - 8:5178
75
Q4 - 9:06MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)78
75
Q4 - 9:25CHABiyombo 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T8)78
72
Q4 - 9:41MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)78
72
Q4 - 9:49CHASUB: Stephenson FOR Williams78
72
Q4 - 9:49CHAZeller Personal Block Foul (P3.T4)78
72
Q4 - 10:02MIAHEAT Rebound78
72
Q4 - 10:03CHAMISS Neal 19' Jump Shot78
72
Q4 - 10:16MIABosh Traveling Turnover (P5.T14)78
72
Q4 - 10:25CHAZeller P.FOUL (P2.T3)78
72
Q4 - 10:35CHANeal 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Roberts 2 AST)78
72
Q4 - 10:46MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)75
72
Q4 - 10:46CHANeal S.FOUL (P2.T2)75
71
Q4 - 10:46MIADeng 2' Layup (23 PTS) (Napier 2 AST)75
71
Q4 - 10:58CHANeal Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)75
69
Q4 - 10:58MIADeng S.FOUL (P1.T1)74
69
Q4 - 10:58CHANeal 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)74
69
Q4 - 11:02CHARoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
69
Q4 - 11:03MIAMISS Bosh 22' Jump Shot72
69
Q4 - 11:23MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)72
69
Q4 - 11:24CHAMISS Roberts 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
69
Q4 - 11:38MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)72
69
Q4 - 11:38MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)72
68
Q4 - 11:38CHANeal P.FOUL (P1.T1)72
67
Q4 - 12:0072
67
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA72
67
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound72
67
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
67
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
67
Q3 - 0:06.0CHAMISS Walker 18' Jump Shot72
67
Q3 - 0:29.0CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
67
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAMISS McRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
67
Q3 - 0:53.0CHAWilliams 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Zeller 2 AST)72
67
Q3 - 0:58.0MIANapier Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)70
67
Q3 - 1:13CHAWalker 17' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)70
67
Q3 - 1:26CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
67
Q3 - 1:27MIAMISS Napier 20' Jump Shot68
67
Q3 - 1:41CHABiyombo Foul Turnover (P1.T7)68
67
Q3 - 1:41CHABiyombo OFF.Foul (P1)68
67
Q3 - 1:57CHAHornets Rebound68
67
Q3 - 1:58MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
67
Q3 - 2:18CHAChalmers STEAL (1 STL)68
67
Q3 - 2:29MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)68
67
Q3 - 2:29MIAHEAT Rebound68
67
Q3 - 2:30MIAMISS Napier 9' Jump Shot68
67
Q3 - 2:54CHAZeller Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)68
67
Q3 - 2:54CHAZeller Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)67
67
Q3 - 2:54MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Deng66
67
Q3 - 2:54CHASUB: Williams FOR Henderson66
67
Q3 - 2:54CHAHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)66
67
Q3 - 2:54MIANapier P.FOUL (P2.PN)66
67
Q3 - 3:01MIAEnnis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)66
67
Q3 - 3:20CHAWalker 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Henderson 3 AST)66
67
Q3 - 3:36MIANapier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)64
67
Q3 - 3:48CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)64
64
Q3 - 3:48CHASUB: Biyombo FOR Jefferson63
64
Q3 - 3:48MIASUB: Haslem FOR Bosh63
64
Q3 - 3:48CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)63
64
Q3 - 3:48MIAEnnis S.FOUL (P2.T4)62
64
Q3 - 4:04MIANapier 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)62
64
Q3 - 4:15MIASUB: McRoberts FOR Shaw. Williams62
61
Q3 - 4:31CHAJefferson 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (20 PTS) (Zeller 1 AST)62
61
Q3 - 4:48CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)60
61
Q3 - 4:49MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 3PT Jump Shot60
61
Q3 - 5:06MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)60
61
Q3 - 5:07CHAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
61
Q3 - 5:20MIADeng 18' Jump Shot (21 PTS)60
61
Q3 - 5:37CHASUB: Zeller FOR Williams60
59
Q3 - 5:37CHAWilliams P.FOUL (P1.T2)60
59
Q3 - 5:37MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
59
Q3 - 5:38CHAMISS Jefferson 8' Jump Shot60
59
Q3 - 5:57CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)60
59
Q3 - 5:58MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot60
59
Q3 - 6:08CHASUB: Neal FOR Stephenson60
59
Q3 - 6:08MIASUB: Ennis FOR Brown60
59
Q3 - 6:08MIA60
59
Q3 - 6:08MIA60
59
Q3 - 6:08MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
59
Q3 - 6:09CHAMISS Jefferson 18' Jump Shot60
59
Q3 - 6:30MIABosh 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS)60
59
Q3 - 6:51CHAWalker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Stephenson 5 AST)60
57
Q3 - 7:11MIASUB: Napier FOR Chalmers57
57
Q3 - 7:11MIABrown P.FOUL (P3.T3)57
57
Q3 - 7:11CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)57
57
Q3 - 7:12MIAMISS Brown 2' Driving Layup57
57
Q3 - 7:25CHAStephenson P.FOUL (P3.T1)57
57
Q3 - 7:35MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)57
57
Q3 - 7:36CHAMISS Stephenson 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
57
Q3 - 7:51CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)57
57
Q3 - 7:52MIAMISS Bosh 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup57
57
Q3 - 8:13CHAStephenson 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS)57
57
Q3 - 8:37MIAShaw. Williams 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Deng 3 AST)55
57
Q3 - 8:57CHAJefferson 2' Layup (18 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)55
55
Q3 - 9:07CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)53
55
Q3 - 9:08MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 3PT Jump Shot53
55
Q3 - 9:24CHAStephenson 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS)53
55
Q3 - 9:39CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
55
Q3 - 9:40MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot51
55
Q3 - 10:01MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
55
Q3 - 10:02CHAShaw. Williams BLOCK (1 BLK)51
55
Q3 - 10:14MIABosh 14' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Chalmers 9 AST)51
55
Q3 - 10:27MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)51
53
Q3 - 10:27CHAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stephenson 4 AST)51
53
Q3 - 10:34MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)48
53
Q3 - 10:50CHAJefferson Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)48
53
Q3 - 10:50MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P1.T2)47
53
Q3 - 10:50CHAJefferson 5' Hook Shot (15 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)47
53
Q3 - 10:59MIABrown Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)45
53
Q3 - 11:19CHAStephenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)45
53
Q3 - 11:19CHAHornets Rebound44
53
Q3 - 11:19CHAMISS Stephenson Free Throw 1 of 244
53
Q3 - 11:19MIABrown S.FOUL (P2.T1)44
53
Q3 - 11:22MIABrown Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)44
53
Q3 - 11:33MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)44
53
Q3 - 11:34CHAMISS Stephenson 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
53
Q3 - 12:0044
53
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA44
53
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA44
53
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
53
Q2 - 0:04.0CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
53
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAMcRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 8 AST)44
53
Q2 - 0:37.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
50
Q2 - 0:38.0CHAMISS Henderson 18' Jump Shot44
50
Q2 - 0:52.0CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)44
50
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Deng 8' Fadeaway Jumper44
50
Q2 - 1:10MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
50
Q2 - 1:11CHAMISS Jefferson Tip Shot44
50
Q2 - 1:12CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
50
Q2 - 1:13CHAMISS Jefferson 6' Jump Shot44
50
Q2 - 1:30CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
50
Q2 - 1:31MIAMISS Bosh 12' Turnaround Jump Shot44
50
Q2 - 1:44MIASUB: Deng FOR Brown44
50
Q2 - 1:44CHASUB: Neal FOR Stephenson44
50
Q2 - 1:44MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)44
50
Q2 - 1:44CHAStephenson P.FOUL (P2.T2)44
50
Q2 - 1:59MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
50
Q2 - 2:00CHAMISS Jefferson 2' Driving Layup44
50
Q2 - 2:11MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T7)44
50
Q2 - 2:32CHAStephenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)44
50
Q2 - 2:59MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)41
50
Q2 - 3:19CHASUB: Henderson FOR Zeller41
47
Q2 - 3:19CHAStephenson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)41
47
Q2 - 3:32MIABosh 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)41
47
Q2 - 3:48CHAJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)41
45
Q2 - 3:48MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Deng40
45
Q2 - 3:48MIASUB: Brown FOR Ennis40
45
Q2 - 3:48CHAJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)40
45
Q2 - 3:48MIABosh P.FOUL (P1.PN)39
45
Q2 - 4:00MIADeng 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS)39
45
Q2 - 4:18CHAStephenson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)39
43
Q2 - 4:18MIASUB: McRoberts FOR Shaw. Williams38
43
Q2 - 4:18MIAShaw. Williams S.FOUL (P3.T4)38
43
Q2 - 4:18CHAStephenson 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)38
43
Q2 - 4:20CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)36
43
Q2 - 4:21CHAMISS Walker 18' Jump Shot36
43
Q2 - 4:28CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
43
Q2 - 4:29CHAMISS Stephenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
43
Q2 - 4:38CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
43
Q2 - 4:39CHAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
43
Q2 - 4:56MIABosh 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)36
43
Q2 - 5:13MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
41
Q2 - 5:14CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
41
Q2 - 5:22CHASUB: Williams FOR Biyombo36
41
Q2 - 5:22CHASUB: Jefferson FOR Roberts36
41
Q2 - 5:22CHASUB: Walker FOR Neal36
41
Q2 - 5:2236
41
Q2 - 5:22MIAEnnis L.B.FOUL (P1.T3)36
41
Q2 - 5:22CHAHornets Rebound36
41
Q2 - 5:23CHAMISS Roberts 9' Floating Jump Shot36
41
Q2 - 5:41MIABosh 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS)36
41
Q2 - 5:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
39
Q2 - 5:43MIAMISS Bosh 8' Hook Shot36
39
Q2 - 6:01CHAStephenson 14' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)36
39
Q2 - 6:17MIAShaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Napier 1 AST)34
39
Q2 - 6:30MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
36
Q2 - 6:31CHAMISS Stephenson Free Throw 1 of 134
36
Q2 - 6:31MIAShaw. Williams S.FOUL (P2.T2)34
36
Q2 - 6:31CHAStephenson 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
36
Q2 - 6:40MIABosh Traveling Turnover (P3.T6)32
36
Q2 - 6:47MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
36
Q2 - 6:48CHAMISS Zeller 2' Reverse Layup32
36
Q2 - 7:02CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
36
Q2 - 7:03MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 2 of 232
36
Q2 - 7:03MIASUB: Napier FOR Chalmers32
36
Q2 - 7:03MIASUB: Shaw. Williams FOR Haslem32
36
Q2 - 7:03MIASUB: Bosh FOR McRoberts32
36
Q2 - 7:03MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)32
36
Q2 - 7:03CHAStephenson S.FOUL (P1.T1)32
35
Q2 - 7:03MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
35
Q2 - 7:04MIAMISS McRoberts 19' Jump Shot32
35
Q2 - 7:28CHAZeller 8' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) (Roberts 1 AST)32
35
Q2 - 7:45MIADeng 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)30
35
Q2 - 7:56MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
32
Q2 - 7:57CHAMISS Neal 19' Jump Shot30
32
Q2 - 8:09MIAMcRoberts P.FOUL (P1.T1)30
32
Q2 - 8:18MIAMcRoberts Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)30
32
Q2 - 8:43CHAZeller 2' Layup (6 PTS)30
32
Q2 - 9:00CHAHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)28
32
Q2 - 9:09MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)28
32
Q2 - 9:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
30
Q2 - 9:24CHAMISS Neal 21' Jump Shot28
30
Q2 - 9:41MIADeng 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)28
30
Q2 - 9:48MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
27
Q2 - 9:49MIAMISS McRoberts 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
27
Q2 - 10:07CHANeal 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stephenson 3 AST)28
27
Q2 - 10:19MIADeng 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)26
27
Q2 - 10:41CHAZeller 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Stephenson 2 AST)26
25
Q2 - 10:56MIAHaslem 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)24
25
Q2 - 11:11CHAStephenson Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T4)24
23
Q2 - 11:13CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
23
Q2 - 11:14MIAMISS McRoberts 6' Hook Shot24
23
Q2 - 11:21MIASUB: Deng FOR Napier24
23
Q2 - 11:36CHAZeller 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
23
Q2 - 12:0022
23
Q1 - 0:00.0CHA22
23
Q1 - 0:00.0CHAHornets Rebound22
23
Q1 - 0:00.0CHAMISS Roberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
23
Q1 - 0:16.0CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
23
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Napier 22' Jump Shot22
23
Q1 - 0:38.0CHAJefferson 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)22
23
Q1 - 0:52.0CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
23
Q1 - 0:53.0MIAMISS Napier 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
23
Q1 - 1:12CHAWalker 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)20
23
Q1 - 1:20CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
23
Q1 - 1:21MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot18
23
Q1 - 1:37CHAJefferson 6' Jump Shot (9 PTS)18
23
Q1 - 1:55MIANapier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)16
23
Q1 - 2:14CHANeal Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)16
20
Q1 - 2:26MIAChalmers 4' Driving Jump Shot (8 PTS)16
20
Q1 - 2:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
18
Q1 - 2:40CHAMISS Roberts 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
18
Q1 - 2:59MIAEnnis Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)16
18
Q1 - 2:59MIAEnnis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)16
17
Q1 - 2:59MIASUB: Haslem FOR Andersen16
16
Q1 - 2:59MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 1 Short 1)16
16
Q1 - 2:59CHAZeller S.FOUL (P1.T3)16
16
Q1 - 3:02MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
16
Q1 - 3:03CHAMISS Neal 1' Driving Reverse Layup16
16
Q1 - 3:21MIASUB: Ennis FOR Brown16
16
Q1 - 3:21MIABrown Foul Turnover (P1.T4)16
16
Q1 - 3:21MIABrown Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T2)16
16
Q1 - 3:24MIASUB: McRoberts FOR Bosh16
16
Q1 - 3:24CHASUB: Roberts FOR Henderson16
16
Q1 - 3:43CHAJefferson 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)16
16
Q1 - 3:53CHANeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
16
Q1 - 3:54MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
16
Q1 - 4:04CHANapier STEAL (1 STL)14
16
Q1 - 4:22MIABosh Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)14
16
Q1 - 4:34CHASUB: Neal FOR Stephenson14
16
Q1 - 4:34MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Shaw. Williams14
16
Q1 - 4:34MIASUB: Andersen FOR Deng14
16
Q1 - 4:34MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)14
16
Q1 - 4:42CHAHenderson 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stephenson 1 AST)14
16
Q1 - 4:56MIADeng 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS)11
16
Q1 - 5:09CHASUB: Zeller FOR Williams11
14
Q1 - 5:09MIAHEAT Rebound11
14
Q1 - 5:10CHAMISS Henderson 18' Jump Shot11
14
Q1 - 5:31MIADeng 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)11
14
Q1 - 5:42MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)11
12
Q1 - 5:43CHAMISS Stephenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
12
Q1 - 5:54CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
12
Q1 - 5:55MIAMISS Napier 17' Jump Shot11
12
Q1 - 6:15CHAWilliams 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Henderson 2 AST)11
12
Q1 - 6:29CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
12
Q1 - 6:30MIAMISS Brown 20' Jump Shot9
12
Q1 - 6:42MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
12
Q1 - 6:43CHAMISS Henderson 3PT Jump Shot9
12
Q1 - 6:56MIANapier Foul Turnover (P1.T2)9
12
Q1 - 6:56MIANapier OFF.Foul (P1)9
12
Q1 - 7:07MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
12
Q1 - 7:08CHAMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot9
12
Q1 - 7:15MIASUB: Napier FOR Chalmers9
12
Q1 - 7:15CHAHornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)9
12
Q1 - 7:20MIADeng 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)9
12
Q1 - 7:26MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
10
Q1 - 7:27CHAMISS Stephenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
10
Q1 - 7:43MIADeng 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)9
10
Q1 - 7:56CHAJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)9
8
Q1 - 7:56CHAHornets Rebound8
8
Q1 - 7:56CHAMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 28
8
Q1 - 7:56MIAShaw. Williams S.FOUL (P1.T1)8
8
Q1 - 8:10MIAChalmers 8' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)8
8
Q1 - 8:24CHAHenderson P.FOUL (P1.T2)8
6
Q1 - 8:36CHAHenderson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
6
Q1 - 8:47CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
6
Q1 - 8:48MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot6
6
Q1 - 8:59CHAWalker P.FOUL (P1.T1)6
6
Q1 - 9:08MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
6
Q1 - 9:09CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
6
Q1 - 9:19CHAJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
6
Q1 - 9:20MIAMISS Deng 1' Driving Layup6
6
Q1 - 9:34CHAWalker 9' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
6
Q1 - 9:55MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)4
6
Q1 - 10:01MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
4
Q1 - 10:02CHAChalmers BLOCK (1 BLK)4
4
Q1 - 10:17MIAChalmers 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
4
Q1 - 10:36CHABrown STEAL (1 STL)4
2
Q1 - 10:43CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
2
Q1 - 10:44MIAMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot4
2
Q1 - 10:56CHAJefferson 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
2
Q1 - 11:11MIABosh 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
2
Q1 - 11:28MIABosh Violation:Defensive Goaltending2
0
Q1 - 11:28CHAJefferson 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Henderson 1 AST)2
0
Q1 - 11:43MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Jefferson: Tip to Chalmers0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventCHAMIA
Score / WinProb
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SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.07 53.4%
MIA
1.21 60.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
12
22
55%
MIA
9
13
69%
Midrange
CHA
18
36
50%
MIA
13
30
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
7
10.5
21
33%
50%
MIA
11
16.5
23
48%
72%
Free Throws
CHA
12
16
75%
MIA
17
19
89%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Jefferson2258%11.0 / 19
L. Stephenson1757%8.5 / 15
K. Walker1650%8.0 / 16
G. Neal1359%6.5 / 11
C. Zeller1161%5.5 / 9
M. Williams770%3.5 / 5
G. Henderson550%2.5 / 5
B. Roberts220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Deng2681%13.0 / 16
M. Chalmers2077%10.0 / 13
C. Bosh2048%10.0 / 21
S. Napier1470%7.0 / 10
S. Williams563%2.5 / 4
U. Haslem467%2.0 / 3
J. McRoberts330%1.5 / 5
J. Ennis III2100%1.0 / 1
S. Brown0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
78
+9
-11
87
MIA
73
+5
-16
78
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.07 53.4%
MIA
1.21 60.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.5
103.9
CHA 104.5
MIA 105.6 +1.1
Pace
92.7
91.0
CHA 94.9 +10.2
MIA 84.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
16.3
CHA 15.2 −1.8
MIA 17.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.6%
50.0%
CHA 51.3%
MIA 58.3% +7.0%
TO %
11.9%
15.2%
CHA 11.3% −7.3%
MIA 18.6%
ORB %
22.2%
23.3%
CHA 13.2% +3.5%
MIA 9.7%
FTrt
26.9
30.6
CHA 20.3
MIA 28.8 +8.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.8%
56.4%
CHA 48.6%
MIA 57.6% +9.0%
STL %
6.5%
8.6%
CHA 10.1% +5.6%
MIA 4.5%
BLK %
8.9%
8.0%
CHA 2.3%
MIA 8.6% +6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.3%
52.2%
CHA 53.4%
MIA 60.3% +6.9%
Rim FG%
53.5%
59.7%
CHA 54.5%
MIA 69.2% +14.7%
Mid FG%
39.2%
40.9%
CHA 50.0% +6.7%
MIA 43.3%
3P %
31.8%
33.5%
CHA 33.3%
MIA 47.8% +14.5%
FT %
74.8%
74.1%
CHA 75.0%
MIA 89.5% +14.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.3%
35.1%
CHA 27.8% +8.2%
MIA 19.7%
Mid Att. %
46.1%
38.7%
CHA 45.6%
MIA 45.5% −0.1%
3P Att. %
22.6%
26.2%
CHA 26.6%
MIA 34.8% +8.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHAMIA
Possessions8989
Possession Minutes22.525.2
Points9394
Rebounds3336
Assists1819
Steals94
Blocks15
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (4)3 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (1)33 (2)
Field Goals37-7933-66
At-the-Rim FG12-229-13
Midrange FG18-3613-30
2-Point FG30-5822-43
3-Point FG7-2111-23
Free Throws12-1617-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 184 · 25
35.8
16
50%
7
4
3
0
3
3
2
5
2-2
100%
4-9
44%
2-6
33%
C · 6'10" 280 · 30
34.1
22
58%
12
0
2
0
0
0
3
9
4-5
80%
9-17
53%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 230 · 24
33.4
17
57%
6
5
1
0
3
5
0
6
2-4
50%
6-8
75%
1-6
17%
F · 6'9" 237 · 28
24.5
7
70%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
F · 6'5" 215 · 27
21.0
5
50%
1
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
G · 6'4" 210 · 30
31.1
13
59%
2
0
0
0
3
5
0
2
1-1
100%
3-9
33%
2-2
100%
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 22
30.9
11
61%
2
3
1
1
0
3
0
2
3-4
75%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 173 · 29
15.6
2
20%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
C · 6'8" 255 · 22
13.6
0
0%
0
0
1
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 260 · 32
· 6'7" 225 · 26
G · 6'1" 185 · 35
F · 6'9" 245 · 19
#14 · F · 6'7" 232 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#19 · F-G · 6'6" 230 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
93
53%
33
18
9
1
11
0
5
28
12-16
75%
30-58
52%
7-21
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.