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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
November 24, 2014
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Trail Blazers79%106114
3076ers21%95104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 24.4
37.0
33.5
16
65%
5
4
2
1
0
3
1
4
3-3
100%
5-7
4-8
71%
48%
1-4
25%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 29.3
33.6
33.9
33
71%
11
3
0
1
0
1
6
5
6-7
86%
12-19
8-17
63%
49%
1-1
100%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 28.1
32.8
32.3
17
48%
4
3
1
1
0
2
0
4
3-4
75%
4-8
3-5
50%
51%
2-8
25%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 25.9
30.8
30.1
6
38%
6
6
1
1
0
3
0
6
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
54%
0-4
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 26.6
29.2
27.6
12
61%
8
3
0
0
4
2
4
4
4-4
100%
4-8
4-8
50%
55%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 34.7
22.6
22.0
0
0%
3
8
1
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-5
0%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 32.6
18.8
17.7
8
46%
9
1
0
0
0
1
2
7
2-4
50%
3-7
4-8
43%
50%
0-0
-
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 22.6
14.5
16.2
8
80%
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
48%
2-4
50%
Joel Freeland
C-F · 6'10" 225 · 27.8
14.4
10.4
9
70%
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
1-1
100%
4-6
1-2
67%
48%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 23.9
6.2
7.9
5
125%
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
46%
1-1
100%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 29.0
7.4
0
0-1
47%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 22.7
7.4
0
1-2
52%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 23.7
4.3
0
1-1
48%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.2
Victor Claver
· 6'9" 224 · 26.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 21.6
38.4
30.0
20
46%
2
9
3
1
1
3
1
1
6-9
67%
7-15
4-9
47%
48%
0-3
0%
Henry Sims
C-F · 6'10" 248 · 24.7
34.1
21.9
22
66%
4
1
1
1
0
3
1
3
6-6
100%
8-13
3-7
62%
47%
0-1
0%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 23.1
32.9
27.9
24
46%
7
2
2
1
0
2
2
5
4-5
80%
10-24
4-9
42%
44%
0-0
-
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.2
25.0
26.6
4
67%
3
4
1
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
46%
0-0
-
Brandon Davies
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.3
13.6
21.9
2
33%
5
1
0
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 20.6
32.9
30.9
12
86%
5
3
3
1
2
0
1
4
0-0
-
6-7
4-8
86%
47%
0-0
-
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 21.8
27.4
21.0
6
61%
0
4
0
1
2
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 23.6
17.1
21.9
2
33%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Alexey Shved
G · 6'6" 187 · 25.9
10.2
10.3
8
82%
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
3-3
1-2
100%
40%
0-1
0%
Drew Gordon
C-F · 6'9" 245 · 24.4
6.6
7.0
4
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.9
1.8
12.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
0-0
-
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 21.7
5.4
0
1-1
43%
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.7
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 20.7
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 33.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.