Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	16	Nuggets	56%	111	101	97.1	104	101.6
	26	Lakers	44%	109	94	87.9	107	90.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 27	42.8	18	60%	3	16	0	0	5	3	0	3	7-10	70%	4-8	50%	1-2	50%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 29	42.2	15	39%	6	1	1	0	1	3	1	5	4-4	100%	4-11	36%	1-6	17%
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 28	41.5	19	59%	8	2	1	1	1	5	0	8	2-3	67%	1-4	25%	5-11	45%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 28	30.4	13	59%	13	0	1	1	1	5	6	7	3-4	75%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 25	19.2	8	40%	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-3	0%	4-9	44%	0-0	-

Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 26	31.3	10	50%	7	1	0	0	1	1	0	7	2-4	50%	1-1	100%	2-7	29%
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 27	19.5	9	56%	3	0	1	0	1	2	1	2	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	1-5	20%
JJ Hickson C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26	11.6	6	43%	8	0	0	0	1	2	4	4	2-4	50%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Randy Foye G · 6'4" 218 · 31	10.8	0	0%	1	0	1	0	2	0	0	1	0-2	0%	0-1	0%	0-4	0%
Nate Robinson G · 5'9" 180 · 30	10.2	1	10%	3	0	1	0	2	4	2	1	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
JaVale McGee C · 7'0" 270 · 27	5.6	2	100%	4	0	0	0	0	3	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Alonzo Gee F · 6'6" 225 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jusuf Nurkić C · 6'11" 290 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Gary Harris #14 · G · 6'4" 210 · 20	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Erick Green #11 · G · 6'4" 185 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	101	46%	57	20	7	2	16	0	14	43	23-38	61%	24-53	45%	10-37	27%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

16 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 27	42.8	18	60%	3	16	0	0	5	3	0	3	7-10	70%	4-8	50%	1-2	50%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 29	42.2	15	39%	6	1	1	0	1	3	1	5	4-4	100%	4-11	36%	1-6	17%
Wilson Chandler F · 6'9" 225 · 28	41.5	19	59%	8	2	1	1	1	5	0	8	2-3	67%	1-4	25%	5-11	45%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 28	30.4	13	59%	13	0	1	1	1	5	6	7	3-4	75%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 25	19.2	8	40%	1	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	0-3	0%	4-9	44%	0-0	-

Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 26	31.3	10	50%	7	1	0	0	1	1	0	7	2-4	50%	1-1	100%	2-7	29%
Darrell Arthur F · 6'9" 235 · 27	19.5	9	56%	3	0	1	0	1	2	1	2	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	1-5	20%
JJ Hickson C-F · 6'9" 242 · 26	11.6	6	43%	8	0	0	0	1	2	4	4	2-4	50%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Randy Foye G · 6'4" 218 · 31	10.8	0	0%	1	0	1	0	2	0	0	1	0-2	0%	0-1	0%	0-4	0%
Nate Robinson G · 5'9" 180 · 30	10.2	1	10%	3	0	1	0	2	4	2	1	1-2	50%	0-2	0%	0-2	0%
JaVale McGee C · 7'0" 270 · 27	5.6	2	100%	4	0	0	0	0	3	0	4	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-0	-
Alonzo Gee F · 6'6" 225 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jusuf Nurkić C · 6'11" 290 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Gary Harris #14 · G · 6'4" 210 · 20	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Erick Green #11 · G · 6'4" 185 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	101	46%	57	20	7	2	16	0	14	43	23-38	61%	24-53	45%	10-37	27%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

26 Los Angeles Lakers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kobe Bryant G · 6'6" 212 · 36	43.8	27	47%	6	4	0	0	4	1	2	4	7-10	70%	10-22	45%	0-2	0%
Jordan Hill C · 6'10" 240 · 27	42.3	11	46%	14	1	1	1	2	4	1	13	7-8	88%	2-8	25%	0-0	-
Wesley Johnson F · 6'7" 215 · 27	41.6	7	35%	12	2	2	3	0	3	1	11	1-1	100%	3-7	43%	0-3	0%
Jeremy Lin G · 6'3" 200 · 26	35.6	17	53%	3	5	2	0	3	5	0	3	1-3	33%	8-11	73%	0-4	0%
Ed Davis F · 6'10" 245 · 25	22.4	4	40%	5	1	1	1	1	6	2	3	2-4	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-

Nick Young G-F · 6'7" 210 · 29	28.1	7	27%	3	1	0	0	1	2	0	3	2-2	100%	1-7	14%	1-5	20%
Robert Sacre C · 7'0" 270 · 25	18.1	13	72%	3	1	3	1	0	2	2	1	5-6	83%	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Ronnie Price G · 6'2" 190 · 31	17.1	0	0%	2	0	1	0	2	4	1	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-3	0%
Wayne Ellington G · 6'5" 200 · 27	15.9	8	50%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	1-1	100%	2-7	29%
Carlos Boozer F · 6'9" 258 · 33	\| DND - Strained left shoulder
Jordan Clarkson G · 6'5" 194 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Xavier Henry F-G · 6'6" 220 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Ryan Kelly F · 6'11" 230 · 24	\| DND - Torn right hamstring
Julius Randle #30 · F-C · 6'9" 250 · 20	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Steve Nash #10 · G · 6'3" 178 · 41	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	94	43%	50	15	10	6	13	0	9	41	25-34	74%	30-65	46%	3-24	13%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAL
Clock	Team	Event	DEN	LAL

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DEN

0.93 46.3%

LAL

0.86 43.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

DEN

14

35

40%

LAL

16

23

70%

Midrange

DEN

10

18

56%

LAL

14

42

33%

3PT | Effective 3PT

DEN

10

15.0

37

27%

41%

LAL

3

4.5

24

13%

19%

Free Throws

DEN

23

38

61%

LAL

25

34

74%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
W. Chandler	19	59%	9.5 / 16
T. Lawson	18	60%	9.0 / 15
A. Afflalo	15	39%	7.5 / 19
T. Mozgov	13	59%	6.5 / 11
D. Gallinari	10	50%	5.0 / 10
D. Arthur	9	56%	4.5 / 8
K. Faried	8	40%	4.0 / 10
J. Hickson	6	43%	3.0 / 7
J. McGee	2	100%	1.0 / 1
N. Robinson	1	10%	0.5 / 5
R. Foye	0	-	0.0 / 6

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Lakers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Bryant	27	47%	13.5 / 29
J. Lin	17	53%	8.5 / 16
R. Sacre	13	72%	6.5 / 9
J. Hill	11	46%	5.5 / 12
W. Ellington	8	50%	4.0 / 8
W. Johnson	7	35%	3.5 / 10
N. Young	7	27%	3.5 / 13
E. Davis	4	40%	2.0 / 5
R. Price	0	-	0.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	18 104.8 24 103.5	DEN 97.1 +9.3 LAL 87.9
Pace	4 95.9 13 94.0	DEN 101.6 +11.3 LAL 90.3
Avg. Poss. Time	28 14.4 13 15.6	DEN 14.2 −1.8 LAL 15.9
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	25 47.9% 26 47.3%	DEN 43.3% +4.5% LAL 38.8%
TO %	15 14.3% 5 13.3%	DEN 13.0% LAL 11.1% −1.9%
ORB %	10 26.5% 14 25.4%	DEN 25.5% +8.2% LAL 17.3%
FTrt	12 27.8 14 27.6	DEN 42.2 +4.0 LAL 38.2
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	17 57.7% 24 56.2%	DEN 58.8% +13.3% LAL 45.5%
STL %	17 8.0% 24 7.4%	DEN 6.7% LAL 9.3% +2.6%
BLK %	22 7.2% 18 7.5%	DEN 3.1% LAL 11.3% +8.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	24 50.8% 27 49.9%	DEN 46.3% +3.2% LAL 43.1%
Rim FG%	22 56.1% 13 58.0%	DEN 40.0% LAL 69.6% +29.6%
Mid FG%	24 37.9% 28 36.9%	DEN 55.6% +22.3% LAL 33.3%
3P %	28 32.5% 17 34.4%	DEN 27.0% +14.5% LAL 12.5%
FT %	24 73.5% 23 74.1%	DEN 60.5% LAL 73.5% +13.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	10 38.2% 25 33.8%	DEN 38.9% +13.0% LAL 25.8%
Mid Att. %	6 33.4% 26 44.2%	DEN 20.0% −27.2% LAL 47.2%
3P Att. %	12 28.4% 26 22.0%	DEN 41.1% +14.1% LAL 27.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	DEN	LAL
Possessions	104	107
Possession Minutes	24.6	28.4
Points	101	94
Rebounds	57	50
Assists	20	15
Steals	7	10
Blocks	2	6
Turnovers (Team)	16 (0)	13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	14 (4)	9 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	43 (2)	41 (6)
Field Goals	34-90	33-89
At-the-Rim FG	14-35	16-23
Midrange FG	10-18	14-42
2-Point FG	24-53	30-65
3-Point FG	10-37	3-24
Free Throws	23-38	25-34
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg